17) How much legal jeopardy is #DonaldTrump in?
The classified documents case will make use of a recording which indicates that #Trump had a highly sensitive document which he knew was NOT declassified.
The chain of evidence looks strong and while there is much news media spinning, a court of law is more rigorous environment where focus on fact is primary
#Election2024 #USPolitics #Politics
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/26/us/politics/trump-documents-tape-audio.html
18) Much of #JoeBiden’s reelection efforts for #Election2024 will hinge on his ability to pass legislation which stimulates the economy in the rust belt.
Will investments such as the new Micron plant in Syracuse, New York courtesy of the CHIPS act improve his electoral chances?
19) How does the public feel about #DonaldTrump’s indictment on classified documents mishandling?
Navigator Research has the numbers and they’re not good if you’re a #Trump supporter
Notably Trump’s numbers are poor with Independent voters, the group which will decide #Election2024
https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Navigator-Update-06.27.2023.pdf
20) As the #DeSantis campaign continues to flail and gain traction against #DonaldTrump, the Florida governor leans into a deeper hostility directed at the #LGBT community
There are no solutions being offered here, merely rage directed at a minority group. Just the #facist playbook being dusted off again
#Politics #USPolitics #Election2024
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/01/us/politics/desantis-video-lgbtq-trump.html
21) While the #GOP is busy stoking conspiracy theories and rage, the #Biden administration is delivering meaningful change.
Invest in broadband access will better enable all Americans to start their own businesses and remote work opportunities regardless of location
The White House on Monday divvied up $42 billion among the nation's 50 states and U.S. territories to make access to high-speed broadband universal by 2030, as it launched a new publicity campaign for President Joe Biden's economic policies.
22) How should journalists cover a candidate like #RFkJR?
Have you heard of the Gish Gallop?
On the Media has some interesting thoughts on the matter and what to do when a candidate spouts a flood of conspiracy theories
#USPolitics #Politics #Election2024
https://www.wnycstudios.org/podcasts/otm/segments/how-cover-candidate-rfk-jr-on-the-media
23) #PeteButtigieg shows the way for #Election2024. Americans have to decide whether they want government that gets things done or #CultureWars and the attendant hatred directed at the #LGBTQ or other minority communities.
24) From the guy that thought #ElonMusk would be a good leader for #Twitter, an endorsement for a candidate who has descended into the swirling conspiracism
Former Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey appeared to endorse anti-vaccine activist Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for the Democratic presidential nomination over the weekend. Dorsey retweeted a video of Kennedy saying he could beat former President Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R), who announced his bid for the White House on Twitter last month. Dorsey captioned…
25) Good piece from David French at the #NYT on not just the rage, but also the joy of being a #MAGA fan.
The joy of belonging to a group of like minded people who are facing down an imagined set of awful lefties determined to destroy America
It is a cultish mindset. Can it be cracked? Should an effort be made to deprogram Trumpists? Should the movement be left to fade into irrelevancy assuming #Election2024 is lost?
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/06/opinion/maga-america-trump.html
26) The #GOP in Congress are doing their bit to move #ReproductiveRights and #LGBTQ issues up the national agenda for #Election2024.
The #HardRight look to start #CultureWars on major legislation wherever possible. Clearly an indication that they want a national #abortion ban and to ostracize the #queer community
A more than questionable winning strategy
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/14/us/politics/defense-bill-house-ndaa.html
Republicans loaded the measure with a raft of social policy provisions — including limits on abortions, gender transition procedures and diversity training — that have little chance of surviving in the Senate.
27) Good piece from #NPR on young #RuralVoters which will be an important constituency for #JoeBiden in #Election2024 particular in #Georgia and #NorthCarolina and other purple states.
There are of course rural voters in every state and so the #Biden campaign has to hone its message to bleed away some of these votes which have trended #GOP
28) #DonaldTrump is attempting to delay legal proceedings against him, a practice consistent with his past, when he sought to exhaust the financial and emotional resources of those that instituted proceedings against him
American voters now have a candidate for #Election2024 who looks to his election for relief from his legal woes
29) #DonaldTrump’s minions have crafted a disturbing plan to centralize more authority under the presidency.
