Now most of these videos from Iran and aligned groups are a response IMO to the US's now 30yr approach to showing off their most successful strikes.
I think this particular US military video is interesting.
It shows likely an MQ-9 drone ($16M), probably firing a hellfire missile ($100k) at a fucking F4-Phantom ($3M)
And I want draw our attention back to a certain MQ-9 shotdown over Iran imo the value proposition of this video is not looking good.
It's not just the progressives and left against the Iran war.
The far right shit heads Tucker Carlson and Nick Fuentes have come out swing against Trump and war with Iran.
Carlson says the only reason we're having this war is that Israel feels this is their LAST chance for a war while there is essentially bipartisan support.
Carlson has read the room and says the tide is turning on Israel, that even being pro-Zionist among US conservatives is waning.
Nick Fuentes on the other hand rails against Trump for not just focusing on ICE raids and tariffs.
Urges: "Don't vote! or Vote Democrat in Nov"
To him Iran is a distraction from the antiimmigrant project and isolationist platform.
He's upset Trump can't find a way to harass migrants and apply tariffs WITHIN the law.
He's upset that Trump will likely have all of his current programs ended by court action.
And lastly he recognizes that Israel is a shitty county to prop up.
More to the point, Fuentes says he can see a viable life as a Democrat if the Trump administration can't be separated from the Republicans.
Which IMO that's a VERY apt assessment on Nick's par, the Dems are effectively just better Republicans.
The Dems STILL are not all aligned on eliminating ICE and many of them probably are OK with tariffs so long as it's not Trump suggesting it.
Nick's literally already sounds like a "we can reform ICE"-democrat ffs.
Oh and I almost forgot, Nick Feuntes is PISSED about the Trump administration burying the Epstein Files.
This sentiment, that Trump is doing everything he can to hide the Epstein files, was echoed by Iranian professor Dr. Izadi last night as well.
I'm starting to here Iranian talking heads refer to the Zionists and Trump administration as the "Epstein Class" meanwhile I'm hearing Americans call this conflict the "Epstein War"
Attached: 1 video Professor Dr. Foad Izadi, who works at the University of Tehran, was interviewed by multiple journalists and says regime is an unrealistic goal for the Americans to pursue. In Dr. Izadi's analysis he says the way that America struck the country AFTER Iran engaged in good faith negotiations sends a message to the next generation of Iranian leaders. He says it doesn't matter what the next leader's politics are, this gurantees Iran will remain anti-American. #FoadIzadi #Iran
The sun is just rising on Monday morning and the skys are already buzzing with Iranian drones heading towards their targets.
This video is from Kuwait this morning.
Same story above Erbil Iraq this morning too.
Iranian made drones were also seen buzzing early Monday morning across Iraq, on the hunt for revenge against the US and Israel.
The going debate in OSINT spaces seems to be around just how many drones and missiles does Iran have versus the US's intercetpors and replacement parts for early warning radars?
So far its sounds like the US+Israel has weeks of missile interceptors but Iran has MONTHS worth of missiles and drones.
So if some sort of ceasefire is not reached these drone strikes day and night all over the region could become routine.
Developing story in Kuwait, an American F-15 pilot reportedly crash landed and locals could be heard in videos discussing calling an ambulance.
It's unclear if the aircraft was shotdown or suffered some sort of fault.
Video showed the American F15 in a flat spin and apparently on fire moments before crashing into the ground.
Again its unknown if or how the jet sustained damange.
To my eyes it does seem damaged but its hard to know if it was returning from a mission and limping home or was it damaged by an Iranian drone during a shoot down mission?
There have been reports from the Russia / Ukraine conflict of long range drones being equipped with rear facing air-to-air missiles.
This F15 crash in Kuwait is sounding increasingly like a US "friendly" fire incident.
Iran is back to bombing the US base in Bahrain... it's been on fire now for going on three days.
Incase you missed it, an Amazon AWS datacenter in the UAE is still partially offline right now due to suffering a drone strike early on Sunday the first.
