Today’s post is about prediction markets. Kalshi is being sued by users upset that they can’t collect for predicting political assassinations and by states that think they can regulate gambling.

An Israeli Reporter was threatened by Polymarket users for reporting, accurately it seems, that an Iranian missile evaded Israeli defenses and exploded just outside of Beit Shemesh. The users lost their bets (sorry, "predictions") as a result.

#law #contraacts #predictionmarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket #Iran

https://www.contractsprofblog.com/2026/03/two-news-items-on-kalshi/

Pluralistic: Goodhart's Law vs "prediction markets" (24 Mar 2026)

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://pluralistic.net/2026/03/24/degenerated-gambling/

Axios: Exclusive: Kalshi to preemptively block athletes and politicians from trading on their markets. “Prediction market Kalshi plans to block athletes, coaches and officials from betting on their sports and to block political candidates from trading on their campaigns, Axios has learned.”

Kalshi Has Been Temporarily Banned in Nevada | WIRED

https://www.wired.com/story/nevada-bans-kalshi-prediction-market/

#Kalshi #predictionmarkets #fintech

Kalshi Has Been Temporarily Banned in Nevada | WIRED

https://www.wired.com/story/nevada-bans-kalshi-prediction-market/

#Kalshi #predictionmarkets #fintech

Kalshi Has Been Temporarily Banned in Nevada | WIRED

https://www.wired.com/story/nevada-bans-kalshi-prediction-market/

#Kalshi #predictionmarkets #fintech

The Regulation Hammer is about to drop!

Prediction Market Vendors may soon face U.S. Federal Gov. ban on sports and casino-style betting like poker, blackjack, and slot machine games. Lawmakers argue these products blur the line between financial markets and gambling.

https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/03/23/prediction-markets-face-threat-as-senate-bill-seeks-to-kill-sports-betting-contracts/ #CFTC #PredictionMarkets #PolyMarket #Kalshi #Gambling #Betting #SportsBetting #USGov #Regulation #Crypto #Betting