Next round of updates for my #LivingLiteratureReview. This means I go back to the old posts and add new papers I found, to make sure that everything stays as up to date as possible. Posts which got updated this time:
* Mapping out collapse research (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/mapping-out-collapse-research): Added Goliath's curse and improved the overview figures of different collapse ideas.
* Famine's role in societal collapse (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/famines-role-in-societal-collapse): Added my new paper about crop production shocks.
* Climate anomalies and societal collapse (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/climate-anomalies-and-societal-collapse): Added a study about how extreme weather events were related to major battles in the Roman Empire.
* Economic inequality and societal collapse (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/economic-inequality-and-societal): Added a paper that empirically explores how the onset of capitalism was pretty bad for many societies.

If you want to read about the updates in more detail, you can check out the update post: https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/december-2025-updates

#SocietalCollapse #Food #Climate #inequality

Time for updates on my blog again. However, not only the articles, but also the infrastructure. Thanks to @rogue_scholar now every post has a DOI and can be cited. Also, to make things look nicer, every post now has its on fitting picture at the start.

When it comes to the contents I have updated, I wanted to highlight the article by Nord et al. (2025). In those times it is nice to sometimes come across articles that have something more positive to say. Nord et al. looked at how good democracies are at becoming more democratic again after they had some autocratic backsliding. At least according to their results, it seems like over time democracies have become better at this kind of course correction. In the last 30 years 73 % of all turns towards autocracy were quickly reversed. In addition, in contrast to earlier last century, these reverses now mostly happen before the country in questions becomes a full fledged autocratic regime.

If you want to learn more about this and the other articles I have added, you can find the new update post here: https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/july-2025-updates

#democracy #LivingLiteratureReview #RogueScholar

I write a #LivingLiteratureReview. This means I regularly go back and update olds posts with new #research I have found. If you are curious how something like this looks like, I just published my next #update post, which shows my most recent new insights: https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/december-2024-updates
December 2024 Updates

Making sure this living literature review is actually alive

Existential Crunch

This month's post is about the hypothetical. Counterfactuals help us understand the world we live in by highlighting what could have gone differently and why. They also allow us to explore potential futures. For example, by examining a past catastrophe, we can ask: "What would have made this worse?" This allows us to better prepare for future challenges. ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ“– https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/counterfactual-catastrophes

#counterfactual #LivingLiteratureReview #future #foresight #forecasting #storylines #ClimatCchange

Counterfactual catastrophes

Why think about what could have been or might become?

Existential Crunch
What would happen to our society if a long-term #blackout occurred? There is a high chance that it would get quite bad very quickly. #Transportation and health services would likely cease to function within a few days, and many people would face food and #water insecurity almost immediately. If you're interested in more details, I have written a new post in my #LivingLiteratureReview about the consequences of #blackouts: https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/the-consequences-of-blackouts โšก๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ“‰
#health #collapse #foodsecurity
The consequences of large-scale blackouts

What happens to a society when the lights go out?

Existential Crunch

In my work on #SocietalCollapse, the #FoodSystem ๐ŸŒพ frequently emerges as a key factor. A critical aspect is the size of food stocks, which helps to endure periods of scarcity. But how much #food is actually stored worldwide? Check out my latest post to find out more. ๐ŸŒ

https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/how-much-food-is-there

#resilience, #LivingLiteratureReview #scarcity

How much food is there?

Making a rough estimate

Existential Crunch

Throughout #history, #humans have often engaged in self-destructive behavior, creating incentive systems that harm society as a whole. These processes have recently been named "#AnthropoceneTraps." In my latest post, I explore this concept further: What traps have we fallen into? How deeply are we ensnared? What can we do to break free? ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿชค

https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/anthropocene-traps

#SocietalCollapse #Collapse #LivingLiteratureReview

Anthropocene traps

How humanity works towards its downfall

Existential Crunch
Our global #economy and especially the #food sector is very dependent on #trade. However, we lack understanding what might happen with our trade, if the system faces major disruptions. In the newest post of my #LivingLiteratureReview on #SocietalCollapse I explain the status quo of the food trade system, why it is so vulnerable and what we need to understand in the future: https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/trade-collapse
Trade collapse

Cascading risks in our global supply chains

Existential Crunch

What factors allow a #society to successfully navigate a #crisis? In a new post in my #LivingLiteratureReview on #collapse I do a deep dive into a recent quantitative #history preprint, which collected data from the #BronzeAge till the beginning of the #20thCentury to answer this question.

https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/what-factors-allow-societies-to-survive

What factors allow societies to survive a crisis?

Understanding history with big datasets

Existential Crunch

What is the best place to weather the aftermaths of #GlobalCatastrophes? I explore this in a new post in my #LivingLiteratureReview. So, if you want to find out what makes a location resilient against such events, check it out:

https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/the-best-places-to-weather-global

#Australia #NewZealand #SouthEastAsia #resilience #GlobalCatastrophicRisk #Oceania

The best places to weather global catastrophes

Likely not where you are right now

Existential Crunch