Pay heed to political shifts and evolving #InternationalDynamics - Part 10

#RedSea Rising in #HornOfAfrica

#Turkey & #Qatar are jostling with #UAE & #SaudiArabia for control over #Nile, the OTHER River From the Sea.

#Iran's hostility towards #Saudis, it's funding of #AxisOfResistance, which include #Hamas and anti-#Saudi #Houthi, Turkey's refusal to designate Hamas a terrorist organization, and Houthi malfeasance in the RedSea have a unifying thread.

#rapprochement

https://www.usip.org/programs/red-sea-rising-peace-and-security-horn-africa-and-middle-east

Red Sea Rising: Peace and Security in the Horn of Africa and the Middle East

The states on the western side of the Red Sea to the south of Egypt and the Arab states from the east of Egypt through the Arabian Gulf have long been considered distinct regions. This is increasingly a distinction without a difference, however, as these states now operate more as a common political, security, and economic zone.

United States Institute of Peace

Pay heed to political shifts and evolving #InternationalDynamics - Part 9

#Britain once #colonized & ruled #India

Now #UK & #India are forging security ties as UK plans to send high-readiness #LittoralResponse Group to #IndianOcean region in 2024 and #CarrierStrike Group in 2025 for joint training.

Deployment of their most advanced naval capabilities portends conflict in the region that is strategically located between #MiddleEast and #FarEast

#SocietiesAreNotStatic

https://www.thestatesman.com/world/uk-plans-to-deploy-carrier-strike-group-to-indian-ocean-in-2025-1503258273.html

UK plans to deploy Carrier Strike Group to Indian Ocean in 2025 - The Statesman

The deployment of the UK’s most advanced naval capabilities will mark a decisive step in bolstering UK-India security ties, the British High Commission announced on Wednesday.

The Statesman

#Sweden signed a defense deal with #US to allow US access to ALL military bases across Sweden and bolster #regionalSecurity.

#Swedish island of #Gotland sits < 200 mi from #Russian #Kaliningrad.

US struck similar deal with #Norway & is currently negotiating such an agreement with #Finland & #Denmark.

#Turkey is blocking Sweden from joining NATO ➡️ https://mastodon.social/@rameshgupta/111447116135374826

#Hungary is blocking #Ukraine’s #EUMembership ➡️ https://mastodon.social/@rameshgupta/111434764452759087

#InternationalDynamics

https://apnews.com/article/sweden-united-states-defense-deal-nato-ea0fe160d86cf386ffe68a647ce55332
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NATO member-to-be Sweden and the US sign defense deal, saying it strengthens regional security

On the brink of joining NATO, Sweden has signed a defense cooperation agreement with Washington that will allow the United States access to all of the military bases across the Scandinavian country, saying the deal would bolster regional security. The deal was signed at the Pentagon Tuesday by Swedish Defense Minister Pål Jonson and U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. Turkey and Hungary are the only NATO countries that have not formally approved Sweden’s accession bid. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan linked Wednesday Swden's ratification to the approval by the U.S. Congress of Turkey’s request to purchase 40 F-16 fighter jets and kits to modernize its existing fleet.

AP News

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#Biden admin prefers to call #AbrahamAccords a #NormalizationProcess presumably because this is an ongoing process.

This #US-brokered normalization process is about normalizing relations between #Israel and neighboring #Arab states.

There is a separate #China-brokered process for normalizing relations between #Iran and #ArabLeague states ➡️ https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-saudi-arabia-agree-resume-ties-re-open-embassies-iranian-state-media-2023-03-10/

7 months later #Hamas attacked #Israel ➡️ https://mastodon.social/@rameshgupta/111443215314525928

#InternationalDynamics
#AxisOfResistance
#permanentStateOfWar

Iran and Saudi Arabia agree to resume ties in talks brokered by China

Iran and Saudi Arabia agreed on Friday to re-establish relations after years of hostility that had threatened stability and security in the Gulf and helped fuel conflicts in the Middle East from Yemen to Syria.

Reuters

Pay heed to political shifts and evolving #InternationalDynamics - Part 8

#BongBong #MarcosJr of #Philippines got an “unprecedented love-bombing” from #Biden as tensions with #China rise in #AsiaPacific.

#Marcos’ predecessor, #Duterte, was openly hostile to #US and attempted to bring his country closer to #communist China.

Philippines, as #Taiwan’s neighbor to the south, would be an indispensable staging point for US military to aid Taiwan in case of a Chinese attack.

https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/us-china-philippines-marcos/

How the U.S. courted the Philippines to thwart China

America needs the Philippines on its side as tensions with China rise. Reuters got inside the U.S. 'love-bombing' of its former colony.

