Mastodawn

I have seen my first example of polling and modelling explicitly using #ai . This was an exercise conducted by an organisation called #Bombeplatform using data from #deltapoll . It was reported in the #guardian Saturday - 7th March. It projects the #conservatives gaining one borough - Barnet - and #ReformUK gaining another - Barking and Dagenham. It does not suggest any change as far as #libdem control is concerned. Quite another story for #Greens and #labour .

UK Election Results Nov 29, 2024

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #Deltapoll:

🔴 Labour: 29% (=)
🔵 Conservatives: 27% (+2)
⚪ Reform UK: 18% (=)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12% (-2)
🟢 Green Party: 8% (=)
🟡 SNP: 4% (=)

Labour lead of 2 points.

Conducted 14-18 November 2024. Changes with 4-7 October 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP

UK Election Results Jul 3, 2024

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #DeltaPoll:

🔴 Labour: 39% (-3)
🔵 Conservatives: 22% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 17% (+1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (-1)
🟢 Green Party: 7% (+3)
🟡 SNP: 2% (-1)

Labour lead of 17 points.

Conducted 29 June - 3 July 2024. Changes with 27-29 June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

UK Election Results Jul 1, 2024

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #DeltaPoll:

🔴 Labour: 42% (=)
🔵 Conservatives: 21% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 16% (-1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11% (=)
🟢 Green Party: 4% (=)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=)

Labour lead of 21 points.

Conducted 27-29 June 2024. Changes with 24-26 June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

UK Election Results Jul 1, 2024

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #DeltaPoll:

🔴 Labour: 42% (-1)
🔵 Conservatives: 20% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 17% (+2)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11% (-2)
🟢 Green Party: 4% (-1)
🟡 SNP: 3% (+1)

Labour lead of 22 points.

Conducted 24-26 June 2024. Changes with 21-24 June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

UK Election Results Jun 25, 2024

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #DeltaPoll:

🔴 Labour: 43% (-3)
🔵 Conservatives: 19% (=)
⚪ Reform UK: 15% (-1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 13% (+3)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (=)
🟡 SNP: 2% (=)

Labour lead of 24 points.

Conducted 21-24 June 2024. Changes with 14-17 June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

UK Election Results Jun 17, 2024

Headline Westminster voting intention by #DeltaPoll:

🔴 Labour: 46% (=)
🔵 Conservatives: 19% (-2)
⚪ Reform UK: 16% (+4)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (+1)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (=)
🟡 SNP: 2% (-2)

Labour lead of 27 points.

Conducted 14-17 June 2024. Changes with 6-8 June 2024.

Details: https://deltapoll.co.uk/polls/voteint240617

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

Voting Intention and Deltapoll Trackers (17th June 2024) | Deltapoll

Deltapoll | Deltapoll

Dr Joe Pajak Jun 9, 2024

‘Labour set for majority of 416, leaving the Tories at just 37 seats, according to new #Deltapoll survey, which puts @Keir_Starmer's party on 46% compared to @RishiSunak's Conservatives on 21% – with the prime minister set to lose his Yorkshire seat.’ @andrewgregory @taracobham

UK Election Results Jun 8, 2024

Headline Westminster voting intention by #Deltapoll:

🔴 Labour: 46% (-2)
🔵 Conservatives: 21% (-4)
⚪ Reform UK: 12% (+3)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (+1)
🟡 SNP: 4% (+2)

Labour lead of 25 points.

Conducted 6-8 June 2024. Changes with 31 May - 3 June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

UK Election Results May 20, 2024

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention. Poll by #DeltaPoll:

🔴 Labour: 45% (=)
🔵 Conservatives: 23% (-4)
⚪ Reform UK: 12% (+2)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (+2)
🟢 Greens: 5% (-1)
🟡 SNP: 3% (+1)

Labour lead of 22 points.

Conducted 17-20 May 2024. Changes with 10-13 May 2024.

#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK