We often assume that perceived risk determines compliance with protective measures. But both factors may vary over time, and what happens at one point may influence what happens at a later point. In a registered report that reached stage 2 approval this week (https://osf.io/jehm7), our team led by @sebastianbjorkheim.bsky.social examined this dynamic and bi-directional relationship over four time-points during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Norway.

A robust multiverse analysis did not show consistent relationships between risk and compliance at given measurement points, nor that risk at one time predicted future compliance, or vice versa.

#PerceivedRisk #PandemicRisk #InfectionControlMeasures #ProtectiveMeasures #RegisteredReport #MultiverseAnalysis

H5N1 is spreading in U.S. cattle herds and we may be closer to human transmission than anyone’s saying. Testing is limited. Surveillance is weak. And a single mutation could make this virus more dangerous to humans.

WHN’s latest update breaks down what’s happening and what still isn’t being done.

Read the full update: https://whn.global/newsletter/h5n1-update-for-june-2025/

#H5N1 #BirdFlu #PublicHealth #PandemicRisk #InfectionPrevention

Studies find little to no immunity to H5N1 avian flu virus in Americans

#Unitedstates #healthcare #pandemicrisk #birdflu #avianflu #news

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/avian-influenza-bird-flu/studies-find-little-no-immunity-h5n1-avian-flu-virus-americans

USDA scientists weigh avian flu vaccine for cows; virus may be spreading from cattle to poultry

#usda #unitedstates #avianflu #h5n1
#epidemic #pandemicrisk #healthcare #agriculture

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/avian-influenza-bird-flu/usda-scientists-weigh-avian-flu-vaccine-cows-virus-may-be-spreading-cattle

New mpox clade 1 lineage identified in DR Congo outbreak

#healthcare #monkeypox #drc #africa #congo #pandemicrisk #epidemic

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/mpox/new-mpox-clade-1-lineage-identified-dr-congo-outbreak

An interesting investigative story: of destruction of bat habitat and increase in risk of new zoonotic spillover into new virus pandemics:
"Our hunger for resources is driving worldwide destruction of areas rich with bats, carriers of tens of thousands of viruses. A Reuters data analysis pinpoints areas where conditions are ripe for a bat-borne disease to spill over to humanity. We’ve dubbed these areas “jump zones.”"

#bats #pandemicrisk #HabitatLoss #Pandemic #Virus
https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/global-pandemic-bats-jumpzones/

Review of Julian Cribb’s new book published by Cambridge University Press on “How to Fix a Broken Planet. Advice for Surviving the 21st Century.”

It details mega challenges facing human survival and paths forward to addressing these interlinked threats on #climatechange, #biodiversityloss, #pollution, #pandemicrisk, #foodsecurity, #climateemergency, resource scarcity, #overPopulation, #OverConsumption, #nuclearwar, and false beliefs

https://johnmenadue.com/will-prospects-for-long-term-human-survival-improve-in-2023/

1/2 Dr Peter Hotez warns: “The next big coronavirus pandemic is coming – the fourth one. I can’t tell you if it’s going to be next year or five years or 10 years, but it’s coming,” he warned.

“The reason why we’re seeing more and more of this is, in part, because of climate change and urbanization – human migrations encroaching into territories where bats are. It’s a combination of climate change with other social determinants.”

Hotez is co-director of the Center for Vaccine Development at Texas Children’s hospital and dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor College of Medicine in the US

#Coronavirus #pandemicrisk #pandemic#zoonotic #climatechange #urbanization

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/23/covid-cases-death-rate-risk-peter-hotez