Chaos Edge: Spark Innovation - Reed Hastings and Patrick
Chaos Edge: Spark Innovation - Reed Hastings and Patrick
Weighting an Average to Minimize Variance
https://www.johndcook.com/blog/2025/11/12/minimum-variance/
#HackerNews #Weighting #Average #Variance #Minimization #Statistics #DataScience
#statstab #393 Statistically Efficient Ways to Quantify Added Predictive Value of New Measurements [actual post]
Thoughts: #392 has the comments, but this is where the magic happens.
#modelselection #modelcomparison #variance #effectsize #tutorial
Researchers have used contorted, inefficient, and arbitrary analyses to demonstrated added value in biomarkers, genes, and new lab measurements. Traditional statistical measures have always been up to the task, and are more powerful and more flexible. It’s time to revisit them, and to add a few slight twists to make them more helpful.
In case anyone's keeping score, the idea that JFETs have hugely variable properties and that this problem cannot be - or at least has not been - fixed with different design or manufacturing practices, this batch showed it pretty clearly to me.
20 J113s, minus 1 fake, equals 19 devices. I measured the Vgs / pinch-off voltage and the Id / drain current in my test rig. The result?
6 very distinct bins with between 2 and 6 devices in each. Vgs overall varied from (-) 1.30 V to 2.11 V (variance is 38% of the larger value, or 62% of the smaller...), and Id from 5.7 mA to 12.8 mA, a spread of 125% (!) of the smaller value.
No wonder so many JFET circuits just don't work if you don't hand-match the devices.
#variance #variability #characteristics #measure #measurement #match #JFET #tolerance
A quotation from Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Don’t cross a river if it is four feet deep on average.Nassim Nicholas Taleb (b. 1960) Lebanese-American essayist, statistician, risk analyst, aphorist
The Black Swan, Part 2, ch. 10 “The Scandal of Prediction” (2007)
Sourcing, notes: wist.info/taleb-nassim-nichola…
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #blackswan #assumptions #average #danger #expectations #mean #variability #variance
Easy Pop, 100% Musica Indipendente per menti libere ✔Prima parte ♬1 • Meganoidi - i set di hollywood2 • Ascanio - milano brindisi3 • Denise Orlandi - déjà vu4 • Clathrus Archeri - b low5 • Santeria - niente di vero6 • Gabriele - stanza nove7 • T-Pam - lost…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb (b. 1960) Lebanese-American essayist, statistician, risk analyst, aphorist.
Fooled by Randomness, Part 1, ch. 1 (2001)
Sourcing, notes: wist.info/taleb-nassim-nichola…
#quote #quotes #quotation #odds #chance #average #goodluck #hardwork #labor #luck #skill #success #variance