The Animal Collaboration Guide is a practical resource for exploring systemic risk through the perspectives of non-human species. It’s a fieldwork method for decentring human bias, so participants can give an “animal testimony” as part of the project. Speaking as their non-human kin, participants noticed the pressures their species lives with and put into words how risk shows up in its daily life. 

https://zenodo.org/records/20624201/files/ACG_1.0.0_Digital_LQ.pdf?download=1

#naturecentrism #systemicrisk #anthropocentric #rivertone

Dépassement de capacité et correction démographique

Plusieurs études convergent vers l’idée d’un monde déjà en #Overshoot : limites planétaires franchies, capacité de charge dépassée, risque de #Collapse au milieu du XXIe siècle. Certaines modélisations évoquent même une forte contraction démographique si aucune transformation majeure n’intervient. #PlanetaryBoundaries #SystemicRisk #ClimateCrisis Un ensemble d’études récentes dessine une même toile de fond :…

https://homohortus31.wordpress.com/2026/06/08/depassement-de-capacite-et-correction-demographique/

A new mathematical model traced 12,000 years of human population growth and identifies what could break the curve.
The "halve by 2064" scenario is explicitly NOT a prediction. It's a worst-case illustration of what happens if carrying-capacity constraints activate abruptly.
The three listed triggers: global war, pandemic, and rapid climate change.
The climate risk community has a name for this: cascading systemic failure.
🔗 https://thedebrief.org/scientists-warn-the-global-population-could-halve-by-2064-a-hidden-pattern-reveals-the-worst-case-crisis-scenario/

#ClimateRisk #SystemicRisk #ClimateChange #COP31

2/3 When trillion-dollar AI flotations get fast-tracked into the Nasdaq 100, passive index trackers must rebalance within 15 days. That pressure travels through the IoM's £88.1bn international life wrapper sector without tripping a single local regulatory warning light. The IOMFSA stress-tests 1-in-200-year market crashes. It doesn't model this.

#Anthropic #SpaceX #IPO #Nasdaq #PassiveInvesting #SystemicRisk

The urgency of building systemic risk capacity in a polycrisis world
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590332226000564?dgcid=author

#systemicrisk

New update post for my living literature review on societal collapse: https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/april-2026-updates
This means I go back to the old posts and add new papers I found, to make sure that everything stays as up to date as possible. Posts which got updated this time:

* What could go wrong? (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/what-could-go-wrong): Added a summary of the future forecast by the United Kingdom Ministry of Defence and a paper by Jessica Graham et al. which discusses how the Swiss national risk assessment can inspire other countries like Australia.

* End time economics (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/end-time-economics): Added a paper by Simon Blouin et al. that estimates how destruction of infrastructure leads to decreased industrial output, to better understand the potential effects of a nuclear war.

* Systemic risk and the polycrisis (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/systemic-risk-and-the-polycrisis): Added a paper by Nicholas Studzinski et al. which discusses how systemic risk might be governed at an international level.

* Economic inequality and societal collapse (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/economic-inequality-and-societal): Added a paper by Guido Alfani et al. which compares inequality in the Roman and Han Chinese empires.

* Trade collapse (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/trade-collapse): Added a paper by Jasper Verschuur et al. that models the economic importance of all major global ports.

#Trade #Collapse #SystemicRisk #LivingLiteratureReview #Inequality

If No One Pays for Proof, Everyone Will Pay for the Loss
#ai #insurance #systemicrisk

https://freakonometrics.hypotheses.org/89367