GaiaCrisisPhilVia Euronews: World will cross 1.5°C warming limit by 2030 if emissions continue at current rate - report
#globalWarming #climateChange
#carbonBudget #carbonEmissions
#carbonDioxide #bigOil #report
skaphle@PIK_climate A budget until 2030 sounds weirdly optimistic.
First, this is on a global scale. Germany had already exhausted its share of the 1.5 degree budget in 2022, according to the latest (2025) calculations: https://www.umweltrat.de/SharedDocs/Downloads/DE/04_Stellungnahmen/2024_2028/2025_10_BVerfG.html (see page 7 in the PDF)
It's probably similar in other western/northern countries.
Second, the idea of a carbon budget for 1.5 degrees already includes the assumption that a lot of the CO2 that is currently in the atmosphere will be captured and stored, with a negative budget after 2050. This is a huge bet on technology that still doesn't exist.
Third, it's kind of weird to talk about remaining CO2 budgets when we already measure temperatures over 1.5 and it's accelerating.
Sachverständigenrat für Umweltfragen - Publikationen - Stellungnahme zu Klima-Verfassungsbeschwerden
Das Bundesverfassungsgericht berät derzeit über mehrere Verfassungsbeschwerden gegen das Klimaschutzgesetz. Es hat dem SRU die Möglichkeit gegeben, sich als sachkundiger Dritter zum Verfahren zu äußern. In seiner Stellungnahme befasst sich der SRU unter anderem mit dem CO2-Budget und aktualisiert seine Budget-Berechnung auf den Stand von 2025.
need less live moreDer Bundesrat schrieb am 6.5.26 auf die Interpellation von Clarence Chollet "Wie viel Treibhausgas dürfen wir noch ausstossen?", dass das "bevölkerungsproportional gerechnete Budget bereits aufgebraucht worden sein dürfte". Keine Pointe. Kein Shitstorm. Business as usual. Die offizielle Schweiz ruht sich darauf aus, dass es "keinen von der internationalen Staatengemeinschaft anerkannten Ansatz zur Verteilung des CO2 Budgets" gebe. Vorbild? Pustekuchen!
https://www.parlament.ch/DE/ratsbetrieb/suche-curia-vista/geschaeft?AffairId=20263491
#Bundesrat #Schweiz #Klimakrise #Klima #Treibhausgasbudget #CarbonBudget
https://www.parlament.ch/DE/ratsbetrieb/suche-curia-vista/geschaeft?AffairId=20263491
#Bundesrat #Schweiz #Klimakrise #Klima #Treibhausgasbudget #CarbonBudget
DeanThe Carbon Budget Petition. We need to get half our cars off gas, half our buildings off gas and cut all industrial emissions in half, including the oil sands. We have all the technology, and some of it is even cheaper than gas. All we are missing is political leadership. Help to pressure the Canadian government by signing the Parliamentary Petition. #CarbonBudget #greenhousegas #cleanenergy
https://carbonbudget.ca/
https://carbonbudget.ca/
Denise Gutzmer5m tonnes of CO2 emitted in just 14 days of US war on Iran, analysis finds
The US-Israel war on Iran is a disaster for the climate, according to an analysis that finds it is draining the global carbon budget faster than 84 countries combined.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/21/middle-east-iran-conflict-environment-climate
💧🌏 Greg CocksUnveiling The Environmental Impact Of Earthquakes In Europe
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📄 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-68120-6 <-- shared paper
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🗺️ https://embodiedcarbon.builtenvdata.eu/ <-- shared interactive platform
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📦 https://github.com/gem/global_embodied_carbon_model <-- shared github ‘code base’
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🌍 https://www.globalquakemodel.org/gemevents/gem2026-conference-from-faults-to-future-scenarios <-- shared details of 2026 GEM Conference: From Faults To Future Scenarios, June 2026, Croatia
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#EmbodiedCarbon #service #GlobalEarthquakeModel #earthquake #damage #europe #carbon #GEM #data #maps #opendata #openspatial #GIS #spatial #mapping #seimsic #damage #buildings #urban #residential #commercial #industrial #replacement #infrastructure #typologies #naturalhazard #fault #faulting #geology #global #carbonbudget #climate #climatechange #carboncost #CO2 #carbondioxide #openscience #database #spatialdata #carbonfootprint #seismicrisk #planning #risk #hazard #factors #riskassessment #𝘀𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆 #engineering #design
