- #AU mission #ATMIS has transitioned to #AUSSOM (2025-2026), only 11,000 strong. The modality of Ethiopian participation within AUSSOM is in discussion. #Egypt should oversee the mission. #Burundi quit over the size of their expected contingent, which they deemed too small.

#Somalia #Ethiopia

Nevertheless, it might have a first result by the integration of Ethiopian troops within the #AU peace mission, formerly #AMISOM, then #ATMIS, now known as #AUSSOM since 1 Jan 2025. A key aspect of the new mission shall be Egyptian oversight however, an uneasy situation for all involved.

As the crisis developed, #Egypt and #Eritrea, major Somali allies since 2022, have doubled down on their support to the country in her spat against a common enemy.

African countries have overwhelmingly mentioned the #Gaza war, usually out of anticolonial solidarity with #Palestine, or the #Ukraine war, as an example of a renewed cold war and a nuisance for the continent. On the margins, peace in the #DRC and #Sudan have been wished for.

But no single African country has mentioned the conflicts in/between #Ethiopia and #Somalia so far — except for #Kenya, which only boasted its participation in #ATMIS.

#Israel #Russia #UN #UNGA #Africa

#UNGA 79th session, General Debate

#Kenya's president William Ruto has regretted that "the world's most powerful states" are increasingly choosing "unilateralism and militarization", an obvious sting against #Russia.

He underlined his own country's initiatives, ranging from Kenya's participation in #ATMIS (#Somalia) and MSSM #Haiti to the Tumaini initiative meant to bring peace to #SouthSudan.

https://gadebate.un.org/en/79/kenya

#UN #Africa #Ukraine

The sharpest focus remains on whether Ethiopian troops will remain on Somali soil beyond the end of #ATMIS in December 2024. A new mission, #AUSSOM , is to replace it and be led by #Egypt, #Ethiopia’s Nilotic rival.

https://medium.com/@mathieu.gotteland/somalia-and-egypt-are-set-to-become-close-allies-44acc820d03a

#Somalia #Somaliland

he latter served to prove #Ethiopia had clients among Somali regions, including #Jubaland and Southwest, which rely heavily on Ethiopian involvement in and out of #ATMIS to fight Al #Shabaab.

https://medium.com/@mathieu.gotteland/somalia-changes-strategy-on-ethiopia-somaliland-mou-781817e4633b

#Somalia #Somaliland

#Djibouti has already committed forces to the new mission, with #Burundi, #Kenya and #Uganda expected to follow suit. The question is raised whether Ethiopian troops within and out of #ATMIS will remain on Somali soil under these new conditions. Much will depend on #Turkey’s current attempt at mediation in the MoU crisis.

#Ethiopia #Somalia #Somaliland

The cold spell in Somali-#UAE relations also allowed for #Egypt to come to the fore. The new #AU mission meant to replace #ATMIS in January 2025 (AU Support and Stabilization Mission in #SOMalia, #AUSSOM) should be led by Egypt.

#Ethiopia #Somaliland