#statstab #551 Challenges to Mean-Based Analysis in Psychology: The Contrast Between Individual People and General Science
Thoughts: Useful collection of papers to better understand psychology.
| PUBS | https://scholar.google.com/citations?hl=en&user=kkEJtq0AAAAJ |
| Interests | #rstats #bayesian #dataviz #psychology #metapsych #openresearch #openscience |
| ORCID | https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2753-637X |
| Figuring Stuff Out (stats blog) | https://mzloteanu.substack.com/ |
#statstab #551 Challenges to Mean-Based Analysis in Psychology: The Contrast Between Individual People and General Science
Thoughts: Useful collection of papers to better understand psychology.
#statstab #550 Risk Ratio, odds ratio, risk differenceโฆWhich causal measure is easier to generalize?
Thoughts: "only the risk diff. can disentangle the treatment effect from the baseline at pop & strata levels"
#statstab #549 Nonrandomized studies using causal-modeling may give different answers than RCTs
Thoughts: "effect estimates deviated 1.58-fold between the study designs"
#Nof1 #randomization #causalinference #observational #marginalstructuralmodels

Nonrandomized studies using causal modeling with MSM may give different answers than RCTs. Caution is still required when nonrandomized "real world" evidence is used for healthcare decisions.
#statstab #548 Checking model assumption {easystats}
Thoughts: The {performance} package is great at a one-function plot for assunptions. Good explanations also (bug theory limited).
#rstats #assumptions #linearity #linearmodel #r #modelselection
https://easystats.github.io/performance/articles/check_model.html
Bayesian Workflow book can now be pre-ordered directly from the publisher (shipping date June 26) https://www.routledge.com/Bayesian-Workflow/Gelman-Vehtari-McElreath-Simpson-Margossian-Yao-Kennedy-Gabry-Burkner-Modrak-Barajas/p/book/9780367490140
You can find a 20% discount code in our Bayesian Workflow book website https://avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Workflow/

Bayesian statistics and statistical practice have evolved over the years, driven by advancements in theory, methods, and computational tools. Bayesian Workflow explores the intricate workflows of applied Bayesian statistics, aiming to uncover the tacit knowledge often overlooked in published papers and textbooks. By systematizing the process of Bayesian model development, the book seeks to improve applied analyses and inspire future innovations in theory, methods, and software. It emphasizes the
#statstab #547 Statistical inference for exploratory data analysis and model diagnostics
Thoughts: A rather odd and provocative article. Taking visual inference to its limit.
#exploratory #eda #plots #Rorschach #inference #simulation #lineups
#statstab #546 Assumption-checking rather than (just) testing: The importance of visualization and effect size in statistical diagnostics
Thoughts: Think more about what "assumption checking" means.
#assumptions #tutorial #nhst #epistemology #statistics
https://link.springer.com/article/10.3758/s13428-023-02072-x

Statistical methods generally have assumptions (e.g., normality in linear regression models). Violations of these assumptions can cause various issues, like statistical errors and biased estimates, whose impact can range from inconsequential to critical. Accordingly, it is important to check these assumptions, but this is often done in a flawed way. Here, I first present a prevalent but problematic approach to diagnosticsโtesting assumptions using null hypothesis significance tests (e.g., the ShapiroโWilk test of normality). Then, I consolidate and illustrate the issues with this approach, primarily using simulations. These issues include statistical errors (i.e., false positives, especially with large samples, and false negatives, especially with small samples), false binarity, limited descriptiveness, misinterpretation (e.g., of p-value as an effect size), and potential testing failure due to unmet test assumptions. Finally, I synthesize the implications of these issues for statistical diagnostics, and provide practical recommendations for improving such diagnostics. Key recommendations include maintaining awareness of the issues with assumption tests (while recognizing they can be useful), using appropriate combinations of diagnostic methods (including visualization and effect sizes) while recognizing their limitations, and distinguishing between testing and checking assumptions. Additional recommendations include judging assumption violations as a complex spectrum (rather than a simplistic binary), using programmatic tools that increase replicability and decrease researcher degrees of freedom, and sharing the material and rationale involved in the diagnostics.
#statstab #545 Dynamic Meta-analysis: When Transparency Meets Multiplicity
Thoughts: Seems like hard work but makes perfect sense. Combine this with live meta-analyses.
#metascience #metaanalysis #evidence #multiverse
https://drmattg.github.io/Uncertain_Ecologist/Dynamic_Meta_analysis.html
#statstab #544 {Bambi} plot predictions
Thoughts: Python package that works similarly to {marginaleffects}
#python #stats #modelling #prediction #marginaleffects #effects #marginalia #reporting
https://bambinos.github.io/bambi/notebooks/plot_predictions.html
Fedizens! Please send me your favourite meme which shows something important about the #Fediverse
I'll go first: