nullagentIran is back to bombing the US base in Bahrain... it's been on fire now for going on three days.
Incase you missed it, an Amazon AWS datacenter in the UAE is still partially offline right now due to suffering a drone strike early on Sunday the first.
Back to that friendly fire incident in Kuwait, now I'm reading into this a little bit but I'm noticing OSINT folks talking about the Al Udeid Airbase in Qatar which housed the CAOC - Combined Air Operations Center.
Due to the continuous stream of Iranian drones in missiles hitting the base US veterans are speculating that the center is out of commission.
That could be a HUGE problem for US air operations as this was a clearing house of data from 20 country's airspace.
BREAKING - There's video coming out of Turkey showing smoke rising over the American run Incirlik Air Base.
This marks I believe the furthest extent yet of Iranian missile / drone attacks targeting American military bases.
This comes hot on the heals of news that a British airbase in Cyprus was also directly struck by an Iranian drone over the weekend.
Earlier in the night before RAF Akrotiri was struck British PM Keir Starmer said the Brits would support the Americans by opening bases for their use.
And right on schedule Iran immediately added the Brits to the target list.
#Cyprus #Iran #RAFAkrotiri #Britain #KeirStarmer #KhameneiAssassination
France ALSO said they'd support the US stop Iran's retalitory strikes and what do you know a few hours after that statement the French base Camp de la Paix in the UAE was seen burning. And continued to burn for much of Sunday.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camp_de_la_Paix
#UAE #France #CampdelaPaix #Iran #KhameneiAssassination #EpsteinWar
Just hearing that a massive Saudi Aramco refinery facility in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia has just been struck by Iranian attacks and has been evacuated of all workers.
Monday show's NO signs of deescalation in West Asia.
UPDATE - Iran claims this attack was NOT them, this could be an attempt by a 3rd party to drag Saudi Arabia into the conflict.
#Aramco #RasTanura #saudiarabia #Iran #KhameneiAssassination #US #Oil
In a curious development it seems a total of at least THREE US F15 pilots were seen being helped away from wreckage in Kuwait.
It's looking increasingly likely that more than one US fighter jet was downed by friendly fire in this incident.
Holyshit, yea... there's been more friendly fire incidents for sure in Kuwait.
During the US's conflicts with Yemen in the past two years there's also been a significant number of friendly fire situations.
In those earlier situations Yemen fired and launched missiles and drones which flew back towards airbases right along side F15's as they were heading home.
I wonder if that type of "follow home" situation might be at play here?
Something seems very off today.
Ok just noticed a statement from an official Kuwaiti military account on Twitter acknowledged the friendly fire incident stating "several" planes were accidentally shot down.
Not sure if the "several" is a translation artifact or the actual intent of the speaker? If it were just the two F15s I'd hope they'd just say "two".
Guess we'll have to wait to hear more details on this as it develops.
In an update from the US military's CENTCOM they confirm a total of THREE F15 friendly fire incidents and SIX crew members ejecting safely.
Unconfirmed footage is also circulating of one of the six pilots possibly being assaulted by Kuwaiti's on the ground.
I have not been able to verify that clip so not posting for now.
One thing is for sure... its becoming clear that despite the US' allies in the region the
Gonna touch grass today I'll try and get caught up on updates before I sign off.
This weekend has been pretty crazy, I'd say more than any conflict I've observed this one has an absurd amount of gen-AI disinformation circulating.
There's also a TON of combat footage from previous Iran/Israel entanglements plus completely unrelated conflict zones being passed off as new.
It takes a tremendous amount of time and effort to filter out the noise and try to share the most accurate realtime info I can.
This type of reporting also comes with a pretty big mental health toll as there's a continuous stream of content depicting civilian injuries & deaths on all sides which I typically do not post.
So anyways hold your loved ones close this week and value the joy you can find, it feels more fleeting than ever.
