Mastodawn

The man who underestimates himself is perpetually being surprised by success, whereas the man who overestimates himself is just as often surprised by failure. The former kind of surprise is pleasant, the latter unpleasant. It is therefore wise to be not unduly conceited, though also not too modest to be enterprising.

Bertrand Russell (1872-1970) English mathematician and philosopher
Conquest of Happiness, Part 2, ch. 10 “Is Happiness Still Possible?” (1930)

More info about this quote: wist.info/russell-bertrand/795…

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Hacker News May 18, 2025

The effect of physical fitness on mortality is overestimated

https://www.uu.se/en/press/press-releases/2025/2025-05-15-the-effect-of-physical-fitness-on-mortality-is-overestimated

#HackerNews #The #effect #of #physical #fitness #on #mortality #is #overestimated #fitness #mortality #health #research #overestimation

The effect of physical fitness on mortality is overestimated - Uppsala University

Hacker News Mar 19, 2025

Why Tech Bros Overestimate AI's Creative Abilities

https://www.aaronrosspowell.com/p/why-tech-bros-overestimate-ai-s-creative-abilities

#HackerNews #TechBros #AI #Overestimation #Creativity #Technology #Ethics #AIArt

Why Tech Bros Overestimate AI's Creative Abilities

Silicon Valley's overconfidence in the imminent arrival of Artificial General Intelligence stems from a combination of limited understanding of the humanities, an insular culture, and a business model that incentivizes exaggerated claims about AI's capabilities.

Aaron Ross Powell

WIST Quotations moves again!Jan 31, 2023

A quotation from Gates, Bill:

«««««
People often overestimate what will happen in the next two years and underestimate what will happen in ten.
»»»»»

Full quote, sourcing, notes:
https://wist.info/gates-bill/58619/

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