Ok, so now that I’ve had a moment to breathe, let me take a few minutes to dive into the study I just published about Russian involvement in the 2022 truck convoy in Canada. The study can be read in full here: https://journals.lib.sfu.ca/index.php/jicw/article/view/5101
Russia's Role in the Far-Right Truck Convoy | The Journal of Intelligence, Conflict, and Warfare

So first, it's important to understand that Russia's propaganda & disinformation ecosystem is made up different parts that may appear independent, but are really like machines in an assembly line. They work together to manufacture, launder, tailor, & disseminate content. This assembly line includes overt state-funded propaganda, as well as media figures, proxy websites, fake social media personas, and more. 2/

In this study, I focused on three main pillars of that ecosystem:
-Overt Russian state-funded propaganda (RT)
-Proxy sites connected to Russian intelligence (SouthFront, Global Research), which allow some degree of plausible deniability on the surface.
-Social media (in this case, Telegram groups that were set up for the truck convoy but which later became repositories for Russian propaganda).

I used a mix of OSINT tools & techniques, including GDELT.

The first major finding is that Russian-funded propaganda outlet RT produced a higher volume of television coverage focused on the truck convoy than any other international media outlet.

In fact, RT produced more convoy coverage than nearly all other international media outlets COMBINED. 4/

Russian-funded propaganda outlet RT (below, in orange) was also the first international media outlet to mention the truck convoy on-air, and as you can see, the peak volume far outpaced any other media outlet.

RT's early dominance is strategically important because it may have provided an opportunity for RT to set the tone for subsequent international media coverage. Given that RT's tone is whatever aligns with Russian state interests, this is significant. 5/

Another notable trend: When RT's coverage drops off, Fox News' coverage starts to sharply increase, almost like the two outlets are in a symbiotic relationship. We know from previous reports that RT takes cues from Fox News, and this may be further evidence of such a relationship. 6/
In the associated word clouds, notable themes include the prominent use of the keywords “NATO” & “Ukraine” by RT, which disappeared once RT’s coverage was removed from the input. Similarly, the keyword “nazi” only appeared when RT’s coverage was included. To me, this suggests an interesting intermingling of Freedom Convoy coverage, and coverage related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which was happening at the same time. Perhaps the convoy was used as a distraction? 7/
I also looked at RT's online coverage of the truck convoy. I found that RT[.]com published 250+ articles about the truck convoy, and the linguistic patterns (repetitive uses of specific words & phrases) were suggestive of internal language guidance, which is a tactic RT is known to use. The tone of coverage was sympathetic towards convoy organizers/participants, portraying them as victims of a "tyrannical" government. 8/

I also looked at convoy coverage on Russian proxy sites linked to Russian intel agencies (see article for more info). These sites “occupy an intermediate role between the pillars of the ecosystem with clear links to Russia and those that are meant to be fully deniable."

Specifically, I looked at Global Research & SouthFront, both of which produced ongoing coverage of the convoy that often included disinformation & inflammatory rhetoric, plus repeated calls for Trudeau to step down. 9/

I also looked at Telegram channels — some with tens of thousands of members — that were initially set up as truck convoy channels, but I found that over time, a network of them basically became repositories for Russian propaganda, including Kremlin press releases & Russian language content. 10/
As I noted in the paper, many of the prominent conspiracy theories that circulated in these Telegram channels — including accusations about Canada supporting Nazis in Ukraine — are aligned with Russia’s justifications for invading Ukraine. 11/

Tactically, the strategies seen in these truck convoy/Russian propaganda channels — multilingual posting, repurposing channels, cross-platform coordination, etc — have previously been associated with influence campaigns.

So there’s alignment w/ content *and* tactics. 12/

So what does this all mean? Well, for one thing, as I noted in the paper, it does NOT mean that Russia was behind the truck convoy. The convoy was a homegrown movement — an extension of anti-lockdown/anti-vaccine protests, which themselves grew out of the Yellow Vest movement. 13/
But as we’ve seen with protest movements around the world, Russia views domestic protest and extremist movements as vehicles for their asymmetric assault on western democracies. They amplify movements like the truck convoy to fracture western societies & promote civil unrest. 14/
It was also interesting to see Russia make attempts to cultivate support among convoy organizers & participants via interviews & human interest stories to get them to share RT’s content organically — a tactic that has been widely used in influence campaigns run by China. 15/

In summary: The study documents Russian influence activities in multiple channels, from overt state-funded propaganda outlets, to proxy websites, to social media. It’s the first study providing quantifiable evidence of Russia’s involvement in the convoy, and it demonstrates a strategic interest in the convoy on the part of Russia — which itself should be of interest to Canada.

