PhD Position Symbolic AI and Reasoning Under Uncertainty
PhD Position Symbolic AI and Reasoning Under Uncertainty
š” Check out this study on key parameters affecting #Antarctic #seaice š§ simulation in #Earth system models. With 449 model runs and advanced #sensitivityanalysis, find out how optimizing model parameters can improve sea ice extent and volume simulation!
Read more belowš
https://bit.ly/3ZxZrko
#H2020

Sensitivity of NEMO4.0-SI3 model parameters on sea ice budgets in the Southern Ocean
Abstract. The seasonally dependent Antarctic sea ice concentration
(SIC) budget is well observed and synthesizes many important airāseaāice
interaction processes. However, it is rarely well simulated in Earth system
models, and means to tune the former are not well understood. In this study,
we investigate the sensitivity of 18 key NEMO4.0-SI3 (Nucleus for
European Modelling of the Ocean coupled with the Sea Ice Modelling
Integrated Initiative) model parameters on modelled SIC and sea ice volume
(SIV) budgets in the Southern Ocean based on a total of 449 model runs and
two global sensitivity analysis methods. We found that the simulated SIC and SIV
budgets are sensitive to ice strength, the thermal conductivity of snow, the
number of ice categories, two parameters related to lateral melting,
iceāocean drag coefficient and airāice drag coefficient. An optimized
iceāocean drag coefficient and airāice drag coefficient can reduce the
root-mean-square error between simulated and observed SIC budgets by about
10ā%. This implies that a more accurate calculation of ice velocity is the
key to optimizing the SIC budget simulation, which is unlikely to be
achieved perfectly by simply tuning the model parameters in the presence of
biased atmospheric forcing. Nevertheless, 10 combinations of
NEMO4.0-SI3 model parameters were recommended, as they could yield
better sea ice extent and SIC budgets than when using the standard values.
New blogpost šØ : What do you do if you found a significant result, but your study was underpowered? How reliable is your finding? I discuss Type M and Type S error
https://mzstats.blogspot.com/2023/02/what-not-to-do-with-non-null-results.html
#statistics #frequentist #NHST #pvalue #sensitivityanalysis #falsepositiverisk #rstats

What NOT to do with NON-ānullā results ā Part III: Underpowered study, but significant result
underpowered, null, statistics