‘Uncanny Valley’: Iran’s Threats on US Tech, Trump’s Plans for Midterms, and Polymarket’s Pop-up Flop
The Guardian | Polymarket and other prediction platforms driving oil market, traders say by Jillian Ambrose Energy correspondent
Datafeeds from platforms being used to create algorithms that determine multimillion-dollar trades on global market
Energy traders say online betting platforms are directly driving the global oil market as they increasingly rely on anonymous prediction markets to determine multimillion-dollar trades.
Market experts have said that datafeeds from prediction platforms such as Polymarket are being used to create the algorithms that influence trading in the global Brent crude futures market.
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#polymarket #predictionplatforms #oilmarket #algorithms #futuresmarket
Critics say traders appear to be getting confidential information about major news that will move markets, and then placing trades just before it happens, winning a big payoff. Suspicions of impropriety have sparked a wave of legislation in both houses of Congress. #insidertrading #polymarket #stocks
Posted into IT'S YOUR ECONOMY @it-s-your-economy-csmonitor
Critics say traders appear to be getting confidential information about major news that will move markets, and then placing trades just before it happens, winning a big payoff. It’s sparking a wave of legislation in both houses of Congress.
"The logic behind prediction markets is unlike a poll or a pundit. Instead, the bettor has to publicly put money on the line about their expectations and will lose hard cash for being wrong. This should incentivize accuracy, but only if one assumes the money on the line reflects genuine belief rather than privileged access.
Evidence that it may reward privileged access to information is accumulating."
#Polymarket #Kalshi #betting #gambling #futures #InsiderTrading #Trump #Iran #war
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Ashley Splawinski looks at the Kalshi and Polymarket betting markets where people have made money betting on who will be killed next and when, and explains why we're not likely to see much regulation of those markets soon.
There's the fact that Donald Trump Jr. is on Polymarket's advisory board and is a strategic advisor with Kalshi.
#Polymarket #Kalshi #betting #gambling #futures #InsiderTrading #Trump #Iran #war
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https://donmoynihan.substack.com/p/the-polymarket-nobody-knows-how-to
NYSE owner ICE invested $600M in Polymarket — pushing prediction markets further into the financial mainstream.
This is a major shift:
Platforms once seen as niche or experimental are now attracting institutional capital.
Full article:
https://metaadvisor.eu/news/ice-polymarket-investment-nyse-prediction-markets/
#crypto #bitcoin #AI #fintech #polymarket #markets
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
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