Around the time that I signed off yesterday, Iran's capitol Tehran was undergoing intense Israeli & US bombing campaigns which landed in civilian neighborhoods.
The early death toll from that day stands around 500 dead Iranians, with many more missing and possibly dead.
Iranian's were reportedly seen beginning to dig expansive graveyards to process the flow of dead civilians caused by the previous few days of conflict.
Also around the time Tehran was bombed, Lebanon was also seeing intense Israeli bombing directly on civilians.
It turns out that Israel was attempting to kill Hezbollah's leaders after their relatively small attack on an Israeli base after Khamenei's assassination.
In response Israel level whole civilian city blocks.
Israel appears to be opening up a ground invasion Lebanon...
A couple of commercial shipping vessels have been struck, likely by Iran, sailing near their coasts.
Iran appears to be very serious about their blockade on the Strait of Hormuz
Iran's blockade is currently only allowing Chinese or Russian vessels through.
Everyone else is not allowed to pass.
#Iran #straitofhormuz #KhameneiAssassination #Oil #Economics
As the days wear on we're starting to get clear satellite images of US bases.
Here's Bahrain's US base. It show's Iran was very effective at completely destroy early warning radar dishes as well as multiple support facilities near by.
In Al-Salem, Kuwait the story was much the same, with satellite images showing active fires that have been burning for days.
CW: Pakistani cop shoots towards protesters.
It's important to note that this conflict and especially the news of Khamenei's assassination have sparked significant protests are MANY American embassies in the region.
And in turn, local police have turned up to put down the protests and this has resulted in dozens of dead civilians who have died at the hands of local cops.
In one such incident from Pakistan local cops and US marines killed & injured protesters.
In Bahrain, protesters were seen throwing molotovs at local cops while Iran continued to bomb US bases over head.
Partner's of Bahrain have been trying to move more troops in to put down protests and guard smoldering US bases but Iran also crashed drones into key bridges needed to cross into the territory.
Will be interesting to see if those new forces are welcomed as warmly...
In response to the escalating civilian deaths, Iran appears to have massively escalated their missile response, firing an estimated 100 ballistic missiles at Israel.
The number of success full impacts is unreal.
#Israel #TelAviv#Iran #TruePromise4
One thing is becoming very clear. The US can strike Iran and VERY hard. The west can kill pretty much any specific Iranian they want.
BUT Iran can absolutely flip the table.
The US bases are not safe.
The typical R&R spots are not safe.
The US Embassies are not safe.
Even standing too close to those things and especially playing host to the US now makes your economy a fair target to Iran.
With shipping closed, countries like Suadi Arabia can face a food crisis in weeks.
I'm also starting to hear geopol experts pointing now to the vulnerability of water desalination plants in the region.
If Iran targets these MANY Gulf States will have water shortages as some rely on these plants for up to 60% of their clean drinking water.
Iran is really holding all the cards.
Imo the region needs the US to beg for a ceasefire in only a handful of days.
Professor Jiang Predicts: US WILL LOSE Iran War
The breaking news I'm following now is that Israel+US bombed the Iranian Assembly of Experts during Supreme Leader vote.
This was an attempted political assassination on a grand scale!
Now Iran does have a complex succession strategy which includes not allowing all leaders in to this vote so, per usual these were VERY brave people who simply went to vote on their next leader.
There's a ton of former US military officiers giving very grim assessments of the US's current position in this unnecessary war.
U.S. Army officer Stanislav Krapivnik makes the same observation I noticed, that US soldiers were filming and posting videos of their bases being bombed AFTER they were evacuated from the bases.
Iran is NOW collecting+acting on that intel (or had it already) to target the hotels troops are sheltering in.
Opsec fail.
Meanwhile Retired U.S. Army Colonel and former Secretary of Defense advisor Douglas Macgregor says the US Navy will be using ports in India.
He underscores the real risk now is that Iran has already destroyed most US bases and shown they can and will respond to Israel's aggression with a relentless missile war.