Reuters

All #BRICS, except #India — 1 by 1 — #Brazil, #Russia, #China, & #SouthAfrica voiced their one-sided criticism of #Israel.

SA was most vociferous, voted to shut down #Israeli embassy & referred #Israel to #InternationalCriminalCourt #ICC.

ICC already has a separate warrant against #Putin for his #WarCrimes in #Ukraine that is hindering his free travel.

India was the only country that also condemned terrorism.

#InternationalDynamics — Part I ➡️ https://mastodon.social/@rameshgupta/111376788032217265

https://www.thestatesman.com/world/brics-member-states-gun-for-israel-but-india-sticks-to-its-guns-1503244173.html

BRICS member states gun for Israel, but India sticks to its guns - The Statesman

India appears to have emerged as a minority of one in the BRICS group's stand on the Israel-Hamas war with South Africa as the chair taking the lead in mounting a vociferous attack on Israel.

The Statesman

Pay heed to political shifts and evolving #InternationalDynamics - Part 7

Against backdrop of #China’s aggressive posturing on maritime matters, #India & #Australia agreed to a strong #defense partnership for overall security of #IndoPacific.

This is a continuation of the “2+2″ #QuadPartnership between #US, India, Australia, and #Japan to countervail #China's ascendancy amid new geopolitical challenges ➡️ https://mastodon.social/@rameshgupta/111403048017161754

https://www.thestatesman.com/world/india-australia-agree-to-strengthen-defence-partnership-for-security-of-indo-pacific-1503242514.html

India, Australia agree to strengthen defence partnership for security of Indo-Pacific - The Statesman

In the backdrop of China's aggressive posturing on maritime matters, India and Australia on Monday agreed that a strong defence partnership between them will augur well not just for their mutual benefit but also for the overall security of the Indo-Pacific.

The Statesman

Pay heed to political shifts and evolving #InternationalDynamics - Part 6

#China welcomes #KSA, #Egypt, #Jordan, #PA, & #Indonesia, saying China would work with “our #Brothers and Sisters” in the #Arab & #Islamic world.

"Brothers" is a #dogWhistle to #Hamas ➡️ https://mastodon.social/@rameshgupta/111419514556261126

Also, China coddled up to #ArabLeague & brokered #rapprochement between #Iran & #SaudiArabia before Hamas attacks for which #Hezbollah leader #NasarallahWasCoy ➡️ https://mastodon.social/@rameshgupta/111434916898306609

https://apnews.com/article/china-arab-foreign-minister-gaza-palestine-israel-92596ef24d1f8d8e4708e7ad95051c44

China welcomes Arab and Muslim foreign ministers for talks on ending the war in Gaza

China’s top diplomat welcomed four Arab foreign ministers and the Indonesian one to Beijing, saying his country would work with “our brothers and sisters” in the Arab and Islamic world to try to end the war in Gaza as soon as possible. The ministers from Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, the Palestinian Authority and Indonesia chose to start a tour of world capitals in Beijing, a testament to both China’s growing geopolitical influence and its longstanding support for the Palestinians. They are joined Monday by the secretary general of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation. China has long backed the Palestinians and been quick to denounce Israel over its settlements in the occupied territories.

AP News

BOTH, the land of #Israel and the #Jewish population are minuscule. The attacks on #Israel have a singular purpose — draw in #US and #West

Don't forget that BOTH #US #SecretaryOfDefense Lloyd #Austin and SecretaryOfState Anthony #Blinken testified to #Congress that the #Ukraine and #MiddleEast conflicts are #interconnected ➡️ https://mastodon.social/@rameshgupta/111352305821082802

Evolving #InternationalDynamics ➡️ https://mastodon.social/@rameshgupta/111393318310698285

Don't forget the #MolotovRibbentropPact that catalyzed #WWII.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arab_League#/media/File:Member_states_of_the_Arab_League_(orthographic_projection).svg

Arab League - Wikipedia

Pay heed to political shifts and evolving #InternationalDynamics - Part 5

#Russia & #Iran share a close bond as outcasts in the post-#ColdWar multilateral order (#US, #EU, #China, #India, #ArabLeague)

Iran supports a number of #terror outfits (including #Hamas), and supplies drones to Russia for its war in #Ukraine ➡️ https://mastodon.social/@rameshgupta/111368482757118575

Russia harbors #RevanchistDreams and is in an existential battle with the West for a new world order that would end US dominance

https://www.reuters.com/world/russias-putin-sees-political-economic-upside-israels-war-with-hamas-2023-11-17/

Russia's Putin tries to use Gaza war to his geopolitical advantage

Russian President Vladimir Putin waited three days before commenting on Hamas' massacre of Israelis, which happened to take place on his 71st birthday. When he did, he blamed the United States, not Hamas.

Reuters