Abigail Spanberger is campaigning to be Virginia’s next governor.
As far as I can tell, she is the only Democrat running for the position.
Spanberger previously represented Virginia-7, a competitive district, in the US House.
Spanberger was first elected to the US House in 2018.
She chose not to run for reelection in 2024, so she could run for governor in 2025, instead.
https://apnews.com/article/spanberger-virginia-governor-candidacy-c19ade683ab0dfaef67051b36791d30a
28/x
Republicans are responding to Democratic Virginia congresswoman Abigail Spanberger's announcement she'll run for governor in 2025. The National Republican Congressional Committee says Spanberger’s decision not to seek reelection to the U.S. House next year shows swing seat Democrats "are scrambling for the exits.” The group says Republicans will flip Spanberger's seat. Spanberger said Monday she'll focus on trying to lower prescription drug prices, grow the middle class and ease inflation. The three-term congresswoman also emphasizes the importance of protecting women’s reproductive rights. Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin is term-limited. Among other Republicans, Attorney General Jason Miyares and Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears are seen as likely contenders.
Under the Virginia Constitution, governors are ineligible to run for consecutive terms.
Therefore, this year’s Virginia Governor’s race will be for an open seat.
https://law.lis.virginia.gov/constitutionexpand/article5/
30/x
Primary elections for the Virginia Governor’s race will be held June 17.
The general election will take place Nov. 4.
32/x
#Virginia #Spanberger #Governor #US #Politics #election2025 #Election
Susan Crawford and Abigail Spanberger are among the Democrats in important and competitive races you can support through the Democratic Victory Fund.
https://secure.actblue.com/donate/democraticvictoryfund
33/x
Georgia Senate
34/x
The Democratic Victory Fund includes one US Senator, Jon Ossoff.
35/x
Sen. Jon Ossoff will run for reelection in Georgia in 2026.
Ossoff and Raphael Warnock were both elected to the US Senate from Georgia in Jan. 2021, after winning runoffs in their respective races.
Their victories brought the number of Democrats in the Senate to 50, allowing Vice President Kamala Harris to break the tie and give Democrats majority control of the chamber.
36/x
I donated $34.08 to Ossoff during his 2020 campaign.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2022/10/my-2020-political-donations.html
38/x
The day after the Georgia runoffs, Jan. 6, 2021, Donald Trump incited a mob to attack Congress to prevent Congress from certifying Joe Biden’s victory over Trump in the 2020 presidential election.
After the mob was dispersed, Congress reconvened and certified Biden’s election.
39/x
Georgia has been a swing state during presidential elections in the Trump era.
Georgia voted for the winner of the presidential race in each election where Trump was on the ballot.
In 2024, Trump won Georgia by 2.2%.
In 2020, Biden won Georgia by 0.23%.
In 2016, Trump won Georgia by 5.1%.
41/x
Georgia has become competitive thanks in part to the efforts of Stacey Abrams and other Democratic activists.
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/08/stacey-abrams-believers-georgia-blue-434985
42/x
This ongoing thread can be read as an article on my blog, Meticulous Musings.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2025/02/democratic-victory-fund.html
43/x
#US #Politics #Trump #Democrats #Georgia #Virginia #Wisconsin
The Democratic Victory Fund includes three governors eligible to run for reelection in 2026: Katie Hobbs, Tina Kotek, and Tony Evers.
44/x
#KatieHobbs #TinaKotek #TonyEvers #Arizona #Oregon #Wisconsin #US #Politics
Hobbs was elected Arizona Governor in 2022.
She won her election by 0.67%, or 17,117 votes.
Hobbs narrowly beat conspiracy theorist Kari Lake, who is a passionate promoter of the big lie that Donald Trump actually won the 2020 presidential election, but the election was stolen from him.
Hobbs (D) received 50.3% of the vote, and Lake (R) received 49.6%.
46/x
I discussed the 2022 Arizona Governor’s race in an editorial where I urged Arizonans to vote against Lake.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2022/10/election-denier-favored-in-arizona.html
47/x
I donated $20 to Hobbs in 2022.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2022/12/my-2022-political-donations.html
48/x
Arizona has been a presidential swing state during the Trump era.
Arizona voted for the winner of the presidential race in each election where Trump has been on the ballot.
In 2024, Trump won Arizona by 5.5%.
In 2020, Biden won Arizona by 0.30%.
In 2016, Trump won Arizona by 3.5%.
49/x
You can donate to Jon Ossoff and Katie Hobbs through the Democratic Victory Fund.
https://secure.actblue.com/donate/democraticvictoryfund
50/x
Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek is eligible to run for a second term in 2026.
51/x
Kotek was elected Oregon Governor in 2022.
Kotek won her election by 3.4%.
The election was a three way race between Tina Kotek (D), Christine Drazan (R), and Betsy Johnson, an independent candidate.
During the election, Phil Knight, the billionaire co-founder of Nike, made large donations to both the Independent and Republican candidates.
52/x
The New York Times wrote a great article about the 2022 Oregon Gubernatorial Election, which I highly recommend.
53/x
Democrats have won the most recent Oregon Governor’s races, but the margin is consistently less than 10%.
In 2018, Kate Brown (D) won by Oregon Governor’s race by 6.4%.
55/x
A special election was held in 2016 to replace Gov. John Kitzhaber (D), who had resigned.
In 2016, Kate Brown (D) won the Oregon Governor’s race by 7.2%.
