【🎉Latest accepted article】
Integrated assessment of invasion risk: coupling habitat #Suitability, population #Abundance and #EcosystemServiceValue for Xanthium spinosum in China

#Prediction | #StructuralEquationModel | #EcosystemServicesValuation

https://doi.org/10.1093/jpe/rtag050

Integrated assessment of invasion risk: coupling habitat suitability, population abundance and ecosystem service value for Xanthium spinosum in China

This study presents a novel integrated suitability-abundance-ESV framework, breaking through the limitations of traditional binary species distribution mod

OUP Academic

Fan made $150K betting on Ariana Grande

#prediction #markets #trading

Original timestamp: 00:29:17

#Prediction within 24 hours we'll have or will announce boots on the ground in Iran

"Professor Jiang explains that Trump is desperate for two things: public support and congressional approval of funding of war in Iran. The academic thinks that such desperation is pushing Trump to launch this senseless, limited invasion of Iran, which will produce two potential results: the successful takeover of Iran’s islands in the Persian Gulf, or the islands will become the final resting place of invading U.S. troops. And, he stresses, either scenario will cause anti-Iranian sentiments to grow. The professor has also predicted huge chaos in world’s economy and the downfall of the ‘American empire’. ”—Sanchez Effect

Professor Jiang: ”Trump wants D-Day, he is in a desperate situation” >

https://rumble.com/v77np42-sanchez-effect-professor-jiang-trump-wants-d-day-he-is-in-a-desperate-situa.html

#interview #Jiang_Xueqin #war #Iran #military_analyst #Israel #Strait_of_Hormuz #South_East_Asia #boots_on_the_ground #Trump_regime #Persian_Gulf #war_mongers #USA #world_economy #economic_disaster #USA_downfall #Turkey #invasion
#energy_lockdowns #soldiers #prediction #oil #narrative #military #troops #Islamic_Republic_of_Iran #D_day #economy #desperate_Trump #Donald_Trump #bully

🧭 If This Trajectory Continues, Who Still Has Rights?

1. Rights Don’t Disappear — Their Function Narrows In a managed democracy, rights rarely vanish outright.Instead, they become harder to use, harder to enforce, and harder to activate.They still exi…

Survivor Literacy
Prediction Markets Don’t Just Forecast Power - They Reshape It

In this week’s Crypto Long & Short Newsletter, Ryan Kirkley writes on how crypto prediction markets can risk incentivizing manipulation and amplify misinformation at scale.

CoinDesk

Predict and simulate current events and determine the likely price of oil in 6 months. Graph RAG and tens of thousands of agents with relationships to each other and data and creates a graph that is then treated like a RAG but without flatness.

A nice demo using Oasis and some opensource inference:

https://youtu.be/lSklDad0LNo?si=Lko-eagooj2jdTYX

Any Big Question could be answered, accuracy proportionate to resources provided.

#mirofish #AI #prediction #simulation

PREDICT ANYTHING with 10,000+ Agents (even oil price based on next attack) - Mirofish Demo

YouTube

About metrics for measuring agreement on regression on continuous datasets:
Reasons to avoid R² and use RMSE instead: https://feat.engineering/03-Review_of_the_Modeling_Process.html#sec-reg-metrics

From Max Kuhn @topepo, Kjell Johnson (2026), "Feature Engineering and Selection: A Practical Approach for Predictive Models"

#prediction #dataDev #modelEvaluation #regression #modelling #linearRegression #modeling #probability #probabilities #statistics #stats #gotcha

3  A Review of the Predictive Modeling Process – Feature Engineering and Selection: A Practical Approach for Predictive Models

RE: https://mastodon.social/@eff/116268690486756181

Never getting smart glasses, but I will wager that sooner than we expect, you won’t be able to get them without cameras and WiFi/cellular connection. Just like TV’s. #prediction #technology