Dr Mircea Zloteanu ๐ŸŒบ๐ŸŒž๐Ÿƒ

@mzloteanu
454 Followers
153 Following
1.2K Posts
Lecturer Psych&Crim @KingsCollegeLon | Deception Detection; Emotions; JDM | Open Science; R; Bayes | @ukrepro ReproTea & StatsTea | #statstab | ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐ŸŒ
PUBShttps://scholar.google.com/citations?hl=en&user=kkEJtq0AAAAJ
Interests#rstats #bayesian #dataviz #psychology #metapsych #openresearch #openscience
ORCIDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-2753-637X
Figuring Stuff Out (stats blog)https://mzloteanu.substack.com/

#statstab #551 Challenges to Mean-Based Analysis in Psychology: The Contrast Between Individual People and General Science

Thoughts: Useful collection of papers to better understand psychology.

#methods #psychology #theory #debate #group #statistics

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4990536/

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#statstab #550 Risk Ratio, odds ratio, risk differenceโ€ฆWhich causal measure is easier to generalize?

Thoughts: "only the risk diff. can disentangle the treatment effect from the baseline at pop & strata levels"

#collapsibility #oddsratios #riskratios

https://arxiv.org/html/2303.16008v3

Risk Ratio, odds ratio, risk differenceโ€ฆ Which causal measure is easier to generalize?

#statstab #549 Nonrandomized studies using causal-modeling may give different answers than RCTs

Thoughts: "effect estimates deviated 1.58-fold between the study designs"

#Nof1 #randomization #causalinference #observational #marginalstructuralmodels

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31704350/

Nonrandomized studies using causal-modeling may give different answers than RCTs: a meta-epidemiological study - PubMed

Nonrandomized studies using causal modeling with MSM may give different answers than RCTs. Caution is still required when nonrandomized "real world" evidence is used for healthcare decisions.

PubMed

#statstab #548 Checking model assumption {easystats}

Thoughts: The {performance} package is great at a one-function plot for assunptions. Good explanations also (bug theory limited).

#rstats #assumptions #linearity #linearmodel #r #modelselection

https://easystats.github.io/performance/articles/check_model.html

Bayesian Workflow book can now be pre-ordered directly from the publisher (shipping date June 26) https://www.routledge.com/Bayesian-Workflow/Gelman-Vehtari-McElreath-Simpson-Margossian-Yao-Kennedy-Gabry-Burkner-Modrak-Barajas/p/book/9780367490140

You can find a 20% discount code in our Bayesian Workflow book website https://avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Workflow/

Bayesian Workflow

Bayesian statistics and statistical practice have evolved over the years, driven by advancements in theory, methods, and computational tools. Bayesian Workflow explores the intricate workflows of applied Bayesian statistics, aiming to uncover the tacit knowledge often overlooked in published papers and textbooks. By systematizing the process of Bayesian model development, the book seeks to improve applied analyses and inspire future innovations in theory, methods, and software. It emphasizes the

Routledge & CRC Press

#statstab #547 Statistical inference for exploratory data analysis and model diagnostics

Thoughts: A rather odd and provocative article. Taking visual inference to its limit.

#exploratory #eda #plots #Rorschach #inference #simulation #lineups

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/26871625_Statistical_Inference_for_Exploratory_Data_Analysis_and_Model_Diagnostics

#statstab #546 Assumption-checking rather than (just) testing: The importance of visualization and effect size in statistical diagnostics

Thoughts: Think more about what "assumption checking" means.

#assumptions #tutorial #nhst #epistemology #statistics

https://link.springer.com/article/10.3758/s13428-023-02072-x

Assumption-checking rather than (just) testing: The importance of visualization and effect size in statistical diagnostics - Behavior Research Methods

Statistical methods generally have assumptions (e.g., normality in linear regression models). Violations of these assumptions can cause various issues, like statistical errors and biased estimates, whose impact can range from inconsequential to critical. Accordingly, it is important to check these assumptions, but this is often done in a flawed way. Here, I first present a prevalent but problematic approach to diagnosticsโ€”testing assumptions using null hypothesis significance tests (e.g., the Shapiroโ€“Wilk test of normality). Then, I consolidate and illustrate the issues with this approach, primarily using simulations. These issues include statistical errors (i.e., false positives, especially with large samples, and false negatives, especially with small samples), false binarity, limited descriptiveness, misinterpretation (e.g., of p-value as an effect size), and potential testing failure due to unmet test assumptions. Finally, I synthesize the implications of these issues for statistical diagnostics, and provide practical recommendations for improving such diagnostics. Key recommendations include maintaining awareness of the issues with assumption tests (while recognizing they can be useful), using appropriate combinations of diagnostic methods (including visualization and effect sizes) while recognizing their limitations, and distinguishing between testing and checking assumptions. Additional recommendations include judging assumption violations as a complex spectrum (rather than a simplistic binary), using programmatic tools that increase replicability and decrease researcher degrees of freedom, and sharing the material and rationale involved in the diagnostics.

SpringerLink

#statstab #545 Dynamic Meta-analysis: When Transparency Meets Multiplicity

Thoughts: Seems like hard work but makes perfect sense. Combine this with live meta-analyses.

#metascience #metaanalysis #evidence #multiverse

https://drmattg.github.io/Uncertain_Ecologist/Dynamic_Meta_analysis.html

Dynamic Meta-analysis: When Transparency Meets Multiplicity

#statstab #544 {Bambi} plot predictions

Thoughts: Python package that works similarly to {marginaleffects}

#python #stats #modelling #prediction #marginaleffects #effects #marginalia #reporting

https://bambinos.github.io/bambi/notebooks/plot_predictions.html

Plot Predictions โ€“ Bambi

Fedizens! Please send me your favourite meme which shows something important about the #Fediverse

I'll go first: