Politicians still flinch at the ghost of 2010: Kevin Rudd's bold Resource Super Profits Tax on mining super-profits triggered a $22M+ mining ad blitz, tanked polls, and helped force his ousting by Gillard. She watered it down fast — the lesson? Don't poke the resources bear without allies.
This time it's narrower (just gas + thermal coal windfalls, not all mining), Treasury-modelling quietly pre-budget, and public anger at $2+ petrol + war-driven prices gives cover. No ad war yet, and Greens/unions are pushing hard.
But the gas lobby's already grumbling. If Albo goes too hard without buy-in, history could rhyme. Fingers crossed they learn from Rudd's fall and thread the needle: tax the windfalls properly, fund Aussies, don't get knifed.
#WindfallTax #AusPol #CostOfLivingCrisis #miningtax #gastax