The experts are starting to worry that Israel will try to use a nuke on Iran when they run out of missile defenses.
I don't think I've ever seen this much unified anti-war rhetoric directly from people who you'd typically hear working on helping improve the US military's effectiveness.
https://escalationtrap.substack.com/p/the-escalation-ledger-iran-day-3
Not only does the US air strategy not work... I have my doubts about the US experts saying things like they will rely on Indian ports now.
As if the actual Indians want this crap coming to them. Many Indian Muslims are grieving just as much as Pakistan.
Increasing US military presence is just going to add additional internal conflict for India. I worry US military personnel won't be safe at any viable port.
The US also seriously miscalculated on the economic impacts Iran can create.
TikTokers Hasan Piker talks the web of economic damage caused by Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz.
Japan says they had NO warning about the US going to war. The country gets 70% of its oil through the Strait and has less than a year of reserves.
Japan warns the unplanned economic fallouts of war will be an issue for them.
https://partyon.xyz/@nullagent/116166158831417257
#Japan #straitofhormuz #Iran #Israel #OilWar #economics #HasanPiker
Former Veteran + NASA astronaut and current Senator Mark Kelly took Elbridge Colby (The Undersecretary of Defense for Policy) to task in the senate today.
Kelly and many other politicians have been poking holes in the Trump administrations reasons for attack Iran.
Mark Kelly points to the fact that none of Iran's missiles can reach the US as why he thinks starting a war with Iran doesn't make sense.
They aren't a threat to America.
Senator Mark Warner, who has access to some of the most sensitive US intelligence says he saw NO signs of a threat to the United States which would justify Trump's actions.
News on US military casualities is slowly climbing we're now at six confirmed dead US service members
This article from yesterday points to the fact that scores of service members were missing, the US military didn't declare them dead until locating their bodies in a US facility.
“recently recovered the remains of two previously unaccounted for service members from a facility that was struck during Iran’s initial attacks in the region”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/02/iran-attack-fourth-us-service-member-killed
Again, I gotta repeat, I've never seen the US propaganda machine trying to walk back a military intervention so hard in my LIFE.
We got former CIA analysts like Larry Johnson saying if the US is gonna kill an Iranian, why would they kill someone like Khamenei?
Khamenei has politically blocked Iran from completing a nuclear weapon for 36 years.
Johnson argues, that's the type of person he'd expect the US to leave in power.
Dustin D. Wind@nullagent Unrealistic, but I find myself idly wondering: Might the oligarchy go from using Biden as a figurative sacrificial lamb to blame things on, to using Trump as a literal one? It'd be wild to see them deliver Trump to the Hague as a way to defuse this clusterfrack.
This does seem to be slowly happening. The far right in US politics is says being anti-immigrant is more important than taking democracy to Iran.
I'm not sure they'll suggest the idea themselves but I don't think they'd be sad to see Trump face consequences at this point.
nullagent (@[email protected])
It's not just the progressives and left against the Iran war. The far right shit heads Tucker Carlson and Nick Fuentes have come out swing against Trump and war with Iran. Carlson says the only reason we're having this war is that Israel feels this is their LAST chance for a war while there is essentially bipartisan support. Carlson has read the room and says the tide is turning on Israel, that even being pro-Zionist among US conservatives is waning. #TuckerCarlson #Israel #Trump #Iran
@nullagent Not to mention they keep inching closer to making an overwhelming proportion of the 99% realize our common goals are far more important to us than the wedge issues they use to keep us hateblaming each other for this neo-feudal horror show.
If they keep it up, people might start talking to (instead of about) each other again, and find they have much more in common than not wanting to pour trillions into another idiotic oil war.
(Or at least so I want to hope.)
@nullagent (Not that there aren't 99%ers who are hopelessly lost in egoism and idiotic hatred fueled by billionaire-owned media. But I think the overwhelming majority of the 99% have already found the redemption of wanting us all to thrive together, or are in search of it.)