UPDATE: THIS DID NOT CONSISTENTLY WORK--some model objects still corrupted.

Went through some agony learning saveRDS() does not preserve all parts of a cmdstan_model object. The model information is corrupted upon re-importing it with readRDS(). I have to use the qs_save() from the qs2 📦 for a save that preserves the model info. #rstats #bayes #mcmc

BREAKING: Henceforth, I shall be using a new technique, “division”, to determine how much an item costs per count or unit weight.

This advance is a radical and exciting departure from the current method, counting on my fingers and toes.

🤦🏼 🤦🏼 🤦🏼

These f-ing morons.

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DTdoFw7kciA/?igsh=NTc4MTIwNjQ2YQ==

(For those unfamiliar, #Bayes was an 18th c. British #mathematician who developed an equation that has been used for centuries to calculate the probability of an event given what we already know. For example: if you get a medical test with 80% accuracy, and it returns positive, what is the chance you actually have the tested condition? Not 80%, as you may assume. The answer depends on the likelihood of developing that condition in the first place, and then applying the likelihood that the test is correct. Bayes’ theorem is pervasive in #medicine and many other disciplines, and not recently discovered by nut job RFK Jr. and his empty-headed lackeys.)

#math #science #statistics #CDC #HHS

When I was in high school, my driver’s ed teacher told us about when **he** learned to drive. He was all over the road. His father was teaching him and immediately saw why: the son was looking at the lines to stay between them, the lines he was touching, the close ones. The father told him "you have to look where you’re going … way down the road!"

I think they were **both** right (and of course, as always, this is not really about driving). You must keep aiming for the end goal, but you will also make constant adjustments (usually small) to get there. Both matter. This is how you solve problems with code. This is also Bayesian thinking.

#Bayes #Bayesian #Programming

#statstab #465 How to embrace variation and accept
uncertainty in linguistic and
psycholinguistic data analysis

Thoughts: An accessible paper on communicating your results with nuance.

#bayes #bayesian #uncertainty #error #bias #guide #tutorial

https://sites.stat.columbia.edu/gelman/research/published/Uncertainty.pdf

Is a tossed coin/die actually random, or is it influenced by the initial physical forces that are imparted to it? Is the outcome an indication of your state at the time of the toss, and is any interpretation of that state valid? What is the probability it is?

#physics #destiny #bayes

Is a tossed coin/die actually random, or is it influenced by the initial physical forces that are imparted to it? Is the outcome an indication of your state at the time of the toss, and is any interpretation of that state valid? What is the probability it is?

#physics #destiny #bayes

🎙️ What does it take to grow in tech? Jordan Thibodeau shares lessons from years inside top tech cultures with Alex Andorra

✅ Bayesian thinking as a practical advantage

✅ AI amplifies skill, not replaces it

✅ Networking & sharing knowledge matter

🎧 https://lnkd.in/ghk6D6nH

#bayes #career