According to FiveThirtyEight, Biden has maintained a statistical advantage over Trump in winning the electoral college throughout the the press's post debate freakout.
I honestly don't think anyone who stands against Trump is likely to change their vote out of sympathy.
Please, god, ANYONE but FiveThirtyEight! Don't let Lucy near that football!
@todymotmot @JuliusGoat it's less about people changing their vote between red and blue and more about enthusiasm to show up at all. Which college student is going to volunteer late nights for Biden? Which Arab-American is going to make sure that Grandma has a ride to the polls to vote for someone who killed her brother? Meanwhile swing state Republicans are enfranchised, energized, and totally convinced of their guy's superiority.
In FPTP the popular guy doesn't win, the most unified bloc does
Republicans have the attention span of a goldfish.
And the Arab-Americans that I know will absolutely drive Grandma to the polls; remember Trump's promise to help Netanyahu "finish the job" of genocide as quickly as possible.
People who care about Palestine know Biden was pushed into agreeing with the funding by Republicans; only Democrats have pushed back.
Al Jazeera's bias for MBS's buddy, Trump isn't all that reasonable to most of us.
@todymotmot @wilbr @JuliusGoat
Trump would be worse for the Palestinians no doubt, but claiming Biden is being forced into sponsoring Israel's wreckless and messianic crimes against humanity by the Republicans is absurd.
@ariaflame @buermann @todymotmot @JuliusGoat
He gave a public speech about how fervent a zionist he is
https://www.opensecrets.org/industries/summary?cycle=All&ind=Q05&recipdetail=S
@wilbr @ariaflame @buermann @JuliusGoat
Get real.
Biden is openly calling for ceasefires.
He's met with Israeli officials, cutting out Netanyahu to undemine his authority
He's publicly dropped a peace plan that forces Netanyahu to admit he's got no desire for peace, stirring up Israeli protests against the war.
He's publicly called on the US to change it's policy specifically because Netanyahu is killing civilians.
@wilbr @ariaflame @buermann @JuliusGoat
It's clear what you want - take support away from Biden so Netanyahu is safe to carry on his massacre.
Read past the headline of the article YOU POSTED. It talks about Biden asking hard questions, the US pressuring Israel, tensions between the leaders.
You can fake-rage all you want about how you really feel Biden is a Zionist. You're the Zionist, and we won't be your useful idiots.
@wilbr @ariaflame @buermann @JuliusGoat
Just how stupid do you think we are?
Biden didn't force Congress to send Israel weapons, and REPUBLICANS are the ones threatening to go after Biden if he stops their support.
You can't trick us into thinking Biden/Dems are responsible for all the despicable things Trump/Pubs do. And you certainly aren't going to convince us that we can fix everything by replacing Biden/Dems with Trump/Pubs.
NO ONE IS THAT FREAKING STUPID.
You are a Zionist.
@todymotmot @ariaflame @buermann @JuliusGoat so when Biden threatens that he'll withhold weapons, does that mean he does or does not have the ability to control his own foreign policy? Which is it, is he a powerless figurehead or responsible for the actions of his administration? Does he have veto power? When he repeatedly says he's a zionist is he lying? Is Trump the current commander in chief?
Also please stop yelling and accusing.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/09/middleeast/biden-weapons-deliveries-israel-reaction-intl/index.html
@wilbr @todymotmot @ariaflame @JuliusGoat
One might ask how Republicans are forcing the Biden administration to cover Israel's ass in the UN.
@buermann @wilbr @ariaflame @JuliusGoat
One might ask why you are vaguely handwaving about some undefined UN event, and ignoring Trump's open enthusiasm for genocide.
And remember Trump helped entrench Netanyahu's corrupt hold on Israel and destroyed the Iranian treaty that built on common interests, purposefully giving free rein to extremists to arm Hezbollah and Hamas.
One might ask why such facts appear irrelevant to you.
@todymotmot @wilbr @ariaflame @JuliusGoat
My post that launched your accusatory -- and too baseless to be prosecutorial -- tirades far upthread clearly stated "Trump would be worse for the Palestinians no doubt", you goon, you illiterate asshat.
Everyone knows the UNSC would wind up putting Israel under increasingly harsh sanctions with the mere abstention of the US' veto. Do you think the Israelis are less human than the baasskaps of South Africa?
@buermann @wilbr @ariaflame @JuliusGoat
WTF is wrong with you???
I'm not your therapist.
I'm not here to coddle you while you dump all your icky feelings about Biden from watching too much Al Jazeera.
So you know Trump is way worse. Yay for you. Now do something about it.
@buermann @wilbr @ariaflame @JuliusGoat
And by all means, push for Biden to do more for Palestinians. I am too.
But you better damn well let everyone know that protecting Palestinians is why you support him, or my friends are going to be very dead, very soon.
And you damn well better put more time and effort into ripping apart the Republicans for their support of Israel. Most don't even know what the UNSC is. Take that frustration and rip their stupid dystopian fantasies to shreds. Please.
@todymotmot @wilbr @ariaflame @JuliusGoat
So bossy. Really putting us in our place Tody. I'm not sure your unconvincing lies are really helping the cause but good luck with them.
@wilbr @ariaflame @buermann @JuliusGoat
You first.
Explain why you want Trump/Pubs to escalate and finish Israel's genocide, and how that's going to help my Palestinian friends.
Then I'll explain how Biden's foreign policy works and what some of the legal restrictions are.
And I actually have friends in the West Bank from when I traveled there solo while living in Turkey. So yeah I'm going to yell at people who want to kill them.
@wilbr @ariaflame @buermann @JuliusGoat
Oh that's super! When disabled people lose healthcare, public school kids lose access to grants and loans for college, women bleed out from ectopic pregnancies, POC are blocked from voting by purges, lack of polling sites, I'm gonna feel so much better about how we dodged the "diet fascist!"
Well played, my friend! I applaud you for your amazing communication and dedication to taking responsibility! Thanks for not giving up and spelling it all out!
Aren't you a piece of work.
No. I'm not going to throw Black people, Palestinians, disabled, women, and all of democracy under the bus just because some ignorant mastodon troll doesn't know how politics work, says stupid shit, and gets pissed when people correct him.
Grow up.
And oh look, Biden's lead just increased.
@todymotmot
Completely agree.
This kind of violence has no place in our elections, but Trump is still a felon, a fraud, a crook, a traitor, a rapist, and a pedophile.
His own calls for violence, executions, and a new civil war are to blame.
@JuliusGoat it accomplishes exactly what the people wanting him to win want: it demoralizes people and it further divides the left into, "we can't win with Biden, let us imagine an unfeasible scenario without him (and w/o VP Harris)" and those who stand on political and historical reality, behind Biden.
It's not an accident, it's not a bug: it's progapanda working as designed.
ETA: so let us not give it so much air, pretty please.
The FBI named Thomas Matthew Crooks, 20, as the suspected shooter at the Butler, Pa., rally, which left one spectator dead and critically injured two others. Former president Donald Trump said he was shot in the ear.