Mastodawn

🇪🇺 "In 2025, the #EUISS publications reflected a 🌍 in flux and a #Europe facing increasingly hard choices. From navigating uncertainty in transatlantic relations, to efforts to counter #russia and manage #China, our analysts explored how the #EU can move from merely reacting to shaping its security environment.

Alongside wars in #Ukraine, the #MiddleEast, #Sudan and beyond, our most-read work also examined emerging risks, from disruptive technologies to #AI."
https://www.iss.europa.eu/activities/news/euiss-top-10-our-most-read-publications-2025

#US #News

EUISS top 10: Our most-read publications in 2025

In 2025, our publications reflected a world in flux and a Europe facing increasingly hard choices. Discover our most popular analyses of the year.

European Union Institute for Security Studies

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Gregor Reisch Jan 13, 2024

#EUISS please forgive me for brazenly/shamelessly using your original post on X as a template. And thank you for comissioning this insightful publication on #EU #earlywarning #conflictprevention #forecasting #foresight #prediction #data4peace #data4good !

Gregor Reisch Jan 13, 2024

⚠️ "The EU’s warning system is a good example of successful science-policy cooperation," says @bressansar in the first #EUISS Brief of the year.

Sarah Bressan assesses the effectiveness of the #EU’s #conflictprevention mechanisms and how they can be strengthened.

Find the #EUISS brief here:
https://www.iss.europa.eu/content/power-and-limits-data-peace

The power and limits of data for peace

Preventing violent conflict and fostering peace are the European Union’s main foreign policy goals – particularly regarding its immediate neighbourhood (1). The recent escalation of violence in places like Ukraine, Mali and Sudan begs the question of whether the EU’s conflict prevention mechanisms are effective and how they can be strengthened. To help avoid deadly violence and its consequences in the future, the EU needs to assess where risks for violence loom and how they can be reduced before violence escalates. Since 2012 it has done so with the help of its conflict early warning system (EWS), which has recently been updated as the toolset on EU conflict analysis and early warning. The toolset is one of the rare examples of a system that integrates data-driven conflict forecasting with traditional qualitative and intelligence assessments. The process combines in-depth analysis, political prioritisation, and planning of preventive engagement in countries at risk. In combination with other tools, the system is designed to improve the EU’s efforts towards conflict prevention and peacebuilding outside the Union (2). This Brief analyses the EU warning system’s contribution to conflict prevention and discusses ways to strengthen it. The first section examines the factors that contribute to the success of the system. The second section suggests how the system and the EU’s overall prevention approach can be further improved. Both sections hold lessons for developers of risk assessment and warning systems within and outside EU institutions. The Brief concludes by arguing that the European External Action Service (EEAS) should focus on expanding the methodological toolbox to include innovative foresight approaches. Together with the EU Commission, Member States and other partners, it should strengthen the link between warning and action to make sure analyses translate into meaningful, coordinated prevention.

European Union Institute for Security Studies

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HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴May 16, 2023

@[email protected] @aljazeera

(5/6)

"...agreements they have signed. #Türkiye will be then able to resell the extra gas to customers in the #EU and parts of the neighbourhood.

Whether this is a realistic prospect or a political ploy by the #Kremlin to boost
#Erdoğan’s popularity before a hotly contested election remains to be seen." (2)

NOTE:
If you would like to have further information of the #EUISS' assessment of #Turkey's geopolitical position in the...

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HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴May 16, 2023

@[email protected] @aljazeera

(2/n)

... as the #EU's own foreign-strategy agency, #EUISS, in an detailed report 2) on Feb 6, 2023:

"#Türkiye plays an important role regarding #Russian crude oil. The #EU ban on #seaborne imports of oil from #Russia, effective from 5 December onwards, has complicated matters.
#Turkish authorities demand that #tankers transiting the #Bosporus en route to international markets provide proof of insurance, which Western..."

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HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴May 14, 2023

@EU_ISS

(3/n)

...the #EUISS, I strongly oppose the view that the interests of all current + future #NATO members cannot be better aligned.

For #China, as it's policies in the #SouthChinaSea, the de-facto "#circumvallation" of #India, and its #BeltAndRoad Initiative, particularly in #Africa and other countries of the #GlobalSouth, has shown, "#multipolar world" means a #Chinese hegemony.
To think that being able to play a power broker between the two future superpowers, the...

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HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴May 14, 2023

@EU_ISS

(1/n)

For anyone wanting a deeper understanding of #Turkey's (#Türkiye) security and foreign policy in the #BlackSea region, I can highly recommend this piece by the #EUISS, the #EU's agency analyzing foreign, security and defence policy issues.

While I do share the following conclusion's findings, it can neither be in the #EU's nor #NATO's interest to accept the correct assertion as a given for the for the future. Even for #Türkiye,...

https://www.iss.europa.eu/content/sailing-through-storm

Sailing through the storm

Vladimir Putin’s aggression against Ukraine has once more turned the Black Sea into an arena of confrontation between a resurgent Russia and the West. The United States and the European Union have thrown their collective weight behind the defence of Ukrainian sovereignty, the military effort aimed at liberating Russian-occupied territories, and restoring Ukraine’s control over its territorial waters and economic zone in the Black and Azov Seas. As the conflict unfolds, Türkiye (1) remains very much a ‘swing actor’. Like the rest of NATO, it backs Ukraine. However, the Turkish leadership has refused to cut economic and diplomatic ties with Moscow, much less join the increasingly harsh sanctions imposed against Russia. Indeed, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan aspires to be a go-between in the conflict, mediating between the warring sides. At the same time, Türkiye is keen to exploit Russia’s weakness in order to expand its influence in and around the Black Sea. This Brief starts with a section exploring Türkiye’s pre-war geopolitical posture, both generally and with specific reference to the Black Sea. It then focuses on the Turkish response to the ongoing war in Ukraine and its evolution over time. The third part examines the role Türkiye plays in the Southern Caucasus, while the fourth section analyses the implications for the EU and the West more broadly. Lastly, the conclusion recapitulates the main findings and puts forward policy recommendations concerning the Union’s policy towards Türkiye.

European Union Institute for Security Studies

EU Institute for Security Stud Apr 21, 2023

RT @diploweb: #EUISS
How connectivity can affect conflict and fragility
dynamics in Africa, par C.PALLESCHI
https://www.iss.europa.eu/sites/default/files/EUISSFiles/Brief_6_African%20Conflictivity.pdf

Une évolution saine de la connectivité africaine peut jouer un rôle clef dans la stabilisation du continent en favorisant la pérennité de l'Etat.
@EU_ISS @k_ablo

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/EU_ISS/status/1649404445132746756

EU Institute for Security Stud Apr 21, 2023

Une évolution saine de la connectivité africaine peut jouer un rôle clef dans la stabilisation du continent en favorisant la pérennité de l'Etat.
@EU_ISS @k_ablo

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/EU_ISS/status/1648241094759444480