Should such a plan be implemented, independent federal agencies will be purged for those deemed insufficient loyal to the president.
The ability to resist Caligula-like commands will be rescinded. Unchecked partisan power will become the norm
#USPolitics #Politics #Election2024
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/17/us/politics/trump-plans-2025.html
30) In an unsurprising development, we can expect #DonaldTrump to be indicted yet again. This time for his involvement in the #Jan6 plot to overturn the 2016 #election
This has been a long time coming. We recently learned of the #FBI’s sluggish effort to investigate #Trump’s involvement in the coup. Many low level supporters are now serving time while Trump remained untouched. That changes now
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/07/18/trump-jan6-target-letter/
31) #ReproductiveRights and #abortion were major factors during the midterm elections in 2022. #Election2023 will be no different, if anything the issue will likely be more potent with the recent conviction of a 19 year old #Nebraska women subsequent to a medically induced abortion which violated Nebraska’s then 20 week gestation limit. Nebraska has since lowered the limit to 12 weeks
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/20/us/celeste-burgess-abortion-pill-nebraska.html
33) The perpetration of #bigotry and #racism is an increasing feature of many current #GOP politicians.
#RonDeSantis leads the pack in his overt willingness to delegitimize the horrors faced by black Americans during enslavement.
For what? To appeal to the basest instincts of a certain section of GOP voters still invested in the superiority of “white culture” and to deny the attendant racism that still haunts American society
🔑 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/21/us/desantis-florida-black-history-standards.html
34) The war on #Libraries by “conservatives” is just another front stoked up against the #LGBTQ community at the behest of those exploiting #CultureWars for political gain.
In truth the #GOP which has been fully co-opted by #Trumpism has nothing to offer on making lives better for #Americans beyond cultivating rage and fear directed at smaller less powerful groups. It is classic #RightWing behavior from the 1930s
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/22/us/pride-books-library-protest.html
35) #DonaldTrump claims to be the best bet against #JoeBidden in #Election2024.
In my view, he’s going to be extremely hard to beat for the #GOP nomination. That said, primary voters are hard core political types and there views tend to be more extreme than most American voters.
Come the general election #Trump, is likely the least electible Republican
37) Increasingly #Election2024 is shaping up as a #JoeBiden vs #DonaldTrump rematch
The #NYT has new polling information on #Biden which shows his numbers improving from tepid levels last year
If #Bidenomics continues to yield improved economic data, he is going to be a hard man to beat despite dissatisfaction and ambivalence over his age
The election will be decided my independents who are increasingly disaffected by #Trump and his legal woes
🔑 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/01/us/politics/biden-trump-poll.html
37) The indictment of #DonaldTrump on charges related to #Jan6, is unsurprising and his been telegraphed for months
What is interesting, is that the charges do not include allegations specific to the organization of violence on Jan 6. That doesn’t mean more charges aren’t forthcoming. I wonder if that case and establishing the chain of evidence is to difficult to make or is simply not there?
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/08/01/trump-indictment-takeaways-00109309
38) While much of the focus of #Election2024 is focused on #Trump’s legal woes or #Biden’s age, the Us economy has been improving steadily on the back of legislation signed into law during the first two years of #JoeBiden’s administration.
Biden’s polling numbers aren’t great now, but continued economic improvement will yield good results come election time.
39) Things are not going well in the #RonDeSantis campaign.
One wonders whether his call for "throat slitting" directed at members of the Federal Government and invocations of the mystical and mythical Deep State were designed to make seem tougher than #Trump ?
