@petealexharris @Alternatecelt I think #UKLabour would (as they did under Callaghan) feel that they could rely on secessionist votes while refusing concessions to secession because the alternative would be right wing parties in power. Callaghan couldn't, and that's how we got #Thatcher.
The secessionist parties' position will be strongest if #ReformUKLtd and the #Conservatives do not have sufficient votes to form a governing coalition.
"There are expectations too that Sinn Féin would use Plaid Cymru and SNP victories next month to boost its demands for a poll on Irish reunification by 2030, making that central to its Northern Irish election campaign in May 2027"
#UnitedIreland
#IrishReunification
#ScottishIndependence
#WelshIndependence
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/apr/07/nationalist-wins-uk-celtic-nations-may-elections
New #Holyrood poll from Electoral Calculus claims to have constituency by constituency predictions, although I've failed to find them.
Headlines:
#ReformUKLtd on 14 seats/no constituencies;
#SNP on 67 seats outright majority/no list seats;
#Labour on 17 seats/1 constituency;
#Tory 9 seats/no constituencies;
Totals
#ScottishIndependence 81 seats/Unionists 48 seats
The bad news, @ScottishGreens also on only 14 seats.
Report:
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_scotmrp_20260407.html
Data
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/DataTables_ScotMRPApr2026.xlsx
@craignicol @wim_v12e It will lose far more votes to the @ScottishGreens than it will gain from #ReformUKLtd .
Which is in my opinion entirely a good thing. If the Greens were the senior partner in a pro indy coalition, maybe the #SNP would get back to their day job.
The new one is a design by @Indyposterboy which Yes Berwickshire has just bought. Perfect for our household as we have members of both @ScottishGreens and @SNP
>> ‘Volatile’ world (read mad kings) requires #Britain to get close to #EU, #Starmer says…
Yes Starmer, anyone who can think would think the same. #Brexit was a mistake.
Forging closer ties with #Europe might also help #UK pacify many in the #ScottishIndependence movement in which #Scotland wants to secede from the #UnitedKingdom.
England and Westminster bias becomes ever more apparent. We have to help ourselves.
Photographs from yesterday's March and Rally for Scottish Independence.
Lots of saltires...
#ScottishIndependence #Scotland #Independence #ScottishPolitics #protest #demonstration
Simon Brooke
World news | The Guardian
Murdo 🏴
Eric Branse-Instone
Ramesh #NotGoingBack
Wen
Patrick Hadfield