Warum dürfen Leute, die keine Ahnung haben, was Modelle und Prämissen sind, Entscheider sein?

#RCP85

2008.
Arzt zum Patienten: "Sie müssen aufhören zu rauchen, sonst werden sie elendig an einem Lungentumor verrecken."

Patient reduziert Zigarettenkonsum immer mehr.

2026.
Arzt zum Patienten: "Sie haben sich für Ihre Gesundheit entschieden und Maßnahmen ergriffen. Wenn ich mir die heutigen Werte anschaue, werden sie nicht mehr elendig verrecken."

Patient: "Ich werde garnicht verrecken? Dann hätte ich ja ruhig weiterrauchen können, Sie Lügner!"

#Klimawandel #rcp85 #weltklimarat #klimaschutz

RE: https://mastodon.social/@weatherwest/116636324800880472

This is a long, but important thread and set of comments from @weatherwest about the recent discussions around the #RCP85 climate scenarios.

Klimaszenario RCP 8.5: So funktioniert fossile Propaganda heute

Haben Sie diese Woche irgendwo gelesen, dass die Klimakrise ausfällt? Das ist leider eine Lüge. Auf welchem Weg sie die deutsche Öffentlichkeit erreichte, ist ein Lehrstück über Agitation im 21. Jahrhundert.

DER SPIEGEL

Expert Gavin Schmidt explains #Rcp85
https://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2026/05/scenarios-schmenarios/

The above Carbon Brief pieces only checks some of the confusions and untruths in Trump's post.

RealClimate: Scenarios, schmenarios…

RealClimate: The fantasy version of the normal updating of scenarios for a new round of CMIP simulations doing the rounds is bad faith BS. As climate folk will know, the community is currently embarking on a new round of climate model simulations to support analyses and projections for the next IPCC report (due in 2028/9). This

RealClimate | Climate science from climate scientists...
RCP85 was the title of an exhibition i did 2016 @feinkunstkrueger hamburg / germany. RCP stands for “Representative Concentration Pathway” a climate change scenario with the warming of 8,5c• - the worst case scenario..
climate.gov: “The year 2023 was the warmest year since global records began“
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): “Its findings are sobering. We concluded that that human influence is unequivocally causing climate change. Global warming of 1.5°C and 2°C will be exceeded during this century unless there are immediate, rapid, and large-scale reductions in greenhouse gas emissions.“

#rcp85 #climatechange #refusetobehuman #actionspeakslouderthanwords #actnow #safetheplanetkillyourself #crymeariver #moki
Isn't #RCP85 with its magically continued global #SupplyChains somehow like the #Easter #Resurrection story and the implied victory over death in Mosaic #religion ?
I think, this is how cli-sci can still envision any "global community" at all in 2100, after heaving laid out the plot for the 2030s, which quickly and inevitably and irreparably leads to global collapse of the complex supply chains and our tech civilisation.
Einklich ist #RCP85 mit seinen wundersam ununterbrochenen globalen Lieferketten wie die #Auferstehung -sgeschichte und der Sieg über den Tod in den mosaischen Religionen...
#KlimaSchutz #Ostern #klimaforschung #IPCC #SR15 #RCPcollapse
http://iacweb.ethz.ch/staff//sonia/download/etc/IPCC_SR15_Storylines/IPCC_SR15_Storylines.pdf

Taiwan and China: Prediction of the areas with climate in the 2080s similar to contemporary residential areas under RCP8.5.

https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?arnumber=9281095 @[email protected] @[email protected]

#analogs #analogues #climateChange #climate #projections #dataViz #map #maps #classification #Taiwan #China #RCP85

IEEE Xplore Full-Text PDF:

Climate Change is increasing the frequency and severity of natural disasters all around the world. And in the United States, more and more people seem to be moving to the places that are projected to be most impacted by climate change, from hazards s…
What is the RISKIEST Region in the US as the Climate Changes?
What is the RISKIEST Region in the US as the Climate Changes?

Climate Change is increasing the frequency and severity of natural disasters all around the world. And in the United States, more and more people seem to be moving to the places that are projected to be most impacted by climate change, from hazards such as flooding, wildfire, storms, drought and extreme heat; and leaving the most climate-resilient areas. At first glance, this seems like a bizarre and paradoxical trend. So, for this episode of Weathered, we decided to see if we could get to the bottom of it. We spoke to experts and sifted through lots of data about moving trends and shifting climate patterns to figure out what’s really going on here and what you can do to avoid moving into harm’s way. Weathered is a show hosted by weather expert Maiya May and produced by Balance Media that helps explain the most common natural disasters, what causes them, how they’re changing, and what we can do to prepare. Subscribe to PBS Terra so you never miss an episode! https://bit.ly/3mOfd77 And keep up with Weathered and PBS Terra on: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PBSDigitalSt... Twitter: https://twitter.com/pbsds Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/pbsds

PBS Terra | Invidious