General reaction across the #NewsMedia seems to be one of disgust. There doesn't seem to be major fist bumping going on within the #DeSantis faithful
#Election2023 #RighWing #HardRight
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4135422-desantis-vows-to-start-slitting-throats-on-day-one
Editor’s note: This story has been updated to reflect that Scott Brown is a former senator from Massachusetts. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) on Sunday said he would “start slitting throats on day one” when it comes to taking on the “deep state.” DeSantis made the remarks at a barbecue campaign event in Rye, N.H.,…
Likely simply not there under legal and constitutional constraints.
The charges were very weak on factual bases, and chatter says that it was the best they could do because other avenues didn’t really have legal standing in the first place.
I think a court of law will decide that.
We’ll see if #JackSmith can establish the evidence chain beyond a reasonable doubt
Courts will decide, but we will as well.
Just like anything else you are welcome to have your own opinion, and in such a politicized area, everybody naturally will.
In this case a huge factor comes down to weather or not you believe the prosecutor has been able to prove that Trump is a time traveler. Was he able to go back in time from after the election to before? Because if not, the whole case falls apart.
LOL, a deeper take and totally on the mark!
I’m reminded of Donal Rumsfeld’s riff on the things that we know we don’t know and the things that we don’t know that we don’t know etc
Not really, since it’s relating to internal processes.
It’s what’s called bureaucracy.
It’s only authoritarian to the extent that it attempts to impose on people outside of the government.
Yup, I’d say that plan falls squarely into the authoritarian category. The desire is to crest a Budapest on the Potomac
He was at #CPAC last year in #Texas and this year the CPAC #Orban fan boys took themselves off to #Budapest to venerate their leader in his home country. Pathertic stuff
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/at-cpac-hungarys-viktor-orban-decries-lgbtq-rights-migration
I try to avoid hating. The people that subscribe to this kind of stuff are in my opinion broken, have suppressed that most important of human qualities: empathy. They have replaced it with anger and a belief that they are better than others. That’s a lonely place to be, but they don’t know any better
I totally get it and I don’t want you think I’m virtue signaling. I’m a work in progress like we all are and I find avoiding hate is good for me. I’m not immune to anger at all this awful #RightWing stuff, I’m just determined to combat this awful movement in my own small corner of the world
@mnutty Fair enough. I love Ireland and know a thing or two about the history. That you live in America must be hard in a way because Ireland is such a beautiful country with great music!
I will think about your words because you’re probably right. My English isn’t sufficient enough to express myself sometimes the way I want. It’s just English that I’ve learned in school. 🫣
Heidi your English is vastly superior to any of my other languages, sadly including my native Gaelic which I'm working on improving
I do miss Ireland and Dublin where I grew. I'm fortunate to be able to travel there at least once a year so I get the chance to reconnect with family and friends
I count myself fortunate to live in one of the great cities of the world which is New York. It has its faws but I love it and it is home
Here’s a hard one: Sadhbh - one of nieces. Card to take a stab? 😜
@mnutty @heideroosje despite growing up in Ireland I was an adult before I encountered my first Sadhbh. You think you've heard all the Irish names, but there's always another one.
That said, if you paid even the slightest attention going through the Irish education system it's usually easy enough to have a stab at pronouncing Irish language names.
Yup. But those who did not grow on our island it is totally freaking mysterious. Until one dies a bit of basic reading
https://college.lclark.edu/live/blogs/73-irish-101-a-guide-to-irish-name-pronunciation
This article was pretty sensational, fearmongering for clicks. It was a good example of why so many have lost respect for outfits like the NY Times.
Your mention of independent federal agencies is one great example: the article plays fast and loose with the legalities around independent agencies, overlooking the legal barriers that distinguish them from other agencies, ones that would prevent exactly the thing the article is trying to hype up.
It’s just foolish for this reporter to act as if a president can revoke checks on presidential power, as if those are voluntary.
They’re not.
The article is consistent with the #Trumpist fever dream obsession with the purported Deep State. It sets up the governing agencies to be purged of dissenting views.
I find it credible and consistent with past rhetoric and is one of many reasons why #DonaldTrump and his minions should never get within an asses roar of the #WhiteHouse again
Again, it’s just one example of how the article misleads, but it misses that presidents don’t have the authority to do that.
