Big update to the stream temperature forecasts I've periodically shared here: they're now available through an interactive map, updated daily(ish). The current forecast can be found at https://dash.rivertempest.org. I was pleasantly surprised at how straightforward this was using Leaflet and automatically retrieving the forecasts from CUAHSI's #HydroShare platform.
Next step: more forecast points.
TempEst-NEXT v0.2.1 (the model for #forecasting #rivertemperature anywhere in the contiguous US without local observations) is out, now with support for interactive and command-line use. Here's all it takes to estimate the last five years of water temperature for Geneva Creek, an unmonitored stream in southern Guanella Pass, Colorado:
NEXT --site_type coordinates --lat 39.51129 --lon -105.71680 --start 2021-01-01 --end 2025-12-31 --output geneva.csv
(After installing via pip install --upgrade tempest-next, of course.)
See full documentation at https://rivertempest.org/.
For the last few years, I've been working on making it possible to estimate high-resolution (daily, 1-km) river temperatures anywhere in the contiguous US. I'm delighted to announce that the paper introducing TempEst 2, the first high-resolution, ungaged river temperature model for the CONUS, has just been published in the Journal of Hydrology. TempEst 2 comes with a data retrieval script (Google Earth Engine) and a pretrained model, so you just provide the coordinates for your points of interest - on any stream, any size, urban or less-disturbed, etc - and get estimates with a typical RMSE of 2.0 C. I've found that it's practical to use for up to 10,000 sites or so for a given analysis (though you do need to split the data retrieval into blocks of <1500 sites). The paper also introduces a modeling framework for ungaged rivers called SCHEMA, which takes advantage of highly seasonal conditions to build well-performing models with few coefficients suitable for ungaged coefficient estimation.
Open-access paper (with Claudia R. Corona, Katie Schneider, Ashley Rust, and Terri S. Hogue): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133321
Model source code and usage information: https://github.com/mines-ciroh/tempest2
Open data: https://doi.org/10.4211/hs.a8b243957f7946e388d10ab206990675
TempEst 2 builds on our work with river temperature seasonality (https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.13228).
Daniel Philippus
💧🌏 Greg Cocks