Back to that friendly fire incident in Kuwait, now I'm reading into this a little bit but I'm noticing OSINT folks talking about the Al Udeid Airbase in Qatar which housed the CAOC - Combined Air Operations Center.
Due to the continuous stream of Iranian drones in missiles hitting the base US veterans are speculating that the center is out of commission.
That could be a HUGE problem for US air operations as this was a clearing house of data from 20 country's airspace.
BREAKING - There's video coming out of Turkey showing smoke rising over the American run Incirlik Air Base.
This marks I believe the furthest extent yet of Iranian missile / drone attacks targeting American military bases.
This comes hot on the heals of news that a British airbase in Cyprus was also directly struck by an Iranian drone over the weekend.
Earlier in the night before RAF Akrotiri was struck British PM Keir Starmer said the Brits would support the Americans by opening bases for their use.
And right on schedule Iran immediately added the Brits to the target list.
#Cyprus #Iran #RAFAkrotiri #Britain #KeirStarmer #KhameneiAssassination
France ALSO said they'd support the US stop Iran's retalitory strikes and what do you know a few hours after that statement the French base Camp de la Paix in the UAE was seen burning. And continued to burn for much of Sunday.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camp_de_la_Paix
#UAE #France #CampdelaPaix #Iran #KhameneiAssassination #EpsteinWar
Just hearing that a massive Saudi Aramco refinery facility in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia has just been struck by Iranian attacks and has been evacuated of all workers.
Monday show's NO signs of deescalation in West Asia.
UPDATE - Iran claims this attack was NOT them, this could be an attempt by a 3rd party to drag Saudi Arabia into the conflict.
#Aramco #RasTanura #saudiarabia #Iran #KhameneiAssassination #US #Oil
In a curious development it seems a total of at least THREE US F15 pilots were seen being helped away from wreckage in Kuwait.
It's looking increasingly likely that more than one US fighter jet was downed by friendly fire in this incident.
Holyshit, yea... there's been more friendly fire incidents for sure in Kuwait.
During the US's conflicts with Yemen in the past two years there's also been a significant number of friendly fire situations.
In those earlier situations Yemen fired and launched missiles and drones which flew back towards airbases right along side F15's as they were heading home.
I wonder if that type of "follow home" situation might be at play here?
Something seems very off today.
Ok just noticed a statement from an official Kuwaiti military account on Twitter acknowledged the friendly fire incident stating "several" planes were accidentally shot down.
Not sure if the "several" is a translation artifact or the actual intent of the speaker? If it were just the two F15s I'd hope they'd just say "two".
Guess we'll have to wait to hear more details on this as it develops.
In an update from the US military's CENTCOM they confirm a total of THREE F15 friendly fire incidents and SIX crew members ejecting safely.
Unconfirmed footage is also circulating of one of the six pilots possibly being assaulted by Kuwaiti's on the ground.
I have not been able to verify that clip so not posting for now.
One thing is for sure... its becoming clear that despite the US' allies in the region the
Gonna touch grass today I'll try and get caught up on updates before I sign off.
This weekend has been pretty crazy, I'd say more than any conflict I've observed this one has an absurd amount of gen-AI disinformation circulating.
There's also a TON of combat footage from previous Iran/Israel entanglements plus completely unrelated conflict zones being passed off as new.
It takes a tremendous amount of time and effort to filter out the noise and try to share the most accurate realtime info I can.
This type of reporting also comes with a pretty big mental health toll as there's a continuous stream of content depicting civilian injuries & deaths on all sides which I typically do not post.
So anyways hold your loved ones close this week and value the joy you can find, it feels more fleeting than ever.
Around the time that I signed off yesterday, Iran's capitol Tehran was undergoing intense Israeli & US bombing campaigns which landed in civilian neighborhoods.
The early death toll from that day stands around 500 dead Iranians, with many more missing and possibly dead.
