The two most recent episodes of #BioUnethical with David Thorstad, Emily Largent, and @GovindPersad were very (very!) good.

Hosts Leah Pierson and Sophie Gibert may be doing reflective discussion better than anyone — outstanding stage setting, questioning, improvising, etc.

https://www.biounethical.com

#bioethics #appliedEthics #Philosophy #medicine #health #biology #economics #law #psychology #epistemology #science #longtermerism #effectiveAltruism #xRisk #existentialRisk

Bio(un)ethical | Bioethics Podcast

Bio(un)ethical is a podcast miniseries where Leah Pierson and Sophie Gibert interview experts on bioethical issues, and question existing norms in medicine, science, and public health.

Bio(un)ethical

Our latest preprint validates two low-cost global #risk reduction stimuli .

An infographic and a text message improved #antibiotic decisions in ways that could reduce existential risks of #AntimicrobialResistance.

https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/d2pc4_v1

Oilivia Parlow was a great advisee!

#AMR #xRisk #CogSci #Medicine #Edu #SciComm #GlobalHealth #bioethics #HealthPsychology #HealthEconomics #Pharmacy #CollectiveAction #nudge

OSF

75% of clinicians see inappropriate antibiotic prescribing as driven (in part) by delays in processing diagnostic tests or cultures.

This perception was 30% more prevalent in #PrimaryCare than #Hospitals (N = 180).

https://doi.org/10.1071/AH21197

#medicine #AMR #ethics #biology #xRisk

Inappropriate antibiotic prescribing: understanding clinicians’ perceptions to enable changes in prescribing practices

Objective The aim of this study was to identify perceived barriers to appropriate antibiotic prescribing across different healthcare settings.Methods A cross-sectional survey of clinicians in Australian hospitals and primary care was undertaken between June and October 2019. The perceived barriers to appropriate antibiotic prescribing were considered as dependent variables, whereas age, sex, clinical experience, healthcare setting and the use of guidelines were considered independent variables. We used multivariate logistic regression to identify factors predictive of inappropriate antibiotic prescribing. Content analysis of free-text responses provided additional insights into the impediments to appropriate prescribing.Results In all, 180 clinicians completed the survey. Overall, diagnostic uncertainty and limited access to guidelines and prescribing information were significant barriers to appropriate antibiotic prescribing. Factors associated with these barriers were clinical experience, care setting (hospitals vs primary care) and the use of guidelines. Experienced clinicians (>11 years) were less likely to consider that limited access to information negatively affected prescribing practices (experience 11–20 years, odds ratio (OR) 0.66, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.31–0.84; experience >20 years, OR 0.51, 95% CI 0.24–0.91). Conversely, general practitioners considered diagnostic uncertainty (OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.09–1.63) and patient expectations (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.12–1.84) were more likely to be perceived barriers to appropriate prescribing. The use of guidelines and clinical experience may counteract this.Conclusion Years of experience, use of guidelines and type of setting were predictors of clinicians’ perceptions regarding antibiotic prescribing. Our data highlight the importance of individual and setting characteristics in understanding variations in prescribing practices and designing targeted interventions for appropriate antibiotic prescribing.What is known about the topic? Inappropriate antibiotic prescribing is a significant health issue in Australia. Drivers of inappropriate prescribing are known, but how individual and setting characteristics contribute to variations in prescribing behaviour has not been fully understood.What does this paper add? Diagnostic uncertainty and limited access to prescribing information, including guidelines, formulary restrictions and antibiotic resistance patterns, can limit appropriate antibiotic prescribing. Clinicians’ years of experience, the healthcare settings and clinician use of guidelines are important predictors of antibiotic prescribing behaviour.What are the implications for practitioners? The findings of this study can inform the design of tailored interventions to promote rational antibiotic prescribing practices in general practice and hospital settings.

CSIRO PUBLISHING
Someone on LinkedIn just criticised me for comparing the trillions dollars deficit Musk just promised if Trump is elected with the cuban missile crisis, because the latter was existential. But we need $7T to handle the climate crisis, it really is the same scale of #xrisk.
https://mapstodon.space/@zoom_earth/113395767797443004
Zoom Earth (@zoom_earth@mapstodon.space)

Attached: 4 images Devastating scenes of piled-up cars in #Valencia, #Spain today after yesterday’s historic flooding. A year’s worth of rain fell in a few hours with a peak of 500mm. #weather #wx #ClimateChange

Mapstodon.space

Premise 1: multiple realizability — intelligence/consciousness can be realized in substrates besides human brains.

