Posted On Friday Afternoon 5/19/2023: It looks quite possible that we may see tropical development between Thursday of next week and next Sunday in the area between the Bahamas and the southeastern coast of the United States.

A full comprehensive and detailed update on this can be found at https://crownweather.com/index.php/tropical-development-still-a-possibility-in-the-area-between-the-bahamas-the-southeastern-coast-of-the-united-states-late-next-week-through-next-weekend/

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There is an overwhelming amount of conflicting signals as to how active this hurricane season will be.

On one hand, it looks very likely that an El Nino may reach moderate to even strong status by this Autumn.

On the other hand, an insane amount of very above average ocean waters exists across the Atlantic.

Which factor will be more dominant? That’s the big question.

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We have just posted our first tropical weather discussion of the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season for all of our Crown Weather Plus subscribers.

Our comprehensive and detailed first tropical weather discussion of the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season can be found at https://crownweather.com/index.php/first-regular-tropical-weather-discussion-of-the-2023-atlantic-hurricane-season-that-has-plenty-to-discuss-already/

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Multiple severe thunderstorms will develop by mid & late afternoon hrs across the central and east-central Florida Peninsula.

These storms will be capable of producing extremely large hail of up egg size to baseball size.

I’m extremely concerned that numerous areas of the central and east-central Florida Peninsula will see extremely destructive hail.

These severe storms are expected to spread southward into the Treasure Coast and the Everglades this evening.

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This will give you the information needed to be prepared ahead of time & way before anyone else.

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CSU released their 2023 Hurricane Season forecast with 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes & 2 major hurricanes expected.

I posted an explanation as to why the season may end up more active even w/ an El Nino.

LINK - https://crownweather.com/index.php/my-thoughts-on-the-2023-atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast-from-colorado-state-university/

You can also read our 2023 Hurricane Season forecast at https://crownweather.com/index.php/discussions/2023-atlantic-caribbean-gulf-of-mexico-hurricane-season-forecast-issued-march-20/

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It's likely that low pressure system will form in the Gulf of Mexico next week. This system will bring heavy rain & gusty winds to much of the central & eastern Gulf Coast Tue-Fri of next week.

? is will this system become a sub-tropical or tropical storm. I think that it's possible that it could occur & it's something to certainly watch.

A discussion on this can be found at https://crownweather.com/index.php/gulf-of-mexico-low-pressure-formation-likely-early-next-week-question-then-becomes-whether-itll-become-a-tropical-or-sub-tropical-storm/

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There's the possibility that there could be tropical development during the first half of next week around the northern Bahamas. Weather pattern sure favors it and it's something to keep an eye on.

A full comprehensive discussion on this possibility can be found at https://crownweather.com/index.php/very-slight-possibility-of-tropical-development-near-the-bahamas-during-the-first-half-of-next-week/ .

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#weather #tropical #hurricane #flwx #florida

With significant severe weather in the forecast for Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night, if you or anyone you know would like to receive severe weather discussions and severe updates via e-mail, just go to the following link - https://crownweather.com/.../subscribe-to-receive-severe.../

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