Africa: Bird Flu Could Be On the Cusp of Transmitting Between Humans - but There Are Ways to Slow Down Viral Evolution: [The Conversation Africa] Disease forecasts are like weather forecasts: We cannot predict the finer details of a particular outbreak or a particular storm, but we can often identify when these threats are emerging and prepare accordingly. http://newsfeed.facilit8.network/TJstGj #BirdFlu #HealthSafety #ViralEvolution #DiseaseForecasts #PublicHealth
#AI trained on large amounts of sequence data is getting better at predicting #ViralEvolution (e.g. #influenza or #SARS-CoV-2). This could help with epidemic preparedness. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-04195-3
What will viruses do next? AI is helping scientists predict their evolution

Forecasts of viral variation could improve vaccine and antiviral treatments ahead of time.

The evolution of SARS-CoV-2

The evolution of SARS-CoV-2 has stunned virologists & evolutionary biologists all over the world. It has even surpassed the hyper-mutability of influenza’s H3N2 strain too!

In a new preprint, the evolution of the SARS2 Spike between Dec’23 & Feb’23 is analyzed...

ORIGINAL PAPER
Phylogeny and evolution of the SARS-CoV-2 spike gene from December 2022 to February 2023
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.07.23.549423v1

#ViralEvolution

https://www.facebook.com/groups/1632045180447285/permalink/3528635417454909/

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1683686056758239234.html

Rather than having evolved in an immunocompromised person in South Africa as suspected, Omicron seems to have evolved in steps while circulating in West Africa during summer 2021 before exploding across the south that autumn.
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.add8737

#ViralEvolution #Omicron #SarsCoV2 #Virology #WestAfrica #SouthAfrica #Immunocompromised #COVID19 #OriginOfCovid #ScienceMagazine #Phylogenetics #VirusEvolution #BA1 #VariantsOfSARSCoV2 #ViralGenetics #Epidemiology #InfectiousDiseaseEpidemiology