We often assume that perceived risk determines compliance with protective measures. But both factors may vary over time, and what happens at one point may influence what happens at a later point. In a registered report that reached stage 2 approval this week (https://osf.io/jehm7), our team led by @sebastianbjorkheim.bsky.social examined this dynamic and bi-directional relationship over four time-points during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Norway.

A robust multiverse analysis did not show consistent relationships between risk and compliance at given measurement points, nor that risk at one time predicted future compliance, or vice versa.

#PerceivedRisk #PandemicRisk #InfectionControlMeasures #ProtectiveMeasures #RegisteredReport #MultiverseAnalysis

I am involved in organizing ReproducibiliTea meetings at our university. We don't have our own mastodon profile yet, but here's the announcement for our next meeting on #MultiverseAnalysis.

Introduction by Vera Heininga
- "Raising awareness on data analytic flexibility by performing a (model) multiverse analysis"

Drop by if you're in Groningen!