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Sobering summary by #Guardian reporters on what to expect (fear?) in 2024 -
" #Gaza conflict could spread to #WestBank -
The fifth and bloodiest Gaza war shows no sign of slowing or stopping. Israel Defense Forces ( #IDF ) officials have said they expect hostilities to continue into January before a second pause for humanitarian aid or an exchange of hostages and prisoners can take place. While Joe #Biden has told Israel’s prime minister, Benjamin #Netanyahu, his patience is wearing thin over the huge loss of #Palestinian life, his administration has not followed through with cuts to military aid or arms and munitions sales. What “the day after” in Gaza will look like is still unclear. "

Political timebombs in the European Union #EU -
Politics in #Brussels in 2024 will be dominated by three issues. Two of them are well known: #Ukraine and #migration. Both are challenging but the strategies are well rehearsed. But it is the spectre of far-right parties establishing themselves in the heart of the EU, the European parliament, that is causing nervousness that EU values around equality and discrimination will be challenged by those promoting xenophobia, racism and climate denial.

"The ‘final battle’ for the White House -
Now, in November, comes what #Trump has billed as “the final battle”. He is expected to dispense with Republican primary rivals Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley in short order. Then he will seek to regain the #WhiteHouse while fending off 91 criminal charges in four jurisdictions, raising the unique prospect of a presidential nominee commuting between campaign rallies and courtrooms."

"Crisis points for the natural world - Alongside increasingly alarming warnings about the state of Earth’s #climate, the natural world is reaching a new series of crisis points. #Wildlife populations have plunged by an average of almost 70% since 1970. Climate #TippingPoints are approaching and our #planet is on course to breach the 1.5C #climate threshold by 2027. Humans are driving the largest loss of life since the time of the dinosaurs, and governments have repeatedly failed to take action, never meeting a single UN target on #biodiversity loss."

A #Chinese race against time -
2024 will be the year in which Beijing learns the difference between what it can control – and what it can’t ... Domestically, the problems caused by China’s ageing, shrinking population will start to become even more acute. Despite a host of incentives to encourage people to have more children – including tax breaks, subsidised IVF and other subsidies – young women are refusing to toe the party line."

#Sweden may finally join Nato -

A decisive year for Ukraine -
Ukraine enters the new year in perhaps a gloomier mood than at any time since the beginning of Russia’s full-scale assault on the country in February 2022. After the initial panic, in the first year of the war there was a national rallying around president Volodymyr #Zelenskiy, remarkable resilience and a series of battlefield gains that led many to believe victory could be just around the corner. The second half of 2023 provided a sobering counterpoint to those hopes: stalemate on the battlefield, rising casualties and exhaustion, and wavering international commitment, most notably from Ukraine’s key ally the US, as Republicans threatened to block US financial aid. In addition, back at home a simmering dispute between Zelenskiy’s team and the commander-in-chief, Valerii Zaluzhnyi, is increasingly spilling into public view.

- Will Argentina’s Javier Milei moderate now he is in power?

- Migration: a collective failure of Europe
Nearly 2,200 people have died or gone missing in 2023 while attempting to cross the central Mediterranean from north Africa to reach Europe. It is described as the world’s deadliest route and a liquid graveyard for thousands of asylum seekers, whose bodies wash up on the shores of north Africa every day.

Familiar faces in south Asia -
As it is in much of the world, 2024 will be a big year for elections in south Asia with Bangladesh, Pakistan and India all due to go to the polls within the first six months. Yet amid fears of rising authoritarianism across the region, few expect these elections to be a boost to democracy and instead will probably return some very familiar faces back to power at the top.

Rapprochement in north-east Asia - The year of the dragon could be when Japan’s prime minister, Fumio Kishida, finally runs out of puff. As his country prepared to see out 2023, his Liberal Democratic party [LDP] was embroiled in a funding scandal that could result in legal action being taken against MPs who allegedly failed to report income raised at party events.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/dec/30/world-2024-guardian-writers-what-to-look-out-for

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american and asian
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hello testing asia
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