Iranian's were reportedly seen beginning to dig expansive graveyards to process the flow of dead civilians caused by the previous few days of conflict.
Also around the time Tehran was bombed, Lebanon was also seeing intense Israeli bombing directly on civilians.
It turns out that Israel was attempting to kill Hezbollah's leaders after their relatively small attack on an Israeli base after Khamenei's assassination.
In response Israel level whole civilian city blocks.
Israel appears to be opening up a ground invasion Lebanon...
A couple of commercial shipping vessels have been struck, likely by Iran, sailing near their coasts.
Iran appears to be very serious about their blockade on the Strait of Hormuz
Iran's blockade is currently only allowing Chinese or Russian vessels through.
Everyone else is not allowed to pass.
#Iran #straitofhormuz #KhameneiAssassination #Oil #Economics
As the days wear on we're starting to get clear satellite images of US bases.
Here's Bahrain's US base. It show's Iran was very effective at completely destroy early warning radar dishes as well as multiple support facilities near by.
CW: Pakistani cop shoots towards protesters.
It's important to note that this conflict and especially the news of Khamenei's assassination have sparked significant protests are MANY American embassies in the region.
And in turn, local police have turned up to put down the protests and this has resulted in dozens of dead civilians who have died at the hands of local cops.
In one such incident from Pakistan local cops and US marines killed & injured protesters.
In Bahrain, protesters were seen throwing molotovs at local cops while Iran continued to bomb US bases over head.
Partner's of Bahrain have been trying to move more troops in to put down protests and guard smoldering US bases but Iran also crashed drones into key bridges needed to cross into the territory.
Will be interesting to see if those new forces are welcomed as warmly...
In response to the escalating civilian deaths, Iran appears to have massively escalated their missile response, firing an estimated 100 ballistic missiles at Israel.
The number of success full impacts is unreal.
#Israel #TelAviv#Iran #TruePromise4
One thing is becoming very clear. The US can strike Iran and VERY hard. The west can kill pretty much any specific Iranian they want.
BUT Iran can absolutely flip the table.
The US bases are not safe.
The typical R&R spots are not safe.
The US Embassies are not safe.
Even standing too close to those things and especially playing host to the US now makes your economy a fair target to Iran.
With shipping closed, countries like Suadi Arabia can face a food crisis in weeks.
I'm also starting to hear geopol experts pointing now to the vulnerability of water desalination plants in the region.
If Iran targets these MANY Gulf States will have water shortages as some rely on these plants for up to 60% of their clean drinking water.
Iran is really holding all the cards.
Imo the region needs the US to beg for a ceasefire in only a handful of days.
The breaking news I'm following now is that Israel+US bombed the Iranian Assembly of Experts during Supreme Leader vote.
This was an attempted political assassination on a grand scale!
Now Iran does have a complex succession strategy which includes not allowing all leaders in to this vote so, per usual these were VERY brave people who simply went to vote on their next leader.
There's a ton of former US military officiers giving very grim assessments of the US's current position in this unnecessary war.
U.S. Army officer Stanislav Krapivnik makes the same observation I noticed, that US soldiers were filming and posting videos of their bases being bombed AFTER they were evacuated from the bases.
Iran is NOW collecting+acting on that intel (or had it already) to target the hotels troops are sheltering in.
Opsec fail.
Meanwhile Retired U.S. Army Colonel and former Secretary of Defense advisor Douglas Macgregor says the US Navy will be using ports in India.
He underscores the real risk now is that Iran has already destroyed most US bases and shown they can and will respond to Israel's aggression with a relentless missile war.
The experts are starting to worry that Israel will try to use a nuke on Iran when they run out of missile defenses.
I don't think I've ever seen this much unified anti-war rhetoric directly from people who you'd typically hear working on helping improve the US military's effectiveness.
https://escalationtrap.substack.com/p/the-escalation-ledger-iran-day-3
Not only does the US air strategy not work... I have my doubts about the US experts saying things like they will rely on Indian ports now.
