Risk rises for #mudslides around #LACounty fire zones; prepare for worst-case scenario, officials warn

Alene Tchekmedyian, Rong-Gong Lin II, Melody Gutierrez, LA Times
January 26, 2025

"With more rain on the way, officials warned Sunday of an increasing risk of mudslides in #LosAngelesCounty's burn areas, with a 10% to 20% chance of significant #FlashFlooding and #DebrisFlows capable of damaging roads and homes in and around areas devastated by #wildfires.

"'This is the worst-case scenario to prepare for,' said Kristan Lund, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Oxnard.

"'We do have increasing concern for the #BurnScars,' Lund said. The charred footprint of the Eaton fire, which blackened more than 14,000 acres, is the most worrisome. 'These #FlashFloods and these debris flows could happen in and near or below these burn scars.'

"A #FloodWatch took effect at 10 a.m. Sunday and was set to continue through 4 p.m. Monday for the burned areas of the #EatonFire in the #Altadena and #Pasadena areas; the #PalisadesFire and #FranklinFires in the Pacific Palisades and Malibu areas; the Hughes fire around Lake Castaic; and the Bridge fire in the San Gabriel Mountains west and southwest of Wrightwood. The flood watch started six hours earlier than originally anticipated as rain began falling steadily around Los Angeles."

Read more:
https://www.aol.com/news/risk-rises-mudslides-around-l-170323295.html
#ClimateCrisis #CaliforniaFires #BurnScar #FlashFloodWarning #FloodDanger #Mudslides #CaliforniaWx

Risk rises for mudslides around L.A. County fire zones; prepare for worst-case scenario, officials warn

Thunderstorms and heavier showers are most likely to occur through Monday afternoon, raising the risk of debris flows and mudslides in burn areas.

AOL

How wildfires leave communities vulnerable to flooding, mudslides for years

#Wildfires of every size leave behind something known as a #BurnScar, or the area of land charred by flames and left devoid of vegetation.

By Brian Lada

"#Flooding and #DebrisFlows can happen with little warning in burn scars and most commonly occur during a heavy thunderstorm or major #rainstorm.

"'Rainfall that would normally be absorbed will run off extremely quickly after a #wildfire, as burned soil can be as water repellent as pavement. As a result, much less rainfall [than normal] is required to produce a #FlashFlood,' The National Weather Service (#NWS) said."

Read more:
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/how-wildfires-leave-communities-vulnerable-to-flooding-mudslides-for-years/432537#google_vignette
#CaliforniaFires #BurnScars #FloodDanger

New Weather West post: "Widespread rain in SoCal to temporarily alleviate fire concerns by Sunday; SoCal drought still likely to expand rest of winter." I also discuss upcoming debris flow risk in fire zones. #CAwx #CAwater #CAfire #LAfires #DebrisFlows weatherwest.com/arch...

Widespread rain in SoCal to te...
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New Weather West post: "Widespread rain in SoCal to temporarily alleviate fire concerns by Sunday; SoCal drought still likely to expand rest of winter." I also discuss upcoming debris flow risk in fire zones. #CAwx #CAwater #CAfire #LAfires #DebrisFlows https://weatherwest.com/archives/43277
Widespread rain in SoCal to temporarily alleviate fire concerns by Sunday; SoCal drought still likely to expand rest of winter - Weather West

Extraordinarily sustained winter fire weather episode continues in SoCal through Saturday, but dramatic shift to come Southern California is now well into its driest start to the ostensible "rainy season" on record, and this week we've been topping things off with single-digit humidity and balmily warm temperatures. Moderate to strong offshore wind conditions have continued

Weather West - California weather and climate perspectives
Postfire debris-flow hazards | U.S. Geological Survey

Estimates of the probability and volume of debris flows that may be produced by a storm in a recently burned area, using a model with characteristics related to basin shape, burn severity, soil properties, and rainfall.Wildfire can significantly alter the hydrologic response of a watershed to the extent that even modest rainstorms can produce dangerous flash floods and debris flows. The USGS conducts post-fire debris-flow hazard assessments for select fires in the Western U.S. We use geospatial data related to basin morphometry, burn severity, soil properties, and rainfall characteristics to estimate the probability and volume of debris flows that may occur in response to a design storm.

Join the Group @hrg of the Research Institute for Geo-Hydrological Protection #IRPI of the Italian National Research Council #CNR in Padua 🌟 Opportunity: 1-Year Post doc Fellowship
🔗 Apply here: https://urp.cnr.it/node/21910
⏰ Deadline: January 10, 2025
#research #hiring #DebrisFlows #gis
USGS experts responding simultaneously to two major natural hazards | U.S. Geological Survey

To learn more about USGS science related to Hurricane Helene:

Yeesh, these fires keep getting so close to #monument #oregon. Hoping that the weather cooperates and we can start mapping potential #debrisflows

#wildfire #pnw #2024fireseason