US Top News and Analysis | Will Elon Musk eventually merge SpaceX with Tesla? Speculation is building
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Speculation is mounting that Elon Musk could merge his two flagship companies—SpaceX and Tesla—by next year, with Wedbush analyst Dan Ives arguing that a combination would cement their shared AI ambitions and that Musk wants greater control of the AI ecosystem. However, Kalshi traders are far less confident, assigning only a 33 % chance of a merger before May 2027 and seeing odds for an earlier timeline plunge after a brief spike in April. The potential deal could also help Tesla, which recently fell behind BYD and Chinese rivals in EV sales, while both firms are already collaborating on the Texas‑based Terafab semiconductor plant that could cost up to $119 billion. Musk has hinted at the complexity of such a move, noting that any merger would need approval from both boards and must balance the interests of shareholders in each company.




