#ECMWF website returns #403forbidden when trying to access it from #China. Since few months ago. There is a good reason for it I am sure. But I could not fathom which one since China is a #WMO member.
Problem easily fixed with a VPN or by being back in Europe. I find it odd anyway.
Congratulations to Irina Sandu on her appointment as Deputy Director General & Director of Science and Innovation at #ECMWF. Over the years, we've had the honor of working with Irina on multiple occasions: She was a Humboldt fellow at #MPIM from 2008–2010, coordinated @nextgems_eu with our director, Bjorn Stevens, & is leading the Destination Earth initiative, in which we are involved.
Congratulations also to Jørn Kristiansen, who was appointed Deputy Director-General & Director of Forecasts!👏
My newsletter article on what we've done to improve your weather forecasts is now online: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/newsletter/187/news/coupled-data-assimilation-50r1
This was supposed to appear *before* things were implemented last month, so it's all now in place!
Please take a look for the cutest cartoon scientist you'll see today...
What's the status of the global climate system? 🌍
And what's our role in the changing world?
Check out our new dashboard based on the "Indicators of Global Climate Change 2025" (Forster et al. 2026).
Powered by the #IIASAVienna #ScenarioServices team
Funded by 🇪🇺 #Copernicus #ECMWF
👉 indicators.climate.copernicus.eu
Sea surface temperature (60°S-60°N)
Daily average ● Data: ERA5
#Climate Pulse provides near real-time updates of key global climate variables from the #Copernicus Climate Change Service (#C3S).
C3S is implemented by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (#ECMWF) on behalf of the European Commission as part of the #EuropeanUnion's space programme.
Wie lässt sich das Wetter künftig präziser und zugleich schneller vorhersagen?
Ein neues System für kurzfristige #Wettervorhersagen und langfristige #Klimaprognosen nutzt künstliche Intelligenz, um Ergebnisse zu erzielen, die mit den besten vorhandenen Modellen vergleichbar sind, jedoch deutlich weniger #Rechenleistung benötigen.
#MIT #Harvard #ECMWF #Wettervorhersage #Klimamodelle #MaschinellesLernen #KINutzen #Retröt
Daily Surface Air Temperature
This page provides time series and map visualizations of daily mean surface air temperature (2-meter height) estimates from the #ECMWF Reanalysis version 5 (#ERA5) for the period January 1940 to present (see ERA5 attribution below). ERA5 is a state-of-the-art numerical #climate / #weather modeling framework that ingests surface, radiosonde, and satellite observations to estimate the state of the atmosphere through time. The visualizations on this page enable users to explore weather-driven temperature changes within specific years, while also having several decades of daily data for broader climate context. Users are encouraged to learn more about reanalysis — approach, strengths, limitations, and product comparisons — from the NCAR Climate Data Guide. Additional information about reanalysis can be found at Advancing Reanalysis.
https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/?dm_id=world#info
Il Tempo: Meteo, arriva il Super El Niño: cosa ci aspetta nei prossimi mesi
Arriva il Super El Niño e l'estate 2026 sarà estremamente calda e con eventi violenti in tutto il mondo. A rivelarlo le ultime previsioni del Ecmwf, il Centro europeo per le previsioni meteorologiche a medio termine che parlano di un aumento della temperatura degli oceani stimato di almeno 2 gradi e di valori letteralmente impazziti per minimo tre mesi. Secondo gli esperti, il super El Niño porterà anche il 2027 a essere l'anno più caldo di sempre da quando esistono le rilevazioni. Tutta colpa del fenomeno atmosferico che quest'estate farà registrare anomalie al di fuori della normalità. Il semplice El Niño infatti prevede un aumento termico di 0,5 gradi rispetto alla media mentre le stime parlano di oltre i 2 gradi e questo porterà l'arrivo di un mega fenomeno atmosferico.
Come ricostruito da Il Resto del Carlino che ha sentito Pierluigi Randi, presidente di Ampro (associazione meteo professionisti), El Niño sarà molto consistente e avrà effetti molto evidenti in Europa. A preoccupare è proprio l'innalzamento delle temperature globali che ne conseguiranno.
Non è di certo una novità: tra 2023 e 2024 un altro fenomeno atmosferico ha provocato temperature medie record con la superficie dell'oceano che aveva raggiunto i 21 gradi e con fenomeni climatici violenti in tutto il mondo.
Weather, Super El Niño is arriving: what awaits us in the coming months.
The Super El Niño is arriving and the summer of 2026 will be extremely hot with violent events around the world. This is revealed by the latest forecasts from ECMWF, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which speak of an ocean temperature increase estimated at at least 2 degrees and literally chaotic values for at least three months. According to experts, the super El Niño will also make 2027 the hottest year on record since records began. All thanks to this weather phenomenon that this summer will record anomalies outside the normal. Simple El Niño predicts a thermal increase of 0.5 degrees above the average, while estimates speak of over 2 degrees, which will bring about the arrival of a mega weather phenomenon.
As reconstructed by Il Resto del Carlino, which heard from Pierluigi Randi, president of Ampro (association of professional meteorologists), El Niño will be very significant and will have very evident effects in Europe. What is worrying is the rise in global temperatures that will result from it.
This is certainly not new: between 2023 and 2024 another weather phenomenon caused record average temperatures with the ocean surface reaching 21 degrees and with violent climatic phenomena around the world.
#SuperElNiño #ECMWF #ElNiño #05degrees #over2degrees #IlRestodelCarlino #PierluigiRandi #Ampro #Europe #21degrees
Hanno Rein
WuMing2
MPI für Meteorologie
Phil Browne
Daniel Huppmann
O=C=O
💧🌏 Greg Cocks
Tino Eberl
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