If you're looking for real uncertainty, stop guessing with Bayes. Start guaranteeing with conformal prediction.

#uq #bayesianism #conformalprediction

If you're looking for real uncertainty, stop guessing with Bayes. Start guaranteeing with conformal prediction.

#uq #bayesianism #conformalprediction

Received this from a course student — it truly made my day.
It's incredibly rewarding to get such feedback from students and readers.

Creating high-quality books and courses takes years of learning, experience, and dedication. Grateful for the appreciation.

#timeseries #conformalprediction

📄 Access the Full Paper: Response Quality Assessment for Retrieval-Augmented Generation via Conditional Conformal Factuality
#ConformalPrediction #RetrievalAugmentedGeneration #UncertaintyQuantification #AIResearch #NaturalLanguageProcessing

This is next-gen causal inference—ready for high-stakes, high-noise, high-dimensional environments.

https://vitaliset.github.io/cqr-cate/

#conformalprediction #causality

Conformal prediction in CATE estimation

As we've discussed in the post about Conditional Density Estimation, having a sense of confidence associated with your prediction is important for decision making [1], and this is no different in applications of causal inference. Here, estimating confidence intervals for the Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) can greatly enhance the validity of causal inference studies.

Vitali Set