Training models from yesterday have the same value as marketing data from yesterday.
You may not see another platform like those for a while, but that doesn't mean the people aren't going somewhere. It means they aren't all running to a monolithic platform.
I've realized that all I really need is a combination of Discord, Forums, & Mastodon. It's really not different from when I was a kid.
AIM/ICQ for instant messaging
Chatrooms/Forums for more nuanced discussions based on topic.
Livejournal/Myspace/Friendster for keeping up with our friends.
@HeavyMetalWings @Meyerweb @gern No. The doomsayers were certain that most people would leave, and the place would go the way of…MySpace.
Instead, very few are estimated to have left (and not returned.)
Respectable folks like Stephen King, AOC, most all journalists are still bathing in that white supremacy cesspool.
Reality does not change because I despise Musk.
@staidwinnow @HeavyMetalWings @Meyerweb @gern
Yet
I wouldn't be so pessimistic, no change happens overnight.
With reddit if the power users leave and big subreddits stop existing users will notice a downgrade in quality sooner or later.
Twitter just depends on famous people showing they interact in other platforms. And those platforms to be newbie friendly
We have seen big sites fall off overtime or at least loose relevance for the top spot as the younger generations shift to new things.
@Meyerweb Except most of Qwitter’s community has stayed. And is the reason reddit is trying out the same for their platform.
The blackouts have a better chance of forcing reddit’s hand if they last. If most are just for 48 hours, they’ll not succeed.
It is not as if that community has another place to move that is as convenient.
It is promising though that 7200 of 7800 are joining in the protest.
@staidwinnow @Meyerweb 100% agreed. All Reddit as to do to win is to outlast 48 hours. Big whoop.
It’s basically a game of chicken, except one side has already said when they’re going to blink.
My hope it is that it serves as a test and rallying call for the blackout to sustain itself after the 48 hours are over – every revolution needs an on-ramp after all.

@forsamori @Meyerweb this is why mastodon still can’t replace Reddit for me: threads need to be publicly indexed to be helpful to people in the future.
For instance, I searched for “is mastodon indexed by the open web”. No mastodon toot threads were indexed, just these Reddit threads that I ought not click on anymore.
There’s value in threads being indexed. It will be a shame to see that go away.
And the other collapses of Digg and MySpace
@lewishazell @laxsill It doesn't start that way. The first subreddit I got involved in had one member - me - and was intended for Norwegians on Reddit to post articles in Norwegian. Before we turned off the lights at midnight CET, we typically saw 350-400k unique users every month, with 50k on any given day.
I also moderate a few others that started with a few thousand subscribers, but now into the millions.
It's about wanting community without becoming a sysadmin
@arve @lewishazell @laxsill That's the sneaky bit—you care about the community, and what will happen to it, even if the platform is being abusive. You can help protect people from spam, and trolls, even while the platform makes it hard for you to do your job.
But it's a trap.
There's no requirement for you to spend your time and energy there. I agonized about leaving reddit and what would happen to my communities, but as soon as I'd handed over control to other mods I felt so free... *and* I realized that I didn't care so deeply as I had just a day ago.
It was such a sudden change in perspective, and it later helped me walk away from a similar situation—again, a good idea in retrospect.
Twitter has lost advertisers, but have they lost a substantial number of active users?
@Meyerweb Twitter learned?!
I got what you're saying though, but I believe we're gonna see these shit from internet companies more and more.
They think they have leverage by potentially replacing community with AI.
@Meyerweb It seems like the requirements to become a CEO these days is not about making a quality product or have any business sense, but just to organize words in a confident and convincing way with no regard for facts, so that ignorant investors will dump money into something.
ChatGPT does exactly this, very well.
@Meyerweb We learned this at deviantart ~15-20 years ago, long before reddit or twitter existed.
Just like today, business interests always worked hard to trump community needs. We even had dedicated community managers because we knew the community was critical, but they were so frequently ignored or overruled due to corporate goals. Over time, the *community* dwindled and was replaced by simple users with no stickiness.