Forecaster reacts: METR's bombshell paper about AI acceleration

https://peterwildeford.substack.com/p/forecaster-reacts-metrs-bombshell

#HackerNews #Forecaster #AI #METR #acceleration #bombshell

💰 HO INIZIATO A #INVESTIRE IN #BORSA con L'INTELLIGENZA ARTIFICIALE vol.1
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s1wlcQ4YP5I

#AndreaGaleazzi #Forecaster #Scalable

#National #election #forecaster predicts #Democratic #supermajorities in #Oregon #House, #Senate.

Only a handful of #legislative #races are expected to be #competitive

#Women #Transgender #LGBTQ #LGBTQIA #Oregon #DemocraticParty #Allies

https://oregoncapitalchronicle.com/2024/08/20/national-election-forecaster-predicts-democratic-supermajorities-in-oregon-house-senate/

'A PDE approach for regret bounds under partial monitoring', by Erhan Bayraktar, Ibrahim Ekren, Xin Zhang.

http://jmlr.org/papers/v24/22-1001.html

#wasserstein #forecaster #regret

No hype, just #hurricanes: https://TheEyewall.com is a new (to me) #forecasting #weather #blog “covering #tropical activity in the #Atlantic Ocean, #Caribbean Sea, and #GulfOfMexico,” founded by @mattlanza and @sciguyspace of #Houston-based #forecaster https://SpaceCityWeather.com

Check their page on #hurricane #preparedness and #evacuation: https://TheEyewall.com/hurricane-preparedness-and-information-on-evacuation/

#Idalia #Lee #Margot #Nigel #TropicalStorms #tropics

Busy days for us forecasters. 7 different warning event groups are currently issued on the @DeutscherWetterdienst warning map, which currently appears very colourful. In addition to storms, persistent rain, thaw and thunderstorms, snow will increasingly appear again in the coming hours.

#Weather
#Warnings
#Germany
#Forecaster

An #introduction, I’m a #forecaster at Good Judgment Inc, supposedly super. Often I have opinions about topics where I am not an expert, including #OSINT, #Geolocation, #Nukes, #AI

I’ve always been a #data hound. Am often outdoors.

In the past I’ve done some things in #robotics, #biomechanics, and generally at the interface between humans and machines.

I’m also a political sort of person but probably will keep that elsewhere.