Dan Davies points out that the AI Boom depends on quite some assumptions:
“- that R&D spending can be kept under control in equilibrium
- that all expenses other than COGS scale slower than revenues
- that current bottlenecks in data centre capacity can be solved
- finance remains available
- depreciation and replacement capex don’t upset anything”
https://backofmind.substack.com/p/tokenalysis-and-john-henry

I have a few things to write about, but am now conscious of what ought to be going here and what ought to be going into the manuscript… so, instead of more stuff about governance and the problem factory, I return to the project of “sensible skepticism
Coming soon to a market near you!
There will be a Y2K / DotCom style bubble pop of AI, and that will directly lead to a repeat of 2008. AT THE SAME TIME. Allocate your 401k accordingly.
EDIT: The NASDAQ will continue to skyrocket for a bit, but the cracks are forming in the foundation. Could be later this year the pain starts.
The perverse seductiveness of Fernando Pessoa
#pessoa #economics #anarchism
https://branko2f7.substack.com/p/the-perverse-seductiveness-of-fernando
Bangladesh Bank Heist: Whistleblower Claims Cover-Up A Decade Later, Placing Insider System in the Crosshairs
Bangladesh Eyes Self-Funded Teesta Mega Project Amid Regional Geopolitical Balancing
If, as reported, Andy Burnham is now thinking about his Cabinet (ahead of his expected win in a leadership contest in the Labour Party) & is focussed on who might be chancellor... there is a sense of re-arranging the people in the deckchairs on the Titanic.
Without a much clearer industrial policy & a convincing case to allow the Govt. to fund that policy (in other words finding a way to convince bond market traders it makes sense), it won't really matter who is in No.11.