5/

- "Consequently, this would result in a #dieback of substantial parts of the #rainforest" [1]

#References

[1] Bochow, N., Boers, N., 2023. The South American monsoon approaches a critical transition in response to deforestation. Science Advances 9 (40), eadd9973+. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.add9973

[2] Sierra, J.P., Junquas, C., Espinoza, J.C., Segura, H., et al. 2022. Deforestation impacts on Amazon-Andes hydroclimatic connectivity. Climate Dynamics 58, 2609–2636. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06025-y

#DOI

4/

The authors [1] conclude

- "After the #dieback of the #rainforest, the soil moisture approaches an #alternative #equilibrium consistent with the reduced #precipitation and #evapotranspiration of the #savanna vegetation"

- "At the #CriticalPoint, the atmospheric moisture content does not suffice anymore to maintain precipitation and, thus, latent heating rates that could switch the system back into the annual wet season, resulting in a permanent dry season state"

To highlight just one aspect of the many important results: Compared to the ‘no overshoot’ case, a temporary CO2 overshoot results in 10% higher global mean #SeaLevelRise in 2100, that keeps increasing over centuries thereafter.

Further findings relate to #ocean circulation, #permafrost, #fires, #landuse, #CDR, #coral #dieback, #economic #risks and #damages, lifetime #extreme event exposure (see below) & more.

https://twitter.com/wimthiery/status/1653404029404291073