It has also motivated at least Russian propagandist/former RT employee to write an article libeling me. 😏

@rvawonk Thank you. This is incredible research about an unsurprising pattern of Russian information warfare.
@rvawonk thank you for documenting the facts - when we are gaslit so often we need to be grounded in reality 🍀
@rvawonk Thank you - I’ll make sure my MP gets a copy. 👍🏾
@rvawonk is there a structural difference between this example of local endogenous opinion being supported/rallied by foreign peoples (be they state-supported actors or not), and foreign support/rally that is aligned with generally-accepted actions of a nation's endogenous people?
@newalexandria @rvawonk Yes, there's a difference, your second statement isn't happening. Shut up. Blocked.
@rvawonk #grateful #gratitude #thankyou for your work, #courage, and sharing❣️❤️🙏🏻🕊✌🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🇺🇦🇷🇺🇨🇳🇦🇫🇮🇷🇺🇸🌎🌍🌏❤️🙏🏻✌🏻🕊🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻

@rvawonk great work.
Bad actors use events like the convoy to push their own agenda and gain influence.

GOP and Fox constantly use noise from bad actors to generate their own noise, becoming agents of Russia, far right, etc.

@rvawonk this is truly excellent work, thank you! I think you've done a real service for those of us that track disinformation. I'm curious, though, in terms of a statement you made here that this was homegrown until it was basically hijacked. In Feb '22 I wrote an article for Michael Smerconish (CNN/SiriusXM) on unusual funding from alt right groups which makes it seem like it wasn't as organic as it seemed. I'd love your thoughts on this. For reference:

https://www.smerconish.com/exclusive-content/the-freedom-convoys-unusual-foreign-and-alt-right-connections/

The Freedom Convoy’s Unusual Foreign and Alt-Right Connections - SMERCONISH

Open and peaceful debate is healthy for any democracy and this situation should be no different. Unfortunately, this current issue is not as transparent as some would like to make it out to be.

SMERCONISH

@NickAEsp @rvawonk Actual participants (the brainwashed ones, who were interviewed by CBC's The Fifth Estate here: https://youtu.be/y2OlAXDW7W0 ) later released statements claiming their original intentions were "hijacked" by military and police bad actors:

https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2022/10/31/the-tiktoker-the-fundraiser-the-ex-military-officer-here-are-the-freedom-convoy-organizers-expected-to-testify-at-emergencies-act-inquiry-starting-this-week.html

They may just be in denial or not want to face up to what they were actually a part of.....

How anger, faith and conspiracy theories fuelled the trucker convoy - The Fifth Estate

YouTube
@NickAEsp When I referred to it as a homegrown movement, I was primarily referring to the ideology and the political motivation/energy. There was definitely outside influence and likely outside funding, but the movement itself wasn’t carried into Canada; it came from within Canada, and then gained outside support.
@rvawonk thanks for the clarification! I really appreciate both your response and invaluable work!

@rvawonk If they're attacking you, you know you've struck a nerve. 👍

Alas, I fear the Canadian feds really don't or won't care, much, about your excellent research; as Canada, in actual practice, is a cross between Russia, as an economy (run by oligarchs, with a very strongly corrupt financial "system"), and China, ideologically (indigenous peoples in Canada are almost as mistreated as the Uighurs).

Canada has also been under the merciless thumb of FIPA for far too long, by which China controls a lot more of what goes on in the country, than the "UFWD causes election interference" that manages to get out in the widely-read press:

https://globalnews.ca/news/9364386/china-election-interference-canada/

"Concentration camp tomatoes" are just the tip of the iceberg as to how China has Canada by the short hairs, via FIPA:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/marketplace-tomato-products-investigation-1.6227359

(Canada cannot reject these products due to FIPA.)

FIPA scuppered a *working* TB vaccine from being deployed in Canada's North (which is much more heinous IMO):

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/cansino-mcmaster-vaccine-partnership-1.6327254

Exclusive: 2020 intel warned Trudeau government that China’s interference in Canadian elections will likely be ‘pervasive’

A February 2020 intelligence document warned Justin Trudeau that China's interference in Canadian elections would be 'more persistent and pervasive in future elections.'

