P2Pとかその辺のお話R | Sharing is Caringニュースが「賭けの対象」になるとき――急拡大する予測市場とジャーナリズムの接近
オラクルに銃を突きつけろ――「予測市場」とグッドハートの法則
Eugene Alvin Villar 🇵🇭I’m amused by the audacity of #Polymarket approaching #MorePerfectUnion for a partnership. As expected, the latter shows why Polymarket and #Kalshi are bad.
Polymarket Asked To Work With Us. We Exposed Their Scam Instead.
Hacker NewsKalshi CEO expects US DOJ to prosecute insider trading cases
#HackerNews #Kalshi #CEO #InsiderTrading #DOJ #TarekMansour #Finance #News
Ars Technica NewsIt's Tax Day, and no one knows how to file for prediction market winnings https://arstechni.ca/hwb5 #incometaxes #syndication #polymarket #gambling #Policy #Kalshi #IRS
sayzardGrace Li (@grx_xce)
AI 모델이 실제 예측 시장에서 사람보다 더 많은 수익을 낼 수 있는지 평가하는 새로운 벤치마크 Prediction Arena가 소개됐다. Kalshi에서 실제 거래를 실행하는 세계 최초의 테스트로, 모델의 경제적 의사결정 능력을 검증하는 중요한 시도다.
https://x.com/grx_xce/status/2044120784323654079
#benchmark #prediction_market #kalshi #trading #ai_evaluation
Grace Li (@grx_xce) on X
Can the average AI model make more money than the average human on prediction markets? Right now, no. 3 months ago, we gave SOTA models $50k to trade real prediction markets Prediction Arena is now the world's first benchmark that executes real trades on @Kalshi and
William Lindsey 
"'I’m a spiritual, religious person,' he said. 'The more secular people would say, this opportunity is coincidence. But in my head, I was like, this is a sign of something to some extent. Let me lean into this.'
So Francia started Prediction Hunt, a Discord channel and online community where thousands of people gather to trade tips and ideas for how to make money – and bet smart – on Polymarket."
#Trump #Iran #war #PredictionMarkets #crypto #Kalshi #Polymarket #InsiderTrading
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Aisha Down reports on a Guardian investigation that "reveals how the prediction market can shape news – and how it rules on ‘the truth."
"‘No one wants to make money off war or people dying, but …’
'I love to gamble,' said Joseph Francia."
#Trump #Iran #war #PredictionMarkets #crypto #Kalshi #Polymarket #InsiderTrading
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KillBait NewsFederal Judge Blocks Arizona from Prosecuting Kalshi Over Prediction Market Operations
📰 Original title: Judge Pauses Arizona's Prosecution of Kalshi, Bars Arizona from Regulating Prediction Markets
🤖 IA: It's not clickbait ✅
👥 Usuarios: It's not clickbait ✅
View full AI summary: https://killbait.com/en/federal-judge-blocks-arizona-from-prosecuting-kalshi-over-prediction-market-operations/?redirpost=63f1e960-a964-47a7-9e03-6f5e3bc40b52
KillBaitFederal Judge Blocks Arizona from Prosecuting Kalshi Over Prediction Market Operations
📰 Original title: Judge Pauses Arizona's Prosecution of Kalshi, Bars Arizona from Regulating Prediction Markets
🤖 IA: It's not clickbait ✅
👥 Usuarios: It's not clickbait ✅
View full AI summary: https://killbait.com/en/federal-judge-blocks-arizona-from-prosecuting-kalshi-over-prediction-market-operations/?redirpost=63f1e960-a964-47a7-9e03-6f5e3bc40b52