He wants to purge the government? That’s nice. And it’s exactly why the system was designed without that possibility.
So no, it’s not credible.
AND it plays into Trump’s hands to act like it would be something he could do. We should be countering the guy by pointing out to his supporters that he’s making empty promises and lying to them.
I suggest that it is a stated ambition and as such is one of many things that would disqualify #Trump as a plausible candidate for office.
I imagine that any agency can be dismantled. The precise mechanics maybe at question, but institutions are vulnerable.
So what would you suggest when news is received to this effect, let it stand unanswered, unacknowledged?
You imagine incorrectly :)
No, agencies tend to exist by law passed by congresses and are bound to uncountable legal agreements made year after year. Presidents have no authority to do what’s being claimed here, whether they want to or not.
Again, if Trump is telling his supporters he has authorities that he doesn’t, promising things that he won’t be able to fulfill, why in the world would we buy into his nonsense?
The better response isn’t to buy into Trump’s garbage. The better response is to point out that he’s an idiot who can’t live up to the promises he’s making, just as he didn’t live up to them before.
This false idea that a President Trump would have these powers is exactly what he’s running on. Let’s debunk that, not promote his campaign rhetoric.
Ok I as I understand it, there are broadly two types of agencies, those directly under the purview of the executive and those that are quasi independent
The article is primarily focused on the independent agencies. The EPA, I believe falls into this category. As I understand that agency was created at the behest of the Nixon administration through enabling legislation of the congress.
What is established by law can also be destroyed by law with a willing congress
Right, and so not by a president unilaterally, no matter what idiotic promises he might make to his base, which is why we need to call him out for making false promises to his base, AND call him out for failing to keep previous false promises.
We need to point out how weak Trump is, and how he is bound by law, not play into his claims to his base that he’s going to do all this stuff he has no authority to do.
How assured are you that the #GOP will not win both the Senate and the House in addition to the Presidency? It is not improbable that they have a clean sweep. All that is left then is the filibuster which is simply a rule that can be rescinded by the Senate to achieve a historic reworking of the government. So no, I don’t think we should shrug our shoulders and say that can’t happen
Firstly, I’m pretty sure the GOP won’t take both House and Senate much less do so with a set of members who will cooperate.
Secondly, even if somehow that happened, Congress still couldn’t drop Constitutional restrictions on presidential action.
So most importantly for this context, a president can’t claim unchecked power if he’s relying on the democratic process to cooperate AND still has to abide by constitutional restrictions.
The idea that Trump can just seize that power gets weaker with every qualification to the story.
I think the danger of a clean sweep of the executive and legislature is now far more than a a fever dream possibility
Political analysts already agree that the #Democrats are facing a difficult challenge retaining control of multiple seats in purple and red states
The #GOP already controls the house and have redrawn many state maps controlled by GOP legislatures to boost re-election chances
So the threat outlined is feasible and not ignored
Again, EVEN IF Republicans had a clean sweep, that would not be sufficient to lead to what’s being described here.
AND, pointing that out is one great way to avoid that clean sweep.
Because if filibuster protection?
Because constitutional restrictions still apply without the amendment process, which requires much more than a slight congressional majority, just to name one reason Trump’s promises to his supporters are empty.
Agreed the constitution is the supreme law of the land. I don’t have a huge amount of faith in the current court to act in an impartial manner in interpreting the constitution. So that reminder does not give me a warm fuzzy.
Yeah I get there are a lot of hurdles to jump. Given the chaotic nature of the last #Trump administration, I’m not convinced version II would be any more competent, but I certainly wouldn’t want to roll the dice with that possibility
In terms of strategy, I agree. It’s important to communicate that the presidency is not a dictatorship. We have a republic and making law is not done by dictat. It’s done by working cooperatively, that shat it means to have a democracy
His increasingly ragey posts on his misnomered #TruthSocial network (itself a target of legal proceedings) confirm your assessment. This 1/2 a man will not go gently into the good night
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