56/x
This ongoing thread can be read as an article on my blog, Meticulous Musings.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2025/02/democratic-victory-fund.html
59/x
Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers is eligible to run for a third term in 2026.
60/x
In 2018, Evers was first elected Wisconsin Governor by 1.1%.
Evers narrowly defeated incumbent Gov. Scott Walker (R).
Evers (D) received 49.6%, and Walker (R) received 48.5%.
Other candidates received the remaining 2.0%.
61/x
#Wisconsin #Governor #TonyEvers #ScottWalker #Republicans #Democrats #US #Politics
In 2022, Evers was reelected Wisconsin Governor by 3.4%.
Evers (D) received 51.1%, and Tim Michels (R) received 47.8%.
62/x
Milwaukee Journal Sentinel:
"A Democratic source close to the governor said Evers was leaning toward running and estimated a 60% chance he'd launch a campaign."
63/x
You can support Tony Evers and Tina Kotek through the Democratic Victory Fund.
https://secure.actblue.com/donate/democraticvictoryfund
64/x
#US #Politics #Trump #Wisconsin #Oregon #TonyEvers #TinaKotek
The Democratic Victory Fund includes three House Democrats: Marcy Kaptur, Derek Tran, and Adam Gray.
Their seats will be up for reelection in 2026.
65/x
In 2024, Kaptur was reelected by 0.63%, or 2,382 votes.
Kaptur (D) received 48.3%, Derek Merrin (R) received 47.6%, and Tom Pruss, a Libertarian candidate, received 4.1%.
Kaptur represents Ohio-9.
67/x
Derek Tran and Adam Gray were first elected to the US House in 2024.
68/x
Derek Tran won his election by 0.21%, or 653 votes.
Tran (D) received 50.1%, and Michelle Steel (R) received 49.9%.
I donated $10 to Tran in 2024.
Tran represents California-45.
69/x
You can learn more about the closest 2024 US House races in an article I wrote last month.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2025/01/house-of-representatives.html
71/x
For the sake of comparison, I will discuss how Ohio and California voted in recent presidential elections, even though this information isn’t particularly relevant to the competitiveness of individual US House districts within these states.
72/x
California has voted for the Democratic candidate in the last three presidential elections by more than 20%.
In 2024, Harris won California by 20.2%.
In 2020, Biden won California by 29.2%.
In 2016, Clinton won California by 30.1%.
74/x
#California #Harris #Biden #Clinton #Democrats #US #Politics
You can read this ongoing thread as an article on my blog, Meticulous Musings.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2025/02/democratic-victory-fund.html
75/x
#Ohio #California #Wisconsin #Oregon #US #Politics #Democrats
Kansas Legislature
The Democratic Victory Fund includes one Democrat in the Kansas House, Nikki McDonald.
Elections will be held in 2026 for the Kansas House of Representatives, but not for the Kansas Senate.
76/x
In 2024, only one Democrat won a Kansas House race by less than 5%.
Nikki McDonald won by 1.2%, or 148 votes.
McDonald (D) received 50.6%, and Kurtis Ruf (R) received 49.4%.
McDonald represents Dist. 49, located in Johnson County, in the Kansas House.
77/x
Last year, I solicited donations for several Kansas Democrats, including McDonald, to try to break the Republican Supermajority in the Kansas Legislature.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2024/08/key-races-to-determine-balance-of-power.html
78/x
Democrats were unable to break the Republican Supermajority in the Kansas Legislature.
Instead, Republicans expanded their majorities in both chambers.
79/x
Once again, statewide presidential results aren’t particularly relevant when considering the competitiveness of an individual state house district.
But I find these results interesting, nonetheless.
80/x
In each of the three most recent presidential elections, Kansas has voted for Trump by more than 10%.
In 2024, Trump won Kansas by 16.2%.
In 2020, Trump won Kansas by 14.6%.
In 2016, Trump won Kansas by 20.6%.
81/x
You can donate to Marcy Kaptur, Derek Tran, Adam Gray, and Nikki McDonald through the Democratic Victory Fund.
https://secure.actblue.com/donate/democraticvictoryfund
82/x
I plan to rotate candidates out of the Democratic Victory Fund once their elections are complete, and into the fund once Democrats win primaries in competitive races.
I also plan to cover important elections in 2025 and 2026.
83/x
I’m still working my way through covering the results of the 2024 elections.
I’m also mid-way through Season 3 of LGBT by the Numbers.
I plan to alternate between these ongoing series, and current political stories, including the upcoming 2025 elections.
84/x
It will always be a safe bet that any ongoing series will take longer to complete than either you or I would predict.
Especially when political news is as intense and important as it has ever been.
85/x
There will be no shortage of interesting things to read on Meticulous Musings in the months ahead.
86/x
You can read this thread, about upcoming important and competitive elections, as an article on my blog, Meticulous Musings.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2025/02/democratic-victory-fund.html
87/x
You can also read an article I wrote about the first few weeks of Trump's second term.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2025/02/an-endless-series-of-outrages.html
88/x
You can donate to Susan Crawford, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Ossoff, Katie Hobbs, Tina Kotek, Tony Evers, Marcy Kaptur, Derek Tran, Adam Gray, and Nikki McDonald through the Democratic Victory Fund.
https://secure.actblue.com/donate/democraticvictoryfund
89/x
#US #Politics #Trump #Democrats #Wisconsin #Virginia #Georgia #Arizona #Oregon #Ohio #California #Kansas
Jason Beets
