Stefan SiegertA bold short-term prediction about AI progress by "superforecasters" (who don't seem to use coding agents a lot): "We think that 2025 and 2026 will see gradually improving AI agents. In 2027, coding agents will finally be good enough to substantially boost AI R&D itself, causing an intelligence explosion that plows through the human level sometime in mid-2027 and reaches superintelligence by early 2028."
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/introducing-ai-2027
Olivia A-CAsking mostly because I'm worried about my father, but is #AstralCodexTen a part of the #AltRightPipeline? I've read a lot of the guy's early stuff (pre-2019) and it was really interesting, but the more recent (2020-2023) stuff feels icky, and I can't put my finger on why
staxlScott Alexander: Interview Day At Thiel Capital
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/interview-day-at-thiel-capital
#SlateStarCodex
#AstralCodexTen #PeterThiel #Tech #TaxTheRich #Libertarianism
Eric StansiferI appear in the latest Astral Codex Ten post! I think Scott's summary of the debate is very fair, and reading his post is a good alternative to watching the whole debate. I also broadly agree with his commentary. https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/practically-a-book-review-rootclaim #AstralCodexTen
tripuThe whole of #SlateStarCodex (#AstralCodexTen) summarised down to one paragraph by a redditor:
“Science is hard. Coordination is hard. Change is coming. Be kind to each other.”
Good news everyone! My favorite blog is now crossposted to the fediverse (unofficially) #AstralCodexTen
Sparr@puffer https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/universe-hopping-through-substack made me aware of a defunct service that linked to a randomly selected tweet, advertised as “a live demo that most people on twitter are not like you.”
People could use a reminder of that, about the internet and world in general, a lot more often.
tripu#ACX #meetup in #ElRetiro #park, #Madrid (#Spain). 25 Sep 2021.
#AstralCodexTen #SlateStarCodex #ScottAlexander #event
#AstralCodexTen #SlateStarCodex #ScottAlexander #event
Olivia AppletonThis continues to be one of the best book reviews I have ever read, and a very convincing economic argument
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-progress-and-poverty
