#statstab #538 A Tutorial on Conducting and Interpreting a Bayesian Independent T-Test Using Open-Source Software

Thoughts: OK as a beginner guide, but not more.

#bayesian #bayesfactor #priors #jasp #ttest #tutorial #guide

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jan.70122

#statstab #537 {hdbayes} An R Package for Bayesian Analysis of Generalized Linear Models Using Historical Data

Thoughts: An interesting approach to priors. I'm not v familiar w this so curious what others think.

#bayes #bayesian #priors #historicaldata

https://arxiv.org/html/2506.20060v1

hdbayes: An R Package for Bayesian Analysis of Generalized Linear Models Using Historical Data

#statstab #532 Fractional Bayes Factors for Model Comparison Free - O'Hagan (1995)

Thoughts: Use a fraction of the data to convert an improper prior into a minimally informative prior.

#bayesian #bayesfactor #priors #bain #hypothesis #testing

https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1995.tb02017.x

#statstab #522 Bayes Rules! Different priors, different posteriors

Thoughts: Nice illustration of how uninformative and informative priors change your posterior.

#bayesian #dataviz #bayes #inference #sensitivity #priors

https://www.bayesrulesbook.com/chapter-4#ch4-priors

@KatyElphinstone One caveat, though: I'm not sure that our neurodivergent #priors are necessarily always #hypopriors. They may in some cases be every bit as tightly focused as those of neurotypicals โ€” just on different possibilities. We may hear the drumbeat as clearly as neurotypicals do, and yet still march to a different drummer.

#statstab #520 Reverseโ€Bayes methods for evidence assessment and research synthesis

Thoughts: I was reminded of this paper on assessing the evidentiary value of a finding. What do ppl think?

#bayes #inference #evidence #probability #priors #sensitivity

https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1538

Unexamined #priors are not worth having.
@KatyElphinstone This line of thinking entirely makes sense to me, and ties in with my idea of #autism being due to the lack of a hardwired #EnvironmentalYoke that constrains neurotypical interests and engagement far more strongly than our interests and engagement are constrained. One of the ways that constraint could be exercised is by the #EnvironmentalYoke imposing far more dogmatic #priors than we have. Beds contain pillows, not ravioli!

#statstab #466 Bayesian workflow: Prior determination, predictive checks and sensitivity analyses

Thoughts: Having a good bayesian work flow can be challenging with complex models.

#priors #bayesian #sensitivityanalysis #posterior #ppc #brms

https://pablobernabeu.github.io/2022/bayesian-workflow-prior-determination-predictive-checks-and-sensitivity-analyses/

Bayesian workflow: Prior determination, predictive checks and sensitivity analyses | Pablo Bernabeu

This post presents a run-through of a Bayesian workflow in R. The content is closely based on Bernabeu (2022), which was in turn based on lots of other references, also cited here.

Pablo Bernabeu

#statstab #459 Getting Comfortable with Expressing Beliefs as Distributions

Thoughts: Bayesian stats requires a good understanding of priors, but these are often unintuitive. Plots help.

#bayesian #priors #ggplot #r #dataviz #learing #education

https://brian-lookabaugh.github.io/website-brianlookabaugh/blog/2025/priors-distributions/

Getting Comfortable with Expressing Beliefs as Distributions โ€“ Brian Lookabaugh

Thinking about our beliefs as distributions is not super intuitive for most people, which creates a stumbling blog for getting into Bayesian statistics. Check this blog out to break down the mystique!