@petealexharris The #UK wants to be increasingly friendly with the European Union #EU. The EU includes the Republic of Ireland. The Republic of Ireland could, through the EU, make refusing a #BorderPoll extremely costly for the UK.
However, that would depend on the Irish government really wanting a #UnitedIreland, which, even though #SinnFein are currently in power, just ain't necessarily so.
RE: https://mastodon.scot/@Wen/116526681592609812
Hard to refuse a #BorderPoll in #Ireland on these sort of numbers. Hard to approve a Border Poll without also granting #ScottishIndependence and #WelshIndependence referenda.
Tough choices for #Westminster
Debate Continues Over Conditions for Northern Ireland Border Poll
Naomi Long, leader of the Alliance Party and Stormont's justice minister, has called for clearer criteria from the UK government regarding when a border referendum might be held in Northern Ireland. The Good Friday Agreement states that a referendum should be held if there's a credible likelihood th... [More info]
There goes the Good Friday Agreement, if God forbid any of these nutters get into power! As the #ECHR underpins the entire Agreement.
So like Johnson, who left NI in the CU for goods to get #Brexit done. Will #Jenrick destroy the NI peace process so he can be mean to people who don't look like him or will he announce it is time to get rid of Northern Ireland and start calling for #BorderPoll
#Jeff with one F off
The latest assessment of northern and southern constitutional opinion from our QUB colleagues: North and South: what we know now, and what we want to investigate in future #IrishPolitics #NorthernIreland #BorderPoll
It can't be an equal union when it was formed at the end of a sword! Also, not equal, if you can't exercise your right to #self-determination about your constitutional future without permission of an #English man or woman.
I think #NI will be away before #Scotland. #Brexit broke everything & it isn't for fixing. Also we have the #UN protected international peace agreement to allow us our #BorderPoll
I think with demographic changes here, the growth of the middle ground
Oh I have a very different form of government in mind for #NI
After #brexit, I don't care what colour the government is! I want them to set out the conditions for #BorderPoll to be called. Then along with the #NI Assembly start preparing a #whitepaper & forming #citizens assemblies - to prepare what a New Ireland will look like.
When the vote is called, we should know what we are voting for. Plus we should aim to win it. No repeat of the #Brexit nonsense.
In splendid isolation in 21st century. Thanks to Ireland having close relationships with the EU & America, they were supported against a malicious British Government & their toxic agenda.
I think we all can see what the direction of travel is for the calling of a #BorderPoll. What comes after is anyone's guess.
One thing it won't be happening is Ireland 'rejoining' the UK or the Commonwealth.
Simon Brooke
lucynayla at KillBait
Jacqui ☘️
Totts
Irish Studies at QUB