Show threadMathieu GottelandJul 6, 2024
#SAF-aligned rebel groups in El Fasher and Easter #Sudan, meanwhile, know they're fighting for their own survival and that of #Darfur's "African" ethnicities such as the #Zaghawa, the #Fur and the #Masalit. Conflicts between those groups and local civilians in Eastern Sudan and SAF's ethnic targeting of Darfuris and Kordofanis might temperate this "advantage" however.
Show threadMathieu GottelandJun 28, 2024

#Chad is another matter entirely, being a neighbour of #Sudan with a 1360km long border. The #Zaghawa stake in the war, including #RSF’s probable #genocide and Jibril Ibrahim’s #JEM alignment with the #SAF, might trigger instability in Chad itself as well as a hardening of the Chadian posture. Tit for tat expulsions of diplomats last December came a month after JEM abandoned its professed neutrality.

#UAE

Evan Centanni (PolGeoNow)Jun 10, 2024

Some fantastically enlightening analysis on the politics of #Chad vis-a-vis the current civil war in #Sudan, also with some interesting analysis of #UAE and its support for the #RSF

https://sudantransparency.org/the-implications-of-the-current-war-for-the-chad-sudan-relationship/

#africanpolitics #Sahel #geopolitics #OSINT #Darfur #geography #Zaghawa #ArabWorld #MENA @geography @geopolitics

The Implications of the Current War for the Chad-Sudan Relationship – Sudan Transparency and Policy Tracker

(March 18, 2024) Chad is both impacting, and impacted by, the ongoing war in Sudan. The war has sent large numbers of refugees from Sudan's Darfur into Chad. At

Sudan Transparency and Policy Tracker
Show threadMathieu GottelandMay 11, 2024

While the razing of several #Zaghawa villages around El Fasher had openly demonstrated the #RSF's genocidal intent, several incident between the #SAF and SAF allies as well as between still neutral and formerly neutral groups within the city had revealed the complexity of the current conflict. SAF and SAF allies are currently attempting a sortie towards the east.

https://sudantribune.com/article285422/

#Sudan #Genocide #Darfur

Show threadMathieu GottelandMay 1, 2024

The #UAE are the main backer of the #RSF and as such the main complicit in their many atrocity crimes, including #genocide of the #Masalit in #Darfur, and other “non-Arab” or “African” groups, such as the #Fur and the #Zaghawa. The RSF lately threatened an all-out attack on El Fasher (North Darfur), last #SAF holdout in the region and where formerly neutral rebel groups have for the most part recently decided to wage war on the RSF.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/29/world/africa/el-fasher-darfur-sudan.html

#UK #Sudan

Surrounded by Fighters and Haunted by Famine, Sudan City Fears Worst

A powerful paramilitary group has encircled El Fasher, the last remaining obstacle to domination of the sprawling Darfur region, raising alarm about mass killings if the city is taken.

The New York Times
Show threadMathieu GottelandApr 20, 2024

- There are "reasonable grounds" to believe there is an ongoing #genocide in #Darfur, by the #RSF, of other non-Arab groups, including the #Fur and the #Zaghawa.

#Sudan

Show threadMathieu GottelandApr 7, 2024

Meanwhile, the #RSF's distrust in #Darfur's #Zaghawa seem to have led them to loot and raze Zaghawa villages (#SLM-MM strongholds) west of El Fasher. There is clearly a risk of #genocide of the Zaghawa by the RSF at this time.

https://sudantribune.com/article284165/

#Sudan

Show threadMathieu GottelandFeb 29, 2024
L'intensification de la guerre au #Soudan, l'alignement des #Zaghawa soudanais sur les #FAS (Burhan) quand le #Tchad soutient les #FSR (Hemedti), le recul récent de ces derniers à Bahri/Khartoum Nord et à Omdurman seront aussi des facteurs à prendre en compte dans les semaines à venir.
Show threadMathieu GottelandFeb 29, 2024

Les divisions au sein de la communauté #zaghawa font aussi écho aux dernières années de règne de Déby père. D'abord ressoudée par le besoin de faire face aux rebelles et aux oppositions ainsi que par des promotions au sein de l'armée, l'urgence de la fin de la transition réveille naturellement les querelles internes. Ces dernières risquent de toucher le pilier sécuritaire du régime.

#Tchad

Mathieu GottelandFeb 29, 2024

Répression au #Tchad à moins de 3 mois des élections

Comme prévu, nous assistons depuis le référendum constitutionnel à un durcissement de la répression envers les opposants ainsi qu'à un réveil des rivalités internes aux #Zaghawa et à la famille du chef de l'État.

https://www.rfi.fr/fr/afrique/20240228-tchad-des-tirs-entendus-à-ndjamena-après-une-attaque-contre-les-services-de-renseignement

Tchad: des tirs entendus à Ndjamena après une attaque contre les services de renseignement

Le gouvernement tchadien a affirmé avoir repoussé dans la nuit de mardi 27 à mercredi 28 février une attaque contre les locaux de l'Agence nationale de la sécurité d'État à Ndjamena, faisant « plusieurs morts ». Les autorités accusent des « éléments » du Parti socialiste sans frontières (PSF) menés par l'opposant Yaya Dillo. Si le gouvernement a affirmé que la situation avait d’abord été mise sous contrôle, des tirs sporadiques ont été entendus dans la capitale.

RFI