Kyselytutkimuksissa ongelmana on se, että vastausvaihtoehdot ei välttämättä riitä kuvaamaan todellisuutta kovinkaan monipuolisesti, tai pahimmassa tapauksessa ne vääristävät tutkimustuloksia. Ja sitten voidaan tehdä sellasia johtopäätöksiä, että kaikki ylipainoiset haluaa laihduttaa. Käytettäspä tätä edes dieettikulttuurin kritiikkiin - vaik sittenkin saattaisi nousta tutkimuseettisiä kysymyksiä...
#Kyselytutkimus voi olla hyväkin. Tämä ei ollut.
OK - apparently #Norstat were formerly #Panelbase
So, as you were. An actual polling organisation. Still weird not to have seen them before
SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Holyrood constituency voting intention by #Norstat:
🟡 * National Party: 33% (=)
🔴 * Scottish Labour: 23% (-7)
🔵 * Conservatives: 15% (+3)
⚪ Reform UK: 11% (+2)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 10% (+2)
🟢 * Greens: 6% (+1)
* Scottish
Conducted 30 October - 1 November 2024. Changes with 20-22 August 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens
SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Holyrood regional list voting intention by #Norstat:
🟡 * National Party: 29% (+1)
🔴 * Scottish Labour: 22% (-6)
🔵 * Conservatives: 14% (=)
⚪ Reform UK: 11% (+2)
🟢 * Greens: 9% (+1)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (+2)
🟤 Alba Party: 3% (-2)
* Scottish
Conducted 30 October - 1 November 2024. Changes with 20-22 August 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #AlbaParty
SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Norstat:
🟡 SNP: 30% (+1)
🔴 Labour: 23% (-9)
🔵 Conservatives: 15% (+3)
⚪ Reform UK: 14% (+2)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (+2)
🟢 Greens: 6% (+1)
SNP lead of 7 points.
Conducted 30 October - 1 November 2024. Changes with 20-22 August 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens
SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Holyrood constituency voting intention by #Norstat:
🟡 * National Party: 33% (-2)
🔴 * Scottish Labour: 30% (-2)
🔵 * Conservatives: 12% (-2)
⚪ Reform UK: 9% (new)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 8% (=)
🟢 * Greens: 5% (=)
* Scottish
Conducted 20-22 August 2024. Changes with 24-26 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens
SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Holyrood list voting intention by #Norstat:
🟡 * National Party: 28% (=)
🔴 * Scottish Labour: 28% (-1)
🔵 * Conservatives: 14% (-2)
⚪ Reform UK: 9% (+3)
🟢 * Greens: 8% (=)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)
🟤 Alba Party: 5% (+1)
* Scottish
Conducted 20-22 August 2024. Changes with 24-26 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #AlbaParty
SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Norstat:
🔴 Labour: 32% (-3)
🟡 SNP: 29% (-1)
⚪ Reform UK: 12% (+5)
🔵 Conservatives: 12% (-1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 8% (-2)
🟢 Greens: 5% (+1)
Conducted 20-22 August 2024. Changes with GE 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens
GB OPINION POLL ACCURACY
Overall, the GB opinion polling average overestimated Labour, underestimated the Conservatives, were all over the place with Reform and missed the increase in votes for 'Other' parties/candidates.
The most accurate, however, in order, were:
1. Norstat UK Polls (#Norstat)
2. Verian Group (#Verian)
3. JL Partners Polls (#JLPartners)
All of them were less than 2 points off the actual result for each party on average.
Essi Essi Essi Essi Essi
Roseanna Cunningham 🏴🖖
UK Election Results