Just waiting for Gartner to coin the phrase AI 2.0 or Next-Generation AI.

And when I say Gartner ‘coins’ a phrase, I mean agree in advance with vendors what will best suit their marketing strategies.

Would you like another prediction?

Generative AI as we know it is a bubble.

It’s unsustainable.

Relying on it now will result in very expensive work to undo that damage in years to come. And we’re going to live with the accuracy debt for decades.

We are going to have an enormous skills and critical thinking shortage in the very near future, once the layoffs have slowed, and organisations start to cave in under the weight of their own shortsightedness.

Consultancy demand will go through the roof for people who actually know what they’re doing, attracting large salaries, and many won’t be able to afford this, dooming them further. There will be some bittersweet justice in those being laid off picking up the big money.

Vendors will transition to alternative technologies while trying to convince us that the technology is improving and AGI is just around the corner. They’re selling you something they haven’t figured out yet, and you won’t be able to afford (or will likely be dead) when it does actually arrive.

Alternative technologies will continue to be researched, and progress will be made. But they’re not the same thing, don’t let them fool you.