@gem
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📄 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-68120-6 <-- shared paper
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🗺️ https://embodiedcarbon.builtenvdata.eu/ <-- shared interactive platform
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📦 https://github.com/gem/global_embodied_carbon_model <-- shared github ‘code base’
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🌍 https://www.globalquakemodel.org/gemevents/gem2026-conference-from-faults-to-future-scenarios <-- shared details of 2026 GEM Conference: From Faults To Future Scenarios, June 2026, Croatia
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#EmbodiedCarbon #service #GlobalEarthquakeModel #earthquake #damage #europe #carbon #GEM #data #maps #opendata #openspatial #GIS #spatial #mapping #seimsic #damage #buildings #urban #residential #commercial #industrial #replacement #infrastructure #typologies #naturalhazard #fault #faulting #geology #global #carbonbudget #climate #climatechange #carboncost #CO2 #carbondioxide #openscience #database #spatialdata #carbonfootprint #seismicrisk #planning #risk #hazard #factors #riskassessment #𝘀𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆 #engineering #design
@gem
MPI für MeteorologieHow do mesoscale #eddies shape the Southern Ocean #CarbonBudget? 🌊🌀
The Southern Ocean takes up about a quarter of anthropogenic CO₂. A 27-yr eddy resolving simulation conducted by Salinas-Matus et al. shows anticyclonic eddies to be most efficient at absorbing atmospheric CO₂, while cyclones & peripheries are weaker. These eddies cause daily & seasonal variability and act as overall carbon sinks, contributing ~10 % of total uptake & ~1 % of anomalous uptake.🔍
PaleBlueDot is turning RED#climateemergency #climatechange
https://report-2023.global-tipping-points.org/section3/3-0-governance-of-earth-system-tipping-points/3-4-knowledge-coproduction-and-science-policy-engagement/3-4-1-knowledge-needs-status-quo-and-learning-challenges/3-4-1-2-status-quo/
#CarbonBudget ? The emperor has no clothes.
https://report-2023.global-tipping-points.org/section3/3-0-governance-of-earth-system-tipping-points/3-4-knowledge-coproduction-and-science-policy-engagement/3-4-1-knowledge-needs-status-quo-and-learning-challenges/3-4-1-2-status-quo/
#CarbonBudget ? The emperor has no clothes.
ecosentidoThe richest 1% have exhausted their annual carbon budget – the amount of CO2 that can be emitted while staying within 1.5 degrees of warming – only ten days into the year, according to new analysis from Oxfam. The richest 0.1% already used up their carbon limit on the 3rd January.
#ClimateChange #CarbonLimit #CarbonBudget
#ClimateCrisis
https://www.ipsnews.net/2026/01/richest-1-have-blown-through-their-fair-share-of-carbon-emissions-for-2026-in-just-10-days/
#ClimateChange #CarbonLimit #CarbonBudget
#ClimateCrisis
https://www.ipsnews.net/2026/01/richest-1-have-blown-through-their-fair-share-of-carbon-emissions-for-2026-in-just-10-days/
Richest 1% have Blown Through their Fair Share of Carbon Emissions for 2026 --in just 10 Days
The richest 1% have exhausted their annual carbon budget – the amount of CO2 that can be emitted while staying within 1.5 degrees of warming – only ten days into the year, according to new analysis from Oxfam. The richest 0.1% already used up their carbon limit on the 3rd January. This day – named […]
Ivi Choc#COP30 #JohanRockström #Belem #Brazil #WeDontHaveTime #CarbonBudget #fossilfuels #KeepitInTheGround
"Our planet’s vital signs are flashing red. We have breached 7 out of 9 Planetary Boundaries."
Johan Rockström, #PotsdamInstitute for Climate Impact Research, explain the key findings from the 2025 #PlanetaryHealthCheck.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wUJGLBEvQ78
#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis #ecocide #Co2 #methane #GreenhouseGases
