"Alle 6:49 di lunedì mattina ora di New York,
[...] i mercati hanno cominciato ad avere dei movimenti anomali. [...]

Poiché i movimenti di borsa sono stati provocati da un annuncio di Trump, l’ipotesi più plausibile è che le informazioni necessarie per l’ #insidertrading siano arrivate da qualcuno con accesso al presidente o alla sua amministrazione, che quindi sapeva che Trump stava per rimandare l’ultimatum. Questo nelle amministrazioni statunitensi passate sarebbe stato un grande scandalo[...]

Prima ancora della guerra in Iran, su #Polymarket erano state fatte grosse vincite sull’attacco di gennaio contro il Venezuela, e su altri eventi che in teoria dovrebbero essere noti soltanto a poche persone vicine a #Trump."

https://www.ilpost.it/2026/04/02/guerra-trump-borse/

#usa #iran

‘Uncanny Valley’: Iran’s Threats on US Tech, Trump’s Plans for Midterms, and Polymarket’s Pop-up Flop

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://www.wired.com/story/uncanny-valley-podcast-iran-targets-us-tech-polymarket-pop-up-trump-midterms/

The Guardian | Polymarket and other prediction platforms driving oil market, traders say by Jillian Ambrose Energy correspondent

Datafeeds from platforms being used to create algorithms that determine multimillion-dollar trades on global market

Energy traders say online betting platforms are directly driving the global oil market as they increasingly rely on anonymous prediction markets to determine multimillion-dollar trades.

Market experts have said that datafeeds from prediction platforms such as Polymarket are being used to create the algorithms that influence trading in the global Brent crude futures market.

Continue reading...

Read more: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/apr/02/energy-traders-polymarket-prediction-datafeeds-global-oil-market

#polymarket #predictionplatforms #oilmarket #algorithms #futuresmarket

Critics say traders appear to be getting confidential information about major news that will move markets, and then placing trades just before it happens, winning a big payoff. Suspicions of impropriety have sparked a wave of legislation in both houses of Congress. #insidertrading #polymarket #stocks

https://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2026/0401/trump-insider-trading-polymarket-iran?utm_source=flipboard&utm_medium=activitypub

Posted into IT'S YOUR ECONOMY @it-s-your-economy-csmonitor

Ashley Splawinski looks at the Kalshi and Polymarket betting markets where people have made money betting on who will be killed next and when, and explains why we're not likely to see much regulation of those markets soon.

There's the fact that Donald Trump Jr. is on Polymarket's advisory board and is a strategic advisor with Kalshi.

#Polymarket #Kalshi #betting #gambling #futures #InsiderTrading #Trump #Iran #war
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https://donmoynihan.substack.com/p/the-polymarket-nobody-knows-how-to