#statstab #522 Bayes Rules! Different priors, different posteriors

Thoughts: Nice illustration of how uninformative and informative priors change your posterior.

#bayesian #dataviz #bayes #inference #sensitivity #priors

https://www.bayesrulesbook.com/chapter-4#ch4-priors

RE: https://bayes.club/@modrak_m/116362631774641861

They're doing the Lord's work over there explaining how to do modeling to the masses (with #rstats examples)

#Bayesian modeling wisdom even #AI and #ML people should understand.

πŸŽ™οΈ New episode of Learning Bayesian Statistics!

EP 155 with Alex Andorra & Andreas Munk, why Bayesian inference still hasn't broken into everyday use. The barrier isn't the math, it's the mental shift

πŸ”— https://lnkd.in/gchb6bqj

#Bayesian #ProbablisticProgramming

#MissKittyPolitics #AI #Research #VIDEO 76 seconds until #nuclear midnight. A short explanation. <8 min. #PRA. #Bayesian. #Game #Theory.

Nuclear_Risk.mp4
Nuclear_Risk.mp4

Google Docs
#MissKittyPolitics #AI #Research 76 seconds until midnight. The short explanation. 17+ min. #PRA. #Bayesian. #Game #Theory.

Calculating_the_probability_of...
Calculating_the_probability_of_nuclear_war.m4a

Google Docs
Seventy_Six_Seconds_to_Midnight.m4a

Google Docs

Defining the Computational Surface:

β€‹πŸ”Ή [Level 0] - KEREN: 0 Tokens. Surface-level discovery and basic vendor identification. The "Free Look" at the gate.

β€‹πŸ”Έ [Level 1] - CHARLOTTE: 1 Token. Bayesian Prior Analysis. This detects "Numerical Sickness" and generates your baseline HFY (How Fucked Are You) score.

​Choose your depth.

​#RiskEngine #DataScience #Bayesian #HFYScore #Charlotte

Embracing Bayesian Methods in Clinical Trials

This Perspective discusses the importance of the US Food and Drug Administration’s draft guidance on the use of bayesian methods in clinical trials because it underscores its commitment to modernizing clinical research.

#statstab #514 A puzzle of proportions

Thoughts: "Two popular Bayesian tests can yield dramatically different conclusions"
Model specification is important.

#bayesian #bayes #bayesfactor #nulleffects #proportions

https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.9278