We use verbal phrases to communicate probability. "Certain" is higher than "Will never happen", but how much higher? Also, phrases like "Highly probably" refer to a narrower range than "Presumably". A number of studies have categorized how such phrases are used in the English language. (1/3)
#ProbabilityPhrases #VerbalProbability #Risk #PerceivedRisk #Judgement
We often assume that perceived risk determines compliance with protective measures. But both factors may vary over time, and what happens at one point may influence what happens at a later point. In a registered report that reached stage 2 approval this week (https://osf.io/jehm7), our team led by @sebastianbjorkheim.bsky.social examined this dynamic and bi-directional relationship over four time-points during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Norway.
A robust multiverse analysis did not show consistent relationships between risk and compliance at given measurement points, nor that risk at one time predicted future compliance, or vice versa.
#PerceivedRisk #PandemicRisk #InfectionControlMeasures #ProtectiveMeasures #RegisteredReport #MultiverseAnalysis
What characterised people who became infected in the few first weeks of the COVID-19 pandemic? Had they underestimated the risk, been in more risky situations, or not followed public health advice? We compared perceived risk, behaviour and compliance of early covid patients with that of other types of patients and the general public.
We found that COVID-19 patients had travelled more, had been more exposed to other infected people and thought of themselves as generally less compliant to infection prevention. It is less clear whether they had thought differently about infection risk, had been more exposed in other types of situations, or had been less compliant to specific examples of infection prevention measures. Self-reported memory artefacts should be taken into account.
Open-access published today in Scandinavian Journal of Public Health: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/14034948251315341
I presented a poster at a conference today, but I don't think a single person saw it! 😭 Please take a look to justify the resources I put into it.
We compared how people lining up for COVID-19 testing in 2020 compared to the average population. We found that test-takers saw the risk as lower, were more exposed to infection and took fewer precautions.
#CovidResearch #CovidPsychology #PerceivedRisk #RiskPerception, #InfectionExposure #InfectionControl #InfectionControlMeasures #AcademicChatter
Bjørn Sætrevik