As if the actual Indians want this crap coming to them. Many Indian Muslims are grieving just as much as Pakistan.
Increasing US military presence is just going to add additional internal conflict for India. I worry US military personnel won't be safe at any viable port.
The US also seriously miscalculated on the economic impacts Iran can create.
TikTokers Hasan Piker talks the web of economic damage caused by Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz.
Japan says they had NO warning about the US going to war. The country gets 70% of its oil through the Strait and has less than a year of reserves.
Japan warns the unplanned economic fallouts of war will be an issue for them.
https://partyon.xyz/@nullagent/116166158831417257
#Japan #straitofhormuz #Iran #Israel #OilWar #economics #HasanPiker
Former Veteran + NASA astronaut and current Senator Mark Kelly took Elbridge Colby (The Undersecretary of Defense for Policy) to task in the senate today.
Kelly and many other politicians have been poking holes in the Trump administrations reasons for attack Iran.
Mark Kelly points to the fact that none of Iran's missiles can reach the US as why he thinks starting a war with Iran doesn't make sense.
They aren't a threat to America.
Senator Mark Warner, who has access to some of the most sensitive US intelligence says he saw NO signs of a threat to the United States which would justify Trump's actions.
News on US military casualities is slowly climbing we're now at six confirmed dead US service members
This article from yesterday points to the fact that scores of service members were missing, the US military didn't declare them dead until locating their bodies in a US facility.
“recently recovered the remains of two previously unaccounted for service members from a facility that was struck during Iran’s initial attacks in the region”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/02/iran-attack-fourth-us-service-member-killed
Again, I gotta repeat, I've never seen the US propaganda machine trying to walk back a military intervention so hard in my LIFE.
We got former CIA analysts like Larry Johnson saying if the US is gonna kill an Iranian, why would they kill someone like Khamenei?
Khamenei has politically blocked Iran from completing a nuclear weapon for 36 years.
Johnson argues, that's the type of person he'd expect the US to leave in power.
I'm not going to post any more CIA talking heads, but there's a raft of them and quite a number of former spooks I don't trust are saying this whole Iran idea was a bad idea.
Democratic politicians like Jeff Merkley are saying Trump's actions are wholely unconstitutional.
They are chaffing at the idea that Congress was not consulted.
While I do believe Democrats wouldn't have done something so wreckless as Trump, I fully expected a Democrat to try Iran.
Some uncomfortable clips for Democrats are making the rounds today push by folks in support of US intervention in Iran.
In this one from 2011 Nancy Pelosi defends Barak Obama's region change operations in Libya without congressional approval and without any material threat of harm to the US from Libya.
Back in 2011, Democrats were ALL for wreckless wars. Imo the only thing that change is they weren't the caughtup in the beltway group think.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/US_domestic_reactions_to_the_2011_military_intervention_in_Libya
Meanwhile March Rubio makes much the same case for the Trump administration's attacks on Iran as Nancy Pelosi agreed with back in 2011.
"NO presidential administration has ever accepted the War Powers Act as Constitutional" -Marco Rubio
And I regretfully agree with Marco, no US president has really given a damn about congress when starting / continuing wars.
While the American's were pointing fingers the Iranians have put on massive demonstrations throughout the last few nights.
Videos from just a few hours ago in Tehron show crowds holding a memorial for Khamemei while air defense systems actively confront American & Israel drones and fighter jets in the sky above.
The Iranian people are not cowering in fear.
There, as of yet, does not be a popular movment against the regiem.
Quite the opposite.
There's a handy website to view live estimates of the cost to US taxes payers for the war in Iran.
It's updated as facilities are damaged, planes shot down and ammunition spent.
It's almost morning time in Tel Aviv and by all accounts the night went horribly for Israelis as has become routine.
Iranian missiles were seen sailing right past air defense to strike targets on the ground.
In Bahrain drones were seen continuing to strike hotels suspected of hosting American troops.