Global News

@rvawonk Putin thought he could significantly weaken the free world's democracies by supporting & funding every conceivable right-wing extremist entity in grownup democracies.

Putin also thought, he could defeat free Ukraine & defibrillate the tsarist totalitarian empire within laughable 3 days.

He was damn wrong on both!

#StandWithFreedom #StandWithUkraine #DefendDemocracy #DefensiveDemocracy #Freedom #Democracy #FreeRussia #PutinsWar #PutinTribunal #FuckPutin

@ArenaCops @rvawonk you don’t think our democracy is significantly weakened? I’m fairly certain it is.

@zakyfarms @rvawonk Most of the free world's democracies, which I was mentioning, are not significantly impacted by Putin's destabilization ops.
As for the U.S., you're certainly not wrong. However, the dire situation of American democracy even predates Putin's takeover of Russian presidential office. Electoral fraud methods like voter suppression, disenfranchisement, gerrymandering & other cheats weakened democracy over many decades without significant accountability, to an extent hardly known in other democracies of the free world.
Adding to it flawed separation of powers (=>judiciary, SCOTUS....) & separation of church & state (pseudo-religious fanatics taking public offices).
And it shouldn't be accepted as part of "American exceptionalism".

Fanatical enemies of the democratic constitutional order don't belong in any public office.

#DefendDemocracy #DefensiveDemocracy #Democracy #Politics
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defensive_democracy

Defensive democracy - Wikipedia

Excellent thread by @rvawonk illustrating Russian’s disinformation campaign during the 2022 Canadian trucm protests: https://newsie.social/@rvawonk/109806958357958721
Caroline Orr Bueno (@[email protected])

Attached: 1 image Ok, so now that I’ve had a moment to breathe, let me take a few minutes to dive into the study I just published about Russian involvement in the 2022 truck convoy in Canada. The study can be read in full here: https://journals.lib.sfu.ca/index.php/jicw/article/view/5101

Newsie Social

@rvawonk

You have underscored their full- scope propaganda machine that's ready to roll and prize apart the smallest, dopiest crack.

@rvawonk I suspect that, digging deeper, one could find GRU cutouts, even billionaire cutouts or oligarch wannabes, directing, financing, and providing material support to these supposed grass roots movements. Their dissatisfaction and rage is manufactured by targeted corruption of religious leaders (even supplying them with sermons) and mind control operations targeted at the most gullible segments of the population. It’s far from spontaneous.
@rvawonk Thanks for this research. Thanks, too, for summarizing it here.
@MarvinFreeman thanks for reading!
@rvawonk
I always read whatever you write, since soon after I got on tw in '16

@rvawonk *Chinese* influence campaigns, FTFY:

"a “global campaign that’s operating in seven languages, on at least 30 social media platforms and across 40+ website & forums,” experts at Mandiant and Google say"

https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/08/politics/pro-chinese-disinformation-operation-coronavirus-pandemic-protests/index.html

Which the Chinese emulated from the Russians in 2016, so maybe it's a chicken-and-egg thing:

"noting parallels to the Russian disinformation campaign around the 2016 presidential election."

https://web.archive.org/web/20220107191147/https://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/07/magazine/the-agency.html

@rvawonk It's a great paper! Is the journal new? It's the first time I've seen it
@philfeld no, it’s been around for a few years at least. Not sure when it first started, but there are a few years of archives.

@rvawonk Yup! Ironic that it was neo-Nazis the Russians were funding in Canada, during the weeks-long coup attempt:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/coutts-arrests-charges-border-protest-1.6354587

Coutts arrests: new details on the men and women charged in border blockade | CBC News

Previous criminal convictions, a willingness to die for the cause and connections to a violent insurrectionist movement. CBC News has learned new details about some of the men and women arrested in connection with the Coutts, Alta., border blockades on Monday.

CBC

@rvawonk

These telegram channels were basically boiling pots and those who followed them were frogs slowly being boiled with Russia propaganda.

#Russia
#Propaganda #Misinformation #Disinformation

@rvawonk are there archives of the Telegram channels? The closest thing I've found was on Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/DataHoarder/comments/tamgau/2022_freedom_convoy_protest_archive/

Really interesting paper. Thanks for posting it and the summary.

2022 "Freedom Convoy" Protest Archive

EDIT: thread was locked lmao, if you have questions or any problems downloading please DM me Size: 3.026 TiB File count: 181,741 Hash:...

reddit

@rvawonk

The convoy of shame was part of Putin's attack on Ukraine. Part of Putin's dictatorship.

Treason.

#ConvoyOfShame #cpc #russiansubversion #ableg #canpoli #nspoli

@rvawonk Interesting. Do you think it was the Russians or the Chinese who purchased this Trend Takeover on 20 Nov 2022:

https://nitter.unixfox.eu/TheSpoonless/status/1595217893255413760#m

I thought it was the Chinese, due to deteriorating relations (or at least the appearance of same) between China and Canada, but it definitely could have been the Russians, as well.

@rvawonk

The repetitive use of specific words & phrases is deliberate.
Repetition creates belief.

It doesn't matter where the repetition comes from, unreliable sources promoting lies or reliable sources "debunking" the lies.

The more a person hears a lie repeated, the more likely they are to believe the lie.

That's why liars keep repeating known lies & why it's bad that news orgs repeat these same lies in their coverage.

👀 : https://www.washingtonpost.com/wellness/2022/11/03/misinformation-brain-beliefs/
🧵 : https://newsie.social/@ZhiZhu/109530716627287778

#Propaganda

Why do our brains believe lies?

Many of the decisions we make depend on accurate information, but our psychological biases and predispositions make us vulnerable to the spread of falsehoods.

The Washington Post
@ZhiZhu @rvawonk Precisely. That's why it's so infuriating that pretty much all journalists are doing it. *You don't quote from a terrorist manifesto*, and that should apply to all harmful lies.
Funny you should link to WaPo for this... this is a good source:
https://www.climatechangecommunication.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/DebunkingHandbook2020.pdf
@rvawonk This is also exactly how the Russians postured it, on Twitter.

@rvawonk The coup attempt in Canada was absolutely used as a distraction; the Russians then went on to spread their "denazification" propaganda to justify their war in eastern Europe, when it was neo-Nazis they were funding to attempt a coup in Canada:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/jeremy-mackenzie-leader-of-the-controversial-diagolon-movement-arrested-on-canada-wide-warrant-1.6599930

Jeremy Mackenzie, leader of the controversial Diagolon movement, arrested on Canada-wide warrant | CBC News

Saskatchewan RCMP have confirmed that Jeremy Mackenzie, the leader of the controversial Diagolon movement, was arrested on a Canada-wide warrant on Wednesday.

CBC
@thespoonless @rvawonk when I was in Albania for 2 months in the spring of 2019, Russian interference was insane. They knew Albania had EU inspectors coming & the worst thing for the Russians is when the Balkans get to stabilize. So they had instigators out causing protests twice a week or more, getting violent, etc. It worked, the EU cancelled a visit because of “tensions” and I dunno how it all worked out. But EVERYONE told me it was the Russians & paid protesters.
@rvawonk Poor organization because the convoy was led by stupid people killed it in the end. The 1/6 terrorists live streamed their crimes. Low IQ right wing Americans are a blessing and a curse. They are easily misled but thankfully don’t have the wherewithal to follow through properly. @donieosullivan @mehdihasan

@marktaylor @rvawonk @donieosullivan @mehdihasan

Does your research examine the role fundamentalist churches from Alberta played in the Feb 2022 convoy?

Links to a Koch-funded think tank, Justice Centre for Constitutional Freedoms (@JCCFCanada) are concerning. This group has managed to involve some high profile Canadian Conservative Party members.

The anti-democracy movements in America also have the same parallels; political conservatives, fundamentalist Christians, & oil interests.
1/2

Daphne Bramham: 'Freedom fighter' John Carpay advocates justice, then tries to subvert it

Opinion: Spying on and intimidating a judge isn't freedom fighting, it's criminal and it may cost a career and crash a so-called justice centre

Vancouver Sun

@rvawonk

* NYT, Fox, & CNN are oligopoly-funded propaganda outlets.

* Ukraine, Russia, and the US have very active & inflential fascist elements.

* Accusations of "aiding Putin", "Russian bot", etc are actively being used to suppress dissent in the West. Most egregiously it was used against healthcare workers in the UK.

* There's a necessary discussion that needs to happen about the war in Ukraine and where it's leading us. Especially in light of our decades long involvement in Afghanistan.

@JoeChip @rvawonk

This is an important study and an informative thread @rvawonk - I followed your work on BirbHell so I’m happy to find you here.