The #EnergyImbalance at the Earth's surface is getting to around 1.25 W/m^2 now, up from around 0.5 W/m^2 around 2005, with no signs of stopping (ignoring statistical fluctuations; Fig 1 [2]).

Optimism but urgence according to Mauritsen+2025: "Stabilizing global warming below 2° can still be achieved by swiftly phasing out fossil fuel burning." [2]

Lay people summary [1].

#ClimateEmergency #EnergyBudget

[1] https://theconversation.com/earth-is-trapping-much-more-heat-than-climate-models-forecast-and-the-rate-has-doubled-in-20-years-258822

[2] https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024AV001636