In Dubai drones were seen targetting the US consulate. Throughout the night the building was seen with large flames leaping from the roof.
The next escalation many expect to come from the US and Israel proxy groups.
According to reports from DC tonight it appears the US is planning to heavily arm Kurdish separatist fighters and is pushing high quality propaganda to build support for the move.
Had the recent Iranian migrants waited a few more weeks it seems to me that they could easily have a completely different opinion had they watched the US bomb the very same people they wish to save.
I'm not the only person who questions the type of "freedom fighter" who aligns with the US at a time like this.
The US literally this week has blind sided pretty much all of it's world partners, you saw what we did in Afghanistan etc, why on earth would anyone think partnering with the US is a wise move?
Hasan Piker has similar thoughts...
Why on earth would the Kurds ever trust Trump again?!?
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/roger-boyes-turkey-erdogan-trump-kurds-5kbwt7wvc
https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/01/16/trump-iran-protests-intervention-kurds-nixon-kissinger-hungary/
https://www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/trump-abandoning-kurdish-allies-syria-no-surprise
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/10/trump-betrayed-kurds-whos-next/600004/
https://inkstickmedia.com/for-kurds-tom-barrack-becomes-the-latest-face-of-us-betrayal/
https://www.newarab.com/opinion/boltons-book-and-why-trump-betrayed-kurds
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/10/trump-kurds-world-order-betrayal.html
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/10/trump-syria-kurds-turkey.html
There's something bizarre about a constitution in which one branch of government is supposed to be the only one that can declare war, but the head of another is commander-in-chief.
@nullagent Unrealistic, but I find myself idly wondering: Might the oligarchy go from using Biden as a figurative sacrificial lamb to blame things on, to using Trump as a literal one? It'd be wild to see them deliver Trump to the Hague as a way to defuse this clusterfrack.
This does seem to be slowly happening. The far right in US politics is says being anti-immigrant is more important than taking democracy to Iran.
I'm not sure they'll suggest the idea themselves but I don't think they'd be sad to see Trump face consequences at this point.
It's not just the progressives and left against the Iran war. The far right shit heads Tucker Carlson and Nick Fuentes have come out swing against Trump and war with Iran. Carlson says the only reason we're having this war is that Israel feels this is their LAST chance for a war while there is essentially bipartisan support. Carlson has read the room and says the tide is turning on Israel, that even being pro-Zionist among US conservatives is waning. #TuckerCarlson #Israel #Trump #Iran
@nullagent Not to mention they keep inching closer to making an overwhelming proportion of the 99% realize our common goals are far more important to us than the wedge issues they use to keep us hateblaming each other for this neo-feudal horror show.
If they keep it up, people might start talking to (instead of about) each other again, and find they have much more in common than not wanting to pour trillions into another idiotic oil war.
(Or at least so I want to hope.)
When they killed Soleimani I decided to see what I could find about him. He didn't seem like a bad guy at all. He was always described as being rational, reasonable, and duty driven. Very popular in Iran and amenable to reconciliation with Western nations. The exact opposite of a boogeyman. That has to be why they killed him—he was shortlisted as the next Ayatollah, more popular than other candidates, and would not embrace the role of foil to the West that defined his predecessors.
@nullagent sal from what’s going on with shipping was talking about this yesterday.
Normally we would coordinate with the Brit’s who coordinate with insurance companies to prepare for an attack.
But we just went all in with Israel and told no one.
Venezuelan oil..
@nullagent Speculation: It may be less that the United Empire of Profit miscalculated the economic impact Iran can have… and more that they miscalculated the probability that assassinating Iran's leader and bombing Iran would lead to them immediately "learning their lesson" and falling into compliance with the Empire's wishes.
Something something slip through your fingers.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NNuaGQ6-KnY
#Pakistan grieving, they have a way of showing it. They have killed over 1000 in #Afghanistan, taking over at least 18 military posts near the border and are at a full blown war now. Which is like target practive to be ready for when US calls them up for attacking #Iran on the other side.
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