Donald RoyI have seen my first example of polling and modelling explicitly using #ai . This was an exercise conducted by an organisation called #Bombeplatform using data from #deltapoll . It was reported in the #guardian Saturday - 7th March. It projects the #conservatives gaining one borough - Barnet - and #ReformUK gaining another - Barking and Dagenham. It does not suggest any change as far as #libdem control is concerned. Quite another story for #Greens and #labour .
The projection has the #greens gaining control of no fewer than nine boroughs currently controlled by #labour . These are #brent , #greenwich , #hackney , #hammersmithandfulham , #hounslow , #lambeth , #lewisham , #walthamforest and #wandsworth . #labour retains control of two - #newham and #redbridge . Remaining boroughs are projected to be under no overall control. This would represent the weakest position for #labour in #london since the 1968 to 1971 period.
Although the projection is in the public domain and thus cannot and should be ignored I would advise a degree of caution in interpreting it. The use of #ai appears to be novel - which raises questions of reliability. Some parts of it are consistent with other evidence - patterns of ethnic and religious voting preferences reported in the most recent #britishelectionstudy published late last year would support the projection for #barnet .