Premise 2: paperclip maximizer — an advanced artificial intelligence may annihilate humanity without intent if focused on a narrow goal like maximizing paperclips.

Conclusion: the global capitalist economy's singular focus on maximizing profit/shareholder return is an existential threat to humanity.

#AISafety #XRisk #AGI

Well that's... interesting. 😏

https://www.wired.com/story/openai-superalignment-team-disbanded/
OpenAI’s Long-Term AI Risk Team Has Disbanded

"The entire OpenAI team focused on the existential dangers of AI has either resigned or been absorbed into other research groups, WIRED has confirmed."

#AI #OpenAI #xrisk

Wonderful #80000hours podcast episode dumping buckets of cold water on all kinds of space hype with #SpaceBastard @ZachWeinersmith

I.e. why #SpaceColonization is no viable answer to #XRisk in the next hundred years.
https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/zach-weinersmith-space-settlement/

Zach Weinersmith on how researching his book turned him from a space optimist into a "space bastard"

80,000 Hours
#XRisk is a bunch of privileged white folks being obsessed with stuff that's not actually even a risk, much less existential. They're literally spinning up imaginary people to pretend to save, while real people go hungry, die of disease, get murdered by genocidal regimes, etc. & somehow people seem to actually buy it.

Forecasting Research Institute published results today from 2023's adversarial collaboration about AI risk.

Intended to identify key drivers of disagreement and "crux" questions. (q's where there could be wide agreement on risk increase or decrease.)

It was intense, certainly. Hard to agree on cruxes and appear to be worldview differences.
#forecasting #AI #xrisk

https://forecastingresearch.org/news/ai-adversarial-collaboration

Results of an Adversarial Collaboration on AI Risk — Forecasting Research Institute

Today, we’ve released “Roots of Disagreement on AI Risk: Exploring the Potential and Pitfalls of Adversarial Collaboration,” which describes the results of a project that brought together participants who disagreed about the risk AI poses to humanity in the next century in an adversarial collaborati

Forecasting Research Institute
David Noble builds on the work of White and Ovitt to offer an account of what he terms “the religion of technology” which amounts to a pervasive intermingling of religious concerns with the project of technology as a well as a tendency to link the quest for transcendence to technology.
From L.M. Sacasas's blog: https://thefrailestthing.com/2012/02/22/christianity-and-the-history-of-technology-part-one/ titled Christianity and the History of Technology, Part One

Sacasas has a newer Substack that goes into more recent events: https://theconvivialsociety.substack.com/p/secularization-comes-for-the-religion-6df . There are some great references in this newsletter, including American Technological Sublime by David Nye.
Nye tells a fascinating story about how Americans routinely experienced the advent of new technologies as encounters with the sublime. Not all technologies, of course, but Nye documents how technologies of a certain scale and dynamism elicited feelings of awe and wonder that could easily be described as religious in nature. Nye considers, for example, first encounters with the railroad, the factory, the Hoover Dam, the electrified cityscape, the Golden Gate Bridge, and, later, the atomic bomb and the launch of a Saturn V rocket during the Apollo program.
Nye shows that the experience of the technological sublime was incorporated into elaborate civic ceremonies and rituals that celebrated not only the technological marvel at hand, but also human ingenuity and the body politic.
The broad argument is that technological development is a religion in the United States. This is not meant as a metaphor, but as a literal fact: how Americans treat technology is not like a religious activity, it literally is one. I think this goes a long way towards explaining why we're so weird about #tech here and now and especially why there are actual cults formed around it. Noble calls this phenomenon the "religion of technology" and spells out the connections. Sacasas weaves this together with modern developments.

Meghan O'Gieblyn makes these connections with modern developments as well, for instance in this talk God in the machine: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hTXleWp5fUA . So has Émile P. Torres: https://www.xriskology.com

#TESCREAL #longtermist #EffectiveAltruism #AI #xrisk

cc @timnitGebru@dair-community.social @xriskology@mastodon.bida.im
Christianity and the History of Technology, Part One

This is the first in a series of posts reviewing the work of a handful of scholars exploring the historical relationship between Christianity and technology.  Since the mid-twentieth century